AFC Hornchurch vs
Tamworth• National League, England
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.35 | 3.72 | 2.85 | 4.5% |
| Dafabet | 2.33 | 3.55 | 2.80 | 6.8% |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.50 | 2.77 | 6.9% |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.75 | 7.6% |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.70 | 9.1% |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.70 | 9.3% |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 9.9% |
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.40 | 2.73 | 10.7% |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 3.40 | 2.67 | 11.9% |
| SBO | 2.23 | 3.18 | 2.57 | 15.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.37 | 3.72 | 2.85 | 4.2% |
| Average | 2.29 | 3.48 | 2.72 | 9.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 00:11 UTC
AFC Hornchurch
4W 1D 5L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against
| 7 Nov | H | Blackpool | 1-2 | L |
| 3 Nov | H | West Ham United U21 | 2-0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | AFC Fylde | 1-3 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Yeovil Town | 1-2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Hartlepool | 1-2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Uxbridge | 4-0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Eastleigh | 2-0 | W |
| 6 Oct | H | Fulham U21 | 1-1 | D |
| 3 Oct | A | Harrogate Town | 0-3 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Aldershot Town | 2-1 | W |
Tamworth
5W 0D 5L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against
| 3 Nov | H | Everton U21 | 2-3 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Woking | 0-1 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Scunthorpe | 4-1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Carlisle | 1-2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Barrow | 1-2 | L |
| 6 Oct | H | Leeds United U21 | 1-0 | W |
| 3 Oct | A | Hartlepool | 1-0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Sutton Utd | 2-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Aldershot Town | 1-5 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Wealdstone | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between AFC Hornchurch and Tamworth on record.
National League tableConferenceupdated 14 Nov 00:20 UTC
In the National League table, AFC Hornchurch sit 15th with 21 points from 16 games, while Tamworth are 20th with 17 points from 15.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44:17 | +27 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:23 | +11 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 38:27 | +11 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30:24 | +6 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil Town | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 35:20 | +15 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32:25 | +7 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:23 | +9 | 26 |
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | +7 | 25 |
| 10 | FC Halifax Town | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28:20 | +8 | 24 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 |
| 12 | Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25:24 | +1 | 21 |
| 13 | Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:16 | +1 | 21 |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 21 |
| 15 | AFC Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18:26 | -8 | 21 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 19 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 19 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23:29 | -6 | 18 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:32 | -7 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 18:27 | -9 | 15 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 19:40 | -21 | 13 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 19:30 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9:34 | -25 | 4 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.68 | 2.22 | 4.6% |
| Betano | 1.67 | 2.18 | 5.8% |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 2.20 | 6.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 6.4% |
| BetVictor | 1.64 | 2.09 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 2.12 | 8.9% |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 2.12 | 8.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.68 | 2.22 | 4.6% |
| Average | 1.65 | 2.15 | 7.0% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.53 | 2.45 | 6.2% |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 2.30 | 7.2% |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| Betano | 1.53 | 2.32 | 8.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.52 | 2.34 | 8.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 2.38 | 8.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 2.30 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.57 | 2.45 | 4.5% |
| Average | 1.53 | 2.33 | 8.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated AFC Hornchurch at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Tamworth at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.29 | 3.48 | 2.72, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the National League table: AFC Hornchurch are 15th (21 pts, 18-26 goals), Tamworth 20th (17 pts, 25-32).
Over their last five matches, AFC Hornchurch averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Tamworth averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Tamworth.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.29 | 3.48 | 2.72 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | 1.55 | 1.25 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.72 | 2.03 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.53 | 2.33 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.81 | 2.26 | 3.27 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.59 | 2.59 | 2.94 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 3.64 | 13.4 | 26.0 |
| HT X | 5.84 | 5.74 | 6.67 |
| HT 2 | 24.2 | 13.6 | 4.43 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | 15.1 | 2.01 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 12.8 |
| 1.5 | 1.19 | 4.30 |
| 2.5 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
| 3.5 | 2.59 | 1.44 |
| 4.5 | 4.77 | 1.16 |
| 5.5 | 9.12 | 1.05 |
| 6.5 | 17.6 | 1.02 |
| 7.5 | 41.0 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 9.00 |
| 1.25 | 1.07 | 5.95 |
| 1.75 | 1.19 | 3.78 |
| 2 | 1.27 | 3.20 |
| 2.25 | 1.45 | 2.52 |
| 2.75 | 1.80 | 1.91 |
| 3 | 2.04 | 1.69 |
| 3.25 | 2.31 | 1.54 |
| 3.75 | 3.05 | 1.30 |
| 4 | 3.96 | 1.17 |
| 4.25 | 4.34 | 1.15 |
| 4.75 | 5.95 | 1.07 |
| 5 | 8.50 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.68 | 1.41 |
| -0.5 | 2.30 | 1.59 |
| -0.25 | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| 0 | 1.70 | 2.04 |
| +0.25 | 1.52 | 2.36 |
| +0.5 | 1.44 | 2.70 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9.13 | 1.05 |
| -2 | 8.60 | 1.01 |
| -1.75 | 5.68 | 1.10 |
| -1.5 | 4.35 | 1.16 |
| -1.25 | 3.95 | 1.21 |
| -1 | 3.52 | 1.26 |
| +0.75 | 1.28 | 3.33 |
| +1 | 1.16 | 4.61 |
| +1.25 | 1.12 | 5.07 |
| +1.5 | 1.11 | 5.53 |
| +1.75 | 1.06 | 7.13 |
| +2 | 1.01 | 10.0 |
| +2.5 | 1.03 | 10.5 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.01 | 7.33 |
| 7.5 | 1.18 | 4.15 |
| 8.5 | 1.30 | 3.09 |
| 9.5 | 1.59 | 2.23 |
| 10.5 | 1.91 | 1.81 |
| 11.5 | 2.44 | 1.49 |
| 12.5 | 3.28 | 1.27 |
| 13.5 | 4.60 | 1.11 |
| 14.5 | 6.95 | 1.02 |
24 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.75 | 1.02 | 7.05 |
| 7 | 1.01 | 7.19 |
| 7.25 | 1.06 | 5.51 |
| 7.75 | 1.13 | 4.35 |
| 8 | 1.15 | 4.14 |
| 8.25 | 1.22 | 3.46 |
| 8.75 | 1.33 | 2.88 |
| 9 | 1.37 | 2.73 |
| 9.25 | 1.46 | 2.45 |
| 9.75 | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| 10 | 1.79 | 1.97 |
| 10.25 | 1.81 | 1.89 |
| 10.75 | 2.03 | 1.70 |
| 11 | 2.19 | 1.61 |
| 11.25 | 2.30 | 1.53 |
| 11.75 | 2.63 | 1.40 |
| 12 | 2.93 | 1.32 |
| 12.25 | 3.08 | 1.29 |
| 12.75 | 3.64 | 1.20 |
| 13 | 4.24 | 1.14 |
| 13.25 | 4.42 | 1.12 |
| 13.75 | 5.35 | 1.07 |
| 14 | 6.54 | 1.03 |
| 14.25 | 6.75 | 1.02 |