Aubstadt vs Illertissen• Regionalliga - Bayern, Germany

#180.4:1.80-0LiveToday1.8:1.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.30BTNX3.50DAF22.11DAFMargin at best6.3%Books6Markets44Rating28 · 72Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.20	3.50	2.11	7.2%
Pinnacle	3.29	3.43	2.02	9.1%
Betano	3.30	3.40	2.02	9.2%
1xBet	3.13	3.45	2.00	10.9%
William Hill	3.20	3.20	2.05	11.3%
Marathonbet	3.05	3.45	1.98	12.3%
Best of all books	3.30	3.50	2.11	6.3%
Average	3.19	3.40	2.03	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AubstadtIllertissen

Last 10#18Table position#70.75Points per game1.581Form pts · last 580.4Goals for · last 51.81.8Goals against · last 51.418Attack rating8244Defence rating5611Form rating890H2H rating10040Goals model6028Overall rating72

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 12:50 UTC

Aubstadt

1W 2D 7L · goals 9:19 · per match 0.9 for, 1.9 against

10 Oct	A	Landsberg	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	Memmingen	0-1	L
26 Sep	A	Augsburg II	0-3	L
18 Sep	H	Bayern München II	0-2	L
15 Sep	A	Bayreuth	0-1	L
11 Sep	H	SpVgg Unterhaching	2-3	L
4 Sep	H	Ansbach	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Eichstätt	0-3	L
18 Aug	H	TSV 1860 München	2-3	L
14 Aug	A	Buchbach	1-1	D

Illertissen

3W 4D 3L · goals 16:16 · per match 1.6 for, 1.6 against

10 Oct	H	TSV 1860 München	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Vilzing	3-3	D
19 Sep	H	Memmingen	0-2	L
15 Sep	A	FC Schweinfurt 05	3-0	W
11 Sep	H	Nürnberg II	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Eltersdorf	0-3	L
29 Aug	H	Bayern München II	0-2	L
21 Aug	A	Bayreuth	2-2	D
14 Aug	H	SpVgg Unterhaching	3-0	W
7 Aug	A	Landsberg	2-2	D

Head to head

5Aubstadt wins

1draws

6Illertissen wins

12 meetings · goals 20:20 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for Aubstadt

6 Apr 2026Regionalliga - Bayern	Regionalliga - Bayern	Illertissen1-0Aubstadt
23 Sep 2025Regionalliga - Bayern	Regionalliga - Bayern	Aubstadt3-5Illertissen
16 Nov 2024Regionalliga - Bayern	Regionalliga - Bayern	Aubstadt1-3Illertissen
2 Aug 2024Regionalliga - Bayern	Regionalliga - Bayern	Illertissen3-1Aubstadt
20 Apr 2024Regionalliga - Bayern	Regionalliga - Bayern	Aubstadt0-2Illertissen
3 Oct 2023Regionalliga - Bayern	Regionalliga - Bayern	Illertissen1-0Aubstadt
1 Apr 2023Regionalliga - Bayern	Regionalliga - Bayern	Illertissen1-3Aubstadt
10 Sep 2022Regionalliga - Bayern	Regionalliga - Bayern	Aubstadt4-1Illertissen
12 Mar 2022Regionalliga - Bayern	Regionalliga - Bayern	Aubstadt1-1Illertissen
20 Aug 2021Regionalliga - Bayern	Regionalliga - Bayern	Illertissen1-2Aubstadt

Regionalliga - Bayern tableRegionalliga: Bayernupdated 13 Oct 16:30 UTC

In the Regionalliga - Bayern table, Aubstadt sit 18th with 9 points from 12 games, while Illertissen are 7th with 19 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Buchbach	13	8	4	1	26:12	+14	28
2	Memmingen	13	8	3	2	15:7	+8	27
3	TSV 1860 München	12	5	6	1	25:14	+11	21
4	SpVgg Unterhaching	12	5	6	1	16:11	+5	21
5	Eichstätt	13	6	3	4	15:16	-1	21
6	Bayreuth	13	6	1	6	25:18	+7	19
7	Illertissen	12	5	4	3	21:16	+5	19
8	Wacker Burghausen	13	5	3	5	30:23	+7	18
9	Vilzing	12	4	5	3	19:19	0	17
10	Nürnberg II	12	5	1	6	22:17	+5	16
11	Bayern München II	12	4	4	4	15:13	+2	16
12	Eltersdorf	12	4	4	4	18:17	+1	16
13	Augsburg II	12	4	3	5	18:26	-8	15
14	FC Schweinfurt 05	12	3	4	5	17:25	-8	13
15	Greuther Fürth II	12	3	3	6	18:21	-3	12
16	Schwaben Augsburg	13	3	3	7	14:26	-12	12
17	Ansbach	12	3	1	8	10:26	-16	10
18	Aubstadt	12	2	3	7	16:22	-6	9
19	Landsberg	12	1	5	6	12:23	-11	8

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.20X27%3.41245%2.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.49 → 3.20 -41.7%X4.65 → 3.41 -26.7%21.40 → 2.03 +45.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.65	2.18	6.5%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
1xBet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Best of all books	1.67	2.18	5.8%
Average	1.64	2.11	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Betano	1.55	2.25	9.0%
1xBet	1.54	2.26	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.22	10.0%
Best of all books	1.57	2.26	7.9%
Average	1.55	2.25	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aubstadt 10%Draw 45%Illertissen 45%

The statistical model rates Aubstadt at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Illertissen at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.20 | 3.41 | 2.03, which imply roughly 29.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Regionalliga - Bayern table: Aubstadt are 18th (9 pts, 16-22 goals), Illertissen 7th (19 pts, 21-16).

Over their last five matches, Aubstadt averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Illertissen averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Illertissen.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.20	3.41	2.03

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.67	1.28	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.38	1.52

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.55	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
3.64	2.23	2.55

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.17	14.5	1.69

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.3
1.5	1.19	3.89
2.5	1.65	2.11
3.5	2.54	1.43
4.5	4.40	1.14
5.5	7.60	1.03

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	8.80
1.25	1.08	5.45
1.75	1.21	3.58
2	1.27	3.24
2.25	1.45	2.49
2.75	1.79	1.89
3	2.04	1.68
3.25	2.30	1.53
3.75	2.97	1.30
4	3.84	1.18
4.25	4.20	1.16
4.75	5.55	1.08
5	7.60	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.70	1.38
0	2.36	1.51
+0.25	1.94	1.74
+0.5	1.77	2.01
+0.75	1.53	2.28
+1	1.35	2.84

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.90	1.02
-1.5	6.10	1.06
-1.25	5.70	1.08
-1	5.30	1.09
-0.75	3.46	1.25
-0.5	3.08	1.33
+1.25	1.28	3.21
+1.5	1.22	3.50
+1.75	1.14	4.45
+2	1.06	6.30
+2.5	1.04	7.00