Keçiörengücü vs Iğdır FK• 1. Lig, Turkey

#51.8:0.40-0FTToday · Aktepe Stadium, Ankara2.2:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.19PINX3.50BFR23.25PINMargin at best5.0%Books7Markets58Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 12:36 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.19	3.50	3.25	5.0%
Dafabet	2.15	3.45	3.15	7.2%
Betano	2.12	3.45	3.15	7.9%
Betfair	2.00	3.50	3.10	10.8%
Bet365	2.10	3.30	3.00	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.00	3.40	3.08	11.9%
SBO	2.01	3.15	3.00	14.8%
Best of all books	2.19	3.50	3.25	5.0%
Average	2.08	3.39	3.10	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KeçiörengücüIğdır FK

Last 10#5Table position#31.78Points per game2.1111Form pts · last 5131.8Goals for · last 52.20.4Goals against · last 51.245Attack rating5575Defence rating2546Form rating5450H2H rating5062Goals model3854Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 13:40 UTC

Keçiörengücü

5W 4D 1L · goals 20:10 · per match 2.0 for, 1.0 against

9 Oct	A	Bodrum FK	2-0	W
3 Oct	A	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Sivasspor	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Vanspor FK	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Sarıyer	3-0	W
1 Sep	A	Boluspor	2-0	W
28 Aug	H	Ümraniyespor	2-2	D
23 Aug	A	Bandırmaspor	1-1	D
16 Aug	H	Pendikspor	4-1	W
8 Aug	A	Antalyaspor	3-4	L

Iğdır FK

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:11 · per match 1.7 for, 1.1 against

10 Oct	H	Batman Petrolspor	2-1	W
18 Sep	A	Muğlaspor	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Mardin 1969	1-0	W
7 Sep	A	İstanbulspor	2-1	W
3 Sep	H	Manisa F.K.	4-2	W
30 Aug	A	Esenler Erokspor	1-0	W
22 Aug	H	Kayserispor	0-1	L
15 Aug	A	Bursaspor	0-1	L
9 Aug	H	Fatih Karagümrük	2-0	W
2 May	H	Amed	3-3	D

Head to head

2Keçiörengücü wins

0draws

2Iğdır FK wins

4 meetings · goals 4:5 · last 4: 2W 0D 2L for Keçiörengücü

8 Apr 20261. Lig	1. Lig	Iğdır FK0-1Keçiörengücü
29 Nov 20251. Lig	1. Lig	Keçiörengücü1-2Iğdır FK
16 Feb 20251. Lig	1. Lig	Iğdır FK3-0Keçiörengücü
22 Sep 20241. Lig	1. Lig	Keçiörengücü2-0Iğdır FK

1. Lig tableLig Aupdated 14 Oct 19:01 UTC

In the 1. Lig table, Keçiörengücü sit 5th with 16 points from 9 games, while Iğdır FK are 3rd with 19 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Kayserispor	9	7	1	1	18:5	+13	22
2	Bursaspor	9	6	1	2	17:9	+8	19
3	Iğdır FK	9	6	1	2	14:8	+6	19
4	Batman Petrolspor	10	6	1	3	20:17	+3	19
5	Keçiörengücü	9	4	4	1	19:10	+9	16
6	Mardin 1969	9	4	3	2	11:6	+5	15
7	Antalyaspor	9	5	0	4	15:13	+2	15
8	Sarıyer	10	4	3	3	13:14	-1	15
9	Bandırmaspor	10	3	5	2	15:6	+9	14
10	Fatih Karagümrük	9	3	4	2	13:12	+1	13
11	Sivasspor	10	2	6	2	14:13	+1	12
12	Muğlaspor	9	2	6	1	9:8	+1	12
13	Bodrum FK	10	2	5	3	11:9	+2	11
14	Pendikspor	10	2	4	4	12:19	-7	10
15	Manisa F.K.	9	2	3	4	14:15	-1	9
16	Esenler Erokspor	9	1	5	3	5:10	-5	8
17	Ümraniyespor	9	1	4	4	7:10	-3	7
18	Vanspor FK	10	2	3	5	10:20	-10	7
19	İstanbulspor	10	1	2	7	9:24	-15	5
20	Boluspor	9	0	1	8	3:21	-18	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.15X28%3.27230%3.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.97 → 2.08 +5.6%X3.49 → 3.39 -2.9%23.37 → 3.10 -8.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.79	2.05	4.6%
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
SBO	1.73	2.05	6.6%
Betano	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Best of all books	1.79	2.08	3.9%
Average	1.74	2.02	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betfair	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betano	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.12	9.3%
Best of all books	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Average	1.62	2.17	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Keçiörengücü 45%Draw 45%Iğdır FK 10%

The statistical model rated Keçiörengücü at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Iğdır FK at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.15 | 3.27 | 3.08, which imply roughly 46.5% for a Keçiörengücü win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Lig table: Keçiörengücü are 5th (16 pts, 19-10 goals), Iğdır FK 3rd (19 pts, 14-8).

Over their last five matches, Keçiörengücü averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Iğdır FK averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Keçiörengücü or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Keçiörengücü

4-2-3-1

Coach: O. Korkmaz

Goalkeeper

1M. Erdoğan

Defence

12M. Keskin
3Wellington Nascimento
4A. Çelik
37D. Aksu

Midfield

8I. Karaogul
14İ. Akdağ
7O. Roshi
20Alcídio Raice
21F. Ezeh

Attack

55M. Diouf

Substitutes (10)

16Oğuzhan Ayaydın
45Herculano Nabian
9Ö. Demirel
6E. Develi
77M. Fofana
33S. Luş
10Jefferson
18E. Satılmış
19Enes Yilmaz
5O. Çalışkan

Iğdır FK

4-3-3

Coach: K. Kocak

Goalkeeper

29J. Szumski

Defence

39H. Karabey
5A. Öztürk
18L. Kouagba
28S. Gönül

Midfield

58G. Kaya
21D. Erdoğan
24G. Crociata

Attack

7M. Camara
9A. Çolak
17S. Gürler

Substitutes (10)

6D. Şenyurt
4A. Ãztürk
19Ö. Özcan
44L. Caliskan
11Malik Yilmaz
1T. Tepe
22A. Selvi
10L. Bacuna
61S. Asan
33F. Afena-Gyan

Match Statistics

KeçiörengücüIğdır FK

1.01Expected Goals1.42

388Passes accurate283

6Shots insidebox7

7Shots outsidebox2

1Blocked Shots1

6Free Kicks9

4Shots on Goal1

8Shots off Goal7

1Offsides1

462Total passes360

13Total Shots9

4Yellow Cards2

5Corner Kicks7

0Goalkeeper Saves4

10Fouls7

0Red Cards0

56%Ball Possession44%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.08	3.39	3.10

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.30	1.68	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.55	2.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.62	2.17

1st half

1	X	2
2.61	2.23	3.68

2nd half

1	X	2
2.34	2.57	3.41

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.26	13.1	27.8
HT X	5.38	5.62	7.35
HT 2	22.4	13.7	5.10

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.69	13.0	2.25

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.0
1.5	1.23	3.87
2.5	1.74	2.02
3.5	2.81	1.39
4.5	5.31	1.14
5.5	9.65	1.05
6.5	16.8	1.02
7.5	51.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.80
1.25	1.10	5.00
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.32	2.88
2.25	1.54	2.34
2.75	1.94	1.81
3	2.26	1.59
3.25	2.55	1.47
3.75	3.28	1.25
4	4.30	1.15
4.25	4.65	1.12
4.75	6.15	1.06
5	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.05	1.35
-0.75	2.45	1.51
-0.5	2.11	1.71
-0.25	1.83	1.94
0	1.57	2.33
+0.25	1.43	2.70

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.05	1.07
-2.25	6.15	1.10
-2	6.23	1.09
-1.75	4.93	1.15
-1.5	3.71	1.25
-1.25	3.51	1.27
+0.5	1.35	3.16
+0.75	1.23	3.88
+1	1.11	5.60
+1.25	1.10	5.95
+1.5	1.09	6.33
+1.75	1.02	8.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.40	2.69
8	1.49	2.49
8.5	1.74	1.96
9	1.89	1.87
9.5	2.19	1.61
10	2.48	1.49
10.5	2.70	1.36
11.5	3.78	1.19