Ümraniyespor vs Sarıyer• 1. Lig, Turkey

#160.8:1.21-1FTToday · Ümraniye Belediyesi Sehir Stadi, Istanbul1.4:1.2#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.56PINX3.40PIN22.75PINMargin at best4.8%Books10Markets69Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.56	3.40	2.75	4.8%
Dafabet	2.55	3.25	2.70	7.0%
Betano	2.55	3.20	2.67	7.9%
BetVictor	2.50	3.13	2.70	9.0%
William Hill	2.45	3.10	2.70	10.1%
Betfair	2.40	3.25	2.63	10.5%
Bet365	2.45	3.10	2.60	11.5%
1xBet	2.42	3.12	2.60	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.42	3.12	2.60	11.8%
SBO	2.37	2.94	2.57	15.1%
Best of all books	2.56	3.40	2.75	4.8%
Average	2.47	3.16	2.65	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ÜmraniyesporSarıyer

Last 10#16Table position#60.75Points per game1.754Form pts · last 5100.8Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 51.236Attack rating6450Defence rating5029Form rating7175H2H rating2539Goals model6148Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 14:01 UTC

Ümraniyespor

1W 3D 6L · goals 8:18 · per match 0.8 for, 1.8 against

18 Sep	A	Bandırmaspor	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Antalyaspor	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Pendikspor	0-1	L
1 Sep	H	Muğlaspor	0-1	L
28 Aug	A	Keçiörengücü	2-2	D
22 Aug	H	Esenler Erokspor	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	Fatih Karagümrük	1-2	L
8 Aug	H	Mardin 1969	0-0	D
17 Jul	H	Galatasaray	1-5	L
2 May	H	Keçiörengücü	1-4	L

Sarıyer

6W 2D 2L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

19 Sep	H	Boluspor	2-1	W
11 Sep	H	Bandırmaspor	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Keçiörengücü	0-3	L
1 Sep	H	Pendikspor	2-0	W
28 Aug	A	Antalyaspor	2-1	W
23 Aug	H	Batman Petrolspor	1-2	L
14 Aug	A	Esenler Erokspor	1-1	D
9 Aug	H	Muğlaspor	2-0	W
2 May	A	Bodrum FK	1-0	W
26 Apr	H	Esenler Erokspor	1-0	W

Head to head

3Ümraniyespor wins

0draws

1Sarıyer wins

4 meetings · goals 6:4 · last 4: 3W 0D 1L for Ümraniyespor

6 Mar 20261. Lig	1. Lig	Sarıyer1-2Ümraniyespor
17 Oct 20251. Lig	1. Lig	Ümraniyespor1-3Sarıyer
11 Mar 20162. Lig	2. Lig	Ümraniyespor1-0Sarıyer
30 Oct 20152. Lig	2. Lig	Sarıyer0-2Ümraniyespor

1. Lig tableLig Aupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the 1. Lig table, Ümraniyespor sit 16th with 6 points from 8 games, while Sarıyer are 6th with 14 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Kayserispor	8	6	1	1	15:3	+12	19
2	Bursaspor	8	6	1	1	16:7	+9	19
3	Keçiörengücü	9	4	4	1	19:10	+9	16
4	Iğdır FK	8	5	1	2	12:7	+5	16
5	Batman Petrolspor	8	5	1	2	15:13	+2	16
6	Sarıyer	8	4	2	2	11:9	+2	14
7	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	9:5	+4	12
8	Antalyaspor	8	4	0	4	14:13	+1	12
9	Fatih Karagümrük	8	3	3	2	12:11	+1	12
10	Sivasspor	9	2	5	2	13:12	+1	11
11	Muğlaspor	8	2	5	1	8:7	+1	11
12	Bandırmaspor	8	2	4	2	12:5	+7	10
13	Pendikspor	9	2	4	3	11:17	-6	10
14	Manisa F.K.	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9
15	Bodrum FK	9	1	5	3	7:8	-1	8
16	Ümraniyespor	8	1	3	4	6:9	-3	6
17	Esenler Erokspor	8	0	5	3	4:10	-6	5
18	İstanbulspor	8	1	2	5	7:19	-12	5
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	8:17	-9	4
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	3:20	-17	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.47X29%3.16234%2.66

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.35 → 2.47 +5.1%X3.19 → 3.16 -0.9%22.79 → 2.65 -5.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.14	1.72	4.9%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
SBO	2.11	1.68	6.9%
Betano	2.07	1.70	7.1%
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.66	9.0%
BetVictor	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Best of all books	2.14	1.73	4.5%
Average	2.07	1.69	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Betano	1.82	1.90	7.6%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
1xBet	1.80	1.89	8.5%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.86	9.3%
Best of all books	1.83	1.91	7.0%
Average	1.81	1.89	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ümraniyespor 10%Draw 45%Sarıyer 45%

The statistical model rated Ümraniyespor at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sarıyer at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.47 | 3.16 | 2.66, which imply roughly 31.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Lig table: Ümraniyespor are 16th (6 pts, 6-9 goals), Sarıyer 6th (14 pts, 11-9).

Over their last five matches, Ümraniyespor averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Sarıyer averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sarıyer.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Ümraniyespor

4-3-3

Coach: T. Albayrak

Goalkeeper

35C. Topaloğlu

Defence

70O. Yıldırım
58M. Kartal
44T. Glumac
88E. Gedik

Midfield

8S. Göksu
10A. Đokanović
17Berat Yılmaz

Attack

11Álex Blanco
7S. Hostikka
27C. Soukou

Substitutes (10)

28O. Aydoğan
20A. Babacan
9M. Bostan
55F. Koita
12Toheeb Kosoko
13Ö. Köklü
77T. Taşçı
66A. Yaşar
53B. Öksüz
16K. Şen

Sarıyer

4-1-4-1

Coach: B. Bölükbaşı

Goalkeeper

13I. Šehić

Defence

77C. Karayel
24K. Arslan
88C. Osmanpaşa
5E. Korkmazoğlu

Midfield

8Marcos Silva
7B. Alici
41F. Gedik
14T. Ergül
10E. Karaca

Attack

9B. Kör

Substitutes (10)

19Yagiz Sen
93M. Thiam
11E. Karadağ
90E. Eze
23Ü. Ergün
4E. Dikmen
17D. Davas
53A. Biyogo Poko
3J. Attamah
1F. Akyüz

Match Statistics

ÜmraniyesporSarıyer

1.21Expected Goals2.02

414Passes accurate519

8Shots insidebox7

8Shots outsidebox3

3Blocked Shots1

5Free Kicks7

7Shots on Goal3

2Goalkeeper Saves6

6Shots off Goal6

484Total passes596

16Total Shots10

1Yellow Cards1

4Corner Kicks3

0Offsides3

7Fouls5

0Red Cards0

44%Ball Possession56%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.47	3.16	2.65

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.40	1.46	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.80	1.91

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.89

1st half

1	X	2
3.13	2.04	3.37

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.96	8.65	2.05

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.45
1.5	1.33	3.06
2.5	2.07	1.69
3.5	3.70	1.24
4.5	7.42	1.06
5.5	14.6	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.60
1	1.04	6.90
1.25	1.18	3.93
1.75	1.43	2.61
2	1.56	2.26
2.25	1.82	1.89
2.75	2.38	1.51
3	2.92	1.31
3.25	3.29	1.25
3.75	4.61	1.13
4	6.50	1.05
4.25	6.85	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.00	1.35
-0.5	2.48	1.50
-0.25	2.12	1.65
0	1.80	1.93
+0.25	1.56	2.30
+0.5	1.45	2.65

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.0	1.01
-2	9.90	1.01
-1.75	6.87	1.06
-1.5	5.15	1.12
-1.25	4.60	1.14
-1	4.24	1.19
+0.75	1.29	3.29
+1	1.15	4.75
+1.25	1.12	5.27
+1.5	1.10	5.73
+1.75	1.03	7.50
+2	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.07	5.39
6.5	1.25	3.29
7.5	1.53	2.32
8.5	1.95	1.77
9.5	2.52	1.45
10.5	3.49	1.22
11.5	5.23	1.08

18 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.08	5.12
6	1.10	4.86
6.25	1.17	3.86
6.75	1.28	3.10
7	1.32	2.91
7.25	1.43	2.55
7.75	1.60	2.18
8	1.72	2.05
8.25	1.80	1.90
8.75	2.05	1.69
9	2.21	1.60
9.25	2.36	1.50
9.75	2.75	1.36
10	3.14	1.28
10.25	3.30	1.25
10.75	4.00	1.16
11	4.81	1.10
11.25	5.02	1.09