Kayserispor vs Manisa F.K.• 1. Lig, Turkey

#12.0:0.63-2FTToday · RHG Enertürk Enerji Stadium, Kayseri0.8:1.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.40BTNX4.93PIN27.87PINMargin at best4.4%Books10Markets85Rating73 · 27Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 10:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.37	4.93	7.87	6.0%
Dafabet	1.40	4.80	6.60	7.4%
Betano	1.40	4.40	7.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.36	4.60	7.00	9.6%
William Hill	1.36	4.50	7.00	10.0%
1xBet	1.34	4.60	7.02	10.6%
Bet365	1.38	4.50	6.25	10.7%
Betfair	1.33	4.60	7.00	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.33	4.60	6.70	11.9%
SBO	1.37	4.15	5.70	14.6%
Best of all books	1.40	4.93	7.87	4.4%
Average	1.36	4.57	6.82	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KayserisporManisa F.K.

Last 10#1Table position#142.38Points per game1.1310Form pts · last 522.0Goals for · last 50.80.6Goals against · last 51.671Attack rating2973Defence rating2783Form rating1780H2H rating2075Goals model2573Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:13 UTC

Kayserispor

7W 1D 2L · goals 18:6 · per match 1.8 for, 0.6 against

20 Sep	A	Mardin 1969	1-0	W
14 Sep	H	İstanbulspor	4-0	W
7 Sep	A	Esenler Erokspor	3-0	W
2 Sep	A	Fatih Karagümrük	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Bursaspor	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Iğdır FK	1-0	W
16 Aug	H	Sivasspor	2-0	W
9 Aug	A	Vanspor FK	2-0	W
19 Jul	H	Pendikspor	1-2	L
17 May	H	Konyaspor	2-1	W

Manisa F.K.

3W 3D 4L · goals 18:14 · per match 1.8 for, 1.4 against

20 Sep	H	İstanbulspor	0-1	L
13 Sep	A	Fatih Karagümrük	1-1	D
7 Sep	H	Bursaspor	1-2	L
3 Sep	A	Iğdır FK	2-4	L
30 Aug	H	Bodrum FK	0-0	D
24 Aug	A	Sivasspor	2-2	D
15 Aug	H	Vanspor FK	4-1	W
7 Aug	A	Boluspor	2-1	W
1 May	H	Sakaryaspor	5-0	W
26 Apr	A	Keçiörengücü	1-2	L

Head to head

1Kayserispor wins

1draws

0Manisa F.K. wins

2 meetings · goals 6:5 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Kayserispor

19 Dec 2019Türkiye Kupası	Türkiye Kupası	Manisa F.K.3-3Kayserispor
5 Dec 2019Türkiye Kupası	Türkiye Kupası	Kayserispor3-2Manisa F.K.

1. Lig tableLig Aupdated 10 Oct 19:03 UTC

In the 1. Lig table, Kayserispor sit 1st with 19 points from 8 games, while Manisa F.K. are 14th with 9 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Kayserispor	8	6	1	1	15:3	+12	19
2	Bursaspor	8	6	1	1	16:7	+9	19
3	Iğdır FK	9	6	1	2	14:8	+6	19
4	Keçiörengücü	9	4	4	1	19:10	+9	16
5	Batman Petrolspor	9	5	1	3	16:15	+1	16
6	Antalyaspor	9	5	0	4	15:13	+2	15
7	Sarıyer	9	4	3	2	12:10	+2	15
8	Bandırmaspor	9	3	4	2	14:5	+9	13
9	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	9:5	+4	12
10	Fatih Karagümrük	8	3	3	2	12:11	+1	12
11	Sivasspor	9	2	5	2	13:12	+1	11
12	Muğlaspor	8	2	5	1	8:7	+1	11
13	Pendikspor	9	2	4	3	11:17	-6	10
14	Manisa F.K.	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9
15	Bodrum FK	9	1	5	3	7:8	-1	8
16	Ümraniyespor	9	1	4	4	7:10	-3	7
17	Esenler Erokspor	8	0	5	3	4:10	-6	5
18	İstanbulspor	8	1	2	5	7:19	-12	5
19	Vanspor FK	9	1	3	5	8:19	-11	4
20	Boluspor	9	0	1	8	3:21	-18	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg166%1.38X20%4.53214%6.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.39 → 1.36 -2.2%X4.42 → 4.57 +3.4%26.14 → 6.82 +11.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.57	2.41	5.2%
Bet365	1.57	2.35	6.2%
Betano	1.60	2.27	6.6%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
1xBet	1.54	2.27	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.54	2.27	9.0%
Best of all books	1.60	2.41	4.0%
Average	1.56	2.30	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
1xBet	1.76	1.94	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.91	9.2%
Best of all books	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Average	1.77	1.95	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kayserispor 45%Draw 45%Manisa F.K. 10%

The statistical model rated Kayserispor at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Manisa F.K. at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.38 | 4.53 | 6.58, which imply roughly 72.5% for a Kayserispor win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Lig table: Kayserispor are 1st (19 pts, 15-3 goals), Manisa F.K. 14th (9 pts, 12-12).

Over their last five matches, Kayserispor averaged 2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Manisa F.K. averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Kayserispor.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Kayserispor

4-4-2

Coach: A. Gerin

Goalkeeper

35G. Değirmenci

Defence

7M. Uçar
4S. Güler
3J. Tabidze
77C. Şen

Midfield

10B. Keser
28Mamadi Camará
8S. Kurt
97T. Seferi

Attack

27D. Moreno
61G. Sağlam

Substitutes (10)

16Deniz Eren Donmezer
88M. Dulca
5K. Cihan
6C. Akpınar
17M. Göçkan
9F. Hasani
38Ataol Karapinar
11E. Kemaloğlu
22D. Radu
71O. Çağlayan

Manisa F.K.

4-1-4-1

Coach: Ahmet Pektaş

Goalkeeper

1V. Karakuş

Defence

22K. Yurdakul
5C. Hérelle
45Ada Ibik
27Y. Güreler

Midfield

60B. Touré
20Y. Benrahou
6A. Çankaya
23J. Anziani
7Y. Talum

Attack

9C. Sylla

Substitutes (9)

25A. Sen
13Egemen Yayli
70A. Vargas
11N. Lemina
2Yunus Emre Köse
3O. Kaynak
17Osman Kahraman
4F. İnal
24Y. Dursun

Match Statistics

KayserisporManisa F.K.

1.71Expected Goals1.51

452Passes accurate279

12Shots insidebox9

4Shots outsidebox4

7Blocked Shots5

6Free Kicks12

6Shots on Goal3

1Goalkeeper Saves3

3Shots off Goal5

6Offsides1

512Total passes346

16Total Shots13

3Yellow Cards5

6Corner Kicks4

0Red Cards1

13Fouls7

60%Ball Possession40%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.36	4.57	6.82

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.07	2.78	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.13	5.43

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.77	1.95

1st half

1	X	2
1.84	2.50	6.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.36	17.1	3.16

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.8
1.5	1.16	4.61
2.5	1.56	2.30
3.5	2.39	1.51
4.5	4.21	1.19
5.5	7.82	1.05
6.5	14.5	1.02
7.5	29.0	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.5
1.25	1.06	6.30
1.75	1.16	4.10
2	1.21	3.58
2.25	1.37	2.70
2.75	1.67	2.05
3	1.89	1.82
3.25	2.13	1.63
3.75	2.75	1.36
4	3.42	1.23
4.25	3.79	1.19
4.75	5.10	1.10
5	7.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.91	1.36
-1.75	2.37	1.52
-1.5	2.07	1.69
-1.25	1.85	1.89
-1	1.59	2.24
-0.75	1.45	2.58

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	6.63	1.07
-3.25	6.53	1.07
-3	6.08	1.08
-2.75	4.36	1.16
-2.5	3.52	1.24
-2.25	3.27	1.29
-0.5	1.39	3.00
-0.25	1.24	3.66
0	1.11	5.37
+0.25	1.09	5.83
+0.5	1.12	6.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.06	5.74
7.5	1.22	3.49
8.5	1.47	2.46
9.5	1.82	1.90
10.5	2.31	1.54
11.5	2.99	1.31
12.5	4.16	1.15
13.5	6.26	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.06	5.48
7	1.08	5.23
7.25	1.14	4.19
7.75	1.23	3.38
8	1.26	3.20
8.25	1.35	2.78
8.75	1.50	2.37
9	1.59	2.23
9.25	1.67	2.06
9.75	1.87	1.83
10	2.03	1.72
10.25	2.11	1.64
10.75	2.40	1.48
11	2.65	1.39
11.25	2.80	1.35
11.75	3.29	1.25
12	3.80	1.18
12.25	3.98	1.16
12.75	4.82	1.10
13	5.85	1.05
13.25	6.06	1.04