Bodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü• 1. Lig, Turkey

#151.0:0.40-2FTToday · Bodrum Ilce Stadi, Bodrum1.8:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.75BTNX3.63PIN22.46PINMargin at best4.6%Books10Markets76Rating48 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 09:39 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.75	3.65	2.43	4.9%
Dafabet	2.70	3.50	2.42	6.9%
Betano	2.67	3.45	2.42	7.8%
BetVictor	2.63	3.40	2.38	9.5%
Betfair	2.55	3.50	2.38	9.8%
William Hill	2.62	3.30	2.40	10.1%
Bet365	2.60	3.40	2.30	11.4%
1xBet	2.57	3.34	2.33	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.57	3.34	2.33	11.8%
SBO	2.57	3.12	2.27	15.0%
Best of all books	2.75	3.65	2.43	4.9%
Average	2.62	3.40	2.37	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Bodrum FKKeçiörengücü

Last 10#15Table position#30.89Points per game1.786Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 51.80.4Goals against · last 50.836Attack rating6467Defence rating3340Form rating6038H2H rating6257Goals model4348Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 14:01 UTC

Bodrum FK

2W 5D 3L · goals 8:7 · per match 0.8 for, 0.7 against

20 Sep	A	Pendikspor	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Batman Petrolspor	4-0	W
7 Sep	A	Mardin 1969	0-1	L
3 Sep	H	Esenler Erokspor	0-0	D
30 Aug	A	Manisa F.K.	0-0	D
22 Aug	H	Muğlaspor	0-0	D
15 Aug	A	İstanbulspor	2-2	D
9 Aug	H	Bursaspor	0-2	L
15 May	A	Çorum FK	0-1	L
11 May	H	Çorum FK	1-0	W

Keçiörengücü

4W 4D 2L · goals 18:11 · per match 1.8 for, 1.1 against

3 Oct	A	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Sivasspor	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Vanspor FK	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Sarıyer	3-0	W
1 Sep	A	Boluspor	2-0	W
28 Aug	H	Ümraniyespor	2-2	D
23 Aug	A	Bandırmaspor	1-1	D
16 Aug	H	Pendikspor	4-1	W
8 Aug	A	Antalyaspor	3-4	L
7 May	A	Çorum FK	0-1	L

Head to head

2Bodrum FK wins

2draws

4Keçiörengücü wins

8 meetings · goals 12:14 · last 8: 2W 2D 4L for Bodrum FK

14 Feb 20261. Lig	1. Lig	Bodrum FK4-3Keçiörengücü
20 Sep 20251. Lig	1. Lig	Keçiörengücü2-1Bodrum FK
6 Apr 20241. Lig	1. Lig	Bodrum FK0-0Keçiörengücü
11 Nov 20231. Lig	1. Lig	Keçiörengücü1-1Bodrum FK
22 Jan 20231. Lig	1. Lig	Bodrum FK1-2Keçiörengücü
21 Aug 20221. Lig	1. Lig	Keçiörengücü1-3Bodrum FK
10 Mar 20192. Lig	2. Lig	Bodrum FK0-2Keçiörengücü
21 Oct 20182. Lig	2. Lig	Keçiörengücü3-2Bodrum FK

1. Lig tableLig Aupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the 1. Lig table, Bodrum FK sit 15th with 8 points from 9 games, while Keçiörengücü are 3rd with 16 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Kayserispor	8	6	1	1	15:3	+12	19
2	Bursaspor	8	6	1	1	16:7	+9	19
3	Keçiörengücü	9	4	4	1	19:10	+9	16
4	Iğdır FK	8	5	1	2	12:7	+5	16
5	Batman Petrolspor	8	5	1	2	15:13	+2	16
6	Sarıyer	8	4	2	2	11:9	+2	14
7	Mardin 1969	8	3	3	2	9:5	+4	12
8	Antalyaspor	8	4	0	4	14:13	+1	12
9	Fatih Karagümrük	8	3	3	2	12:11	+1	12
10	Sivasspor	9	2	5	2	13:12	+1	11
11	Muğlaspor	8	2	5	1	8:7	+1	11
12	Bandırmaspor	8	2	4	2	12:5	+7	10
13	Pendikspor	9	2	4	3	11:17	-6	10
14	Manisa F.K.	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9
15	Bodrum FK	9	1	5	3	7:8	-1	8
16	Ümraniyespor	8	1	3	4	6:9	-3	6
17	Esenler Erokspor	8	0	5	3	4:10	-6	5
18	İstanbulspor	8	1	2	5	7:19	-12	5
19	Vanspor FK	8	1	3	4	8:17	-9	4
20	Boluspor	8	0	1	7	3:20	-17	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.62X27%3.40238%2.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.66 → 2.63 -1.1%X3.27 → 3.35 +2.4%22.41 → 2.37 -1.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.72	2.14	4.9%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
SBO	1.69	2.09	7.0%
Betano	1.70	2.07	7.1%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
BetVictor	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Best of all books	1.72	2.14	4.9%
Average	1.69	2.06	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.25	6.9%
William Hill	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betano	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.57	2.23	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.19	9.4%
Best of all books	1.60	2.38	4.5%
Average	1.57	2.26	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bodrum FK 10%Draw 45%Keçiörengücü 45%

The statistical model rated Bodrum FK at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Keçiörengücü at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.62 | 3.40 | 2.37, which imply roughly 29.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Lig table: Bodrum FK are 15th (8 pts, 7-8 goals), Keçiörengücü 3rd (16 pts, 19-10).

Over their last five matches, Bodrum FK averaged 1 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Keçiörengücü averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Keçiörengücü and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Bodrum FK

4-2-3-1

Coach: Burhan Eşer

Goalkeeper

32B. Tosun

Defence

77B. Yavuzay
5A. Ajeti
34A. Aytemur
75E. Kaplan

Midfield

20Yusuf Sertkaya
8M. Erdilman
17E. Arslan
19Berkay Aslan
11E. Bilsel

Attack

26V. Aboubakar

Substitutes (10)

54R. Adıyaman
23F. Apaydın
82B. BaÅkan
9Kerem Kayaarasi
14F. Loshaj
80R. Providence
68I. Tarim
4A. Yılmaz
6J. de Sousa Moreira Cruz
52Devrim Sahin

Keçiörengücü

4-2-3-1

Coach: O. Korkmaz

Goalkeeper

1M. Erdoğan

Defence

12M. Keskin
3Wellington Nascimento
4A. Çelik
37D. Aksu

Midfield

8I. Karaogul
6E. Develi
7O. Roshi
20Alcídio Raice
21F. Ezeh

Attack

55M. Diouf

Substitutes (10)

5O. Çalışkan
19Enes Yilmaz
18E. Satılmış
10Jefferson
33S. Luş
77M. Fofana
45Herculano Nabian
2Y. Bahadır
16Oğuzhan Ayaydın
22H. Ayan

Match Statistics

Bodrum FKKeçiörengücü

1.15Expected Goals1.24

413Passes accurate276

13Shots insidebox9

4Shots outsidebox7

5Blocked Shots6

15Free Kicks12

5Shots on Goal5

3Goalkeeper Saves4

7Shots off Goal5

1Offsides3

481Total passes350

1Red Cards0

17Total Shots16

3Yellow Cards2

7Corner Kicks1

13Fouls17

58%Ball Possession42%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.62	3.40	2.37

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.50	1.41	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
1.99	1.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.26

1st half

1	X	2
3.20	2.22	2.93

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.97	14.4	1.85

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.1
1.5	1.20	4.01
2.5	1.69	2.06
3.5	2.75	1.40
4.5	5.15	1.13
5.5	9.78	1.04
6.5	16.8	1.02
7.5	37.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.10
1	1.02	8.60
1.25	1.09	5.40
1.75	1.23	3.43
2	1.38	2.82
2.25	1.54	2.32
2.75	1.94	1.79
3	2.18	1.60
3.25	2.47	1.47
3.75	3.35	1.25
4	4.45	1.14
4.25	4.86	1.11
4.75	6.70	1.05
5	7.70	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.65	1.45
-0.25	2.31	1.56
0	1.98	1.76
+0.25	1.69	2.06
+0.5	1.56	2.36
+0.75	1.38	2.81

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.5	1.01
-2	9.20	1.02
-1.75	7.07	1.05
-1.5	5.35	1.11
-1.25	4.85	1.13
-1	4.47	1.17
-0.75	3.24	1.30
+1	1.23	3.76
+1.25	1.18	4.17
+1.5	1.15	4.60
+1.75	1.06	6.20
+2	1.04	7.90
+2.5	1.02	8.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.01	7.29
6.5	1.15	4.12
7.5	1.39	2.67
8.5	1.74	1.97
9.5	2.19	1.60
10.5	2.80	1.35
11.5	3.90	1.17
12.5	5.90	1.05

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.02	6.99
6	1.02	6.69
6.25	1.08	5.08
6.75	1.16	3.97
7	1.18	3.76
7.25	1.27	3.16
7.75	1.40	2.62
8	1.48	2.47
8.25	1.57	2.23
8.75	1.76	1.95
9	1.88	1.85
9.25	1.98	1.74
9.75	2.25	1.56
10	2.48	1.47
10.25	2.62	1.40
10.75	3.08	1.29
11	3.54	1.21
11.25	3.72	1.19
11.75	4.51	1.12
12	5.48	1.07
12.25	5.69	1.06