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AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth• National League, England

#151.0:2.02-1FTToday · Hornchurch Stadium, London1.6:0.8#20

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.34PINX3.62PIN22.85BTNMargin at best5.4%Books10Markets81Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.353.722.854.5%
Dafabet2.333.552.806.8%
Betano2.373.502.776.9%
Betfair2.303.602.757.6%
BetVictor2.303.502.709.1%
Bet3652.253.602.709.3%
William Hill2.303.402.709.9%
1xBet2.243.402.7310.7%
Marathonbet2.223.402.6711.9%
SBO2.233.182.5715.2%
Best of all books2.373.722.854.2%
Average2.293.482.729.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AFC HornchurchTamworth
Last 10#15Table position#201.31Points per game1.133Form pts · last 531.0Goals for · last 51.62.0Goals against · last 50.838Attack rating6229Defence rating7125Form rating750H2H rating081Goals model1943Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 00:11 UTC

AFC Hornchurch

4W 1D 5L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

7 NovHBlackpool1-2L
3 NovHWest Ham United U212-0W
30 OctAAFC Fylde1-3L
27 OctHYeovil Town1-2L
24 OctAHartlepool1-2L
17 OctAUxbridge4-0W
10 OctHEastleigh2-0W
6 OctHFulham U211-1D
3 OctAHarrogate Town0-3L
29 SepHAldershot Town2-1W

Tamworth

5W 0D 5L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

3 NovHEverton U212-3L
31 OctHWoking0-1L
27 OctHScunthorpe4-1W
17 OctACarlisle1-2L
10 OctHBarrow1-2L
6 OctHLeeds United U211-0W
3 OctAHartlepool1-0W
30 SepHSutton Utd2-0W
26 SepAAldershot Town1-5L
19 SepHWealdstone2-1W

Head to head

No previous meetings between AFC Hornchurch and Tamworth on record.

National League tableConferenceupdated 14 Nov 00:20 UTC

In the National League table, AFC Hornchurch sit 15th with 21 points from 16 games, while Tamworth are 20th with 17 points from 15.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Boreham Wood16142044:17+2744
2Harrogate Town16102434:23+1132
3Southend1685338:27+1129
4AFC Fylde1692530:24+629
5Yeovil Town1684435:20+1528
6Worthing1684432:25+728
7Altrincham1691624:24028
8Carlisle1675432:23+926
9Barrow1574426:19+725
10FC Halifax Town1673628:20+824
11Sutton Utd1673620:21-124
12Woking1663725:24+121
13Kidderminster Harriers1656517:16+121
14Aldershot Town1663719:19021
15AFC Hornchurch1670918:26-821
16Forest Green1454523:24-119
17Eastleigh1654719:25-619
18Wealdstone1653823:29-618
19Boston United1653821:29-818
20Tamworth1552825:32-717
21Hartlepool16501118:27-915
22Solihull Moors16411119:40-2113
23Scunthorpe15311119:30-1110
24Gateshead1511139:34-254

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.29X26%3.48234%2.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11 Nov 00:0012 Nov 03:001 2.26X 3.472 2.73
12.33 → 2.26 -3.0%X3.53 → 3.47 -1.7%22.68 → 2.73 +1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.682.224.6%
Betano1.672.185.8%
Betfair1.652.206.1%
Bet3651.672.156.4%
BetVictor1.642.098.8%
1xBet1.622.128.9%
Marathonbet1.622.128.9%
Best of all books1.682.224.6%
Average1.652.157.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.532.456.2%
William Hill1.572.307.2%
Bet3651.572.258.1%
Betano1.532.328.5%
1xBet1.522.348.5%
BetVictor1.502.388.7%
Marathonbet1.522.309.3%
Best of all books1.572.454.5%
Average1.532.338.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AFC Hornchurch 10%Draw 45%Tamworth 45%

The statistical model rated AFC Hornchurch at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Tamworth at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.29 | 3.48 | 2.72, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League table: AFC Hornchurch are 15th (21 pts, 18-26 goals), Tamworth 20th (17 pts, 25-32).

Over their last five matches, AFC Hornchurch averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Tamworth averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Tamworth.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.293.482.72

Double chance

1XX212
1.391.551.25

Draw no bet

12
1.722.03

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.532.33

1st half

1X2
2.812.263.27

2nd half

1X2
2.592.592.94

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.6413.426.0
HT X5.845.746.67
HT 224.213.64.43

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.8215.12.01

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.8
1.51.194.30
2.51.652.15
3.52.591.44
4.54.771.16
5.59.121.05
6.517.61.02
7.541.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.00
1.251.075.95
1.751.193.78
21.273.20
2.251.452.52
2.751.801.91
32.041.69
3.252.311.54
3.753.051.30
43.961.17
4.254.341.15
4.755.951.07
58.501.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.681.41
-0.52.301.59
-0.252.001.75
01.702.04
+0.251.522.36
+0.51.442.70
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.131.05
-28.601.01
-1.755.681.10
-1.54.351.16
-1.253.951.21
-13.521.26
+0.751.283.33
+11.164.61
+1.251.125.07
+1.51.115.53
+1.751.067.13
+21.0110.0
+2.51.0310.5

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.017.33
7.51.184.15
8.51.303.09
9.51.592.23
10.51.911.81
11.52.441.49
12.53.281.27
13.54.601.11
14.56.951.02
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.027.05
71.017.19
7.251.065.51
7.751.134.35
81.154.14
8.251.223.46
8.751.332.88
91.372.73
9.251.462.45
9.751.632.13
101.791.97
10.251.811.89
10.752.031.70
112.191.61
11.252.301.53
11.752.631.40
122.931.32
12.253.081.29
12.753.641.20
134.241.14
13.254.421.12
13.755.351.07
146.541.03
14.256.751.02

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