Kidderminster Harriers vs Sutton Utd• National League, England

#110.8:0.81-1FT03/10 · Aggborough Stadium, Kidderminster1.2:1.8#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.51PINX3.551XB22.861XBMargin at best3.0%Books7Markets45Rating59 · 42Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 20:24 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.20	3.74	3.08	4.7%
Betano	2.20	3.40	3.10	7.1%
BetVictor	2.15	3.30	3.10	9.1%
Bet365	2.15	3.40	3.00	9.3%
William Hill	2.15	3.40	2.90	10.4%
Betfair	2.10	3.30	3.00	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.10	3.28	2.96	11.9%
Best of all books	2.20	3.74	3.10	4.5%
Average	2.15	3.40	3.02	9.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Kidderminster HarriersSutton Utd

Last 10#11Table position#131.54Points per game1.383Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 51.20.8Goals against · last 51.840Attack rating6069Defence rating3158Form rating4250H2H rating5067Goals model3359Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:51 UTC

Kidderminster Harriers

4W 4D 2L · goals 13:8 · per match 1.3 for, 0.8 against

10 Oct	A	Carlisle	0-0	D
3 Oct	H	Sutton Utd	1-1	D
29 Sep	A	Boreham Wood	1-3	L
26 Sep	H	Yeovil Town	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Woking	0-0	D
16 Sep	H	Gateshead	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Hartlepool	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Wealdstone	4-1	W
31 Aug	H	Barrow	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Southend	3-1	W

Sutton Utd

2W 4D 4L · goals 11:18 · per match 1.1 for, 1.8 against

13 Oct	H	West Bromwich Albion U21	3-2	W
9 Oct	H	Boreham Wood	0-2	L
3 Oct	A	Kidderminster Harriers	1-1	D
30 Sep	A	Tamworth	0-2	L
26 Sep	H	Forest Green	3-3	D
19 Sep	A	FC Halifax Town	1-1	D
15 Sep	H	Eastleigh	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Scunthorpe	0-2	L
8 Sep	H	Birmingham City U21	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Barrow	0-3	L

Head to head

1Kidderminster Harriers wins

0draws

1Sutton Utd wins

2 meetings · goals 4:2 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Kidderminster Harriers

1 Feb 2025FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Kidderminster Harriers0-1Sutton Utd
9 Nov 2013FA Cup	FA Cup	Kidderminster Harriers4-1Sutton Utd

National League tableConferenceupdated 10 Oct 17:51 UTC

In the National League table, Kidderminster Harriers sit 11th with 20 points from 13 games, while Sutton Utd are 13th with 18 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	13	11	2	0	34:13	+21	35
2	Harrogate Town	13	9	1	3	29:17	+12	28
3	Southend	13	8	3	2	31:19	+12	27
4	Yeovil Town	13	7	4	2	32:15	+17	25
5	Worthing	13	7	3	3	27:18	+9	24
6	Altrincham	13	8	0	5	20:19	+1	24
7	AFC Fylde	13	7	2	4	24:18	+6	23
8	Barrow	13	6	3	4	22:16	+6	21
9	AFC Hornchurch	13	7	0	6	15:19	-4	21
10	FC Halifax Town	13	6	2	5	22:15	+7	20
11	Kidderminster Harriers	13	5	5	3	15:12	+3	20
12	Aldershot Town	13	5	3	5	18:16	+2	18
13	Sutton Utd	13	5	3	5	14:18	-4	18
14	Carlisle	13	4	5	4	23:20	+3	17
15	Woking	13	4	3	6	20:20	0	15
16	Forest Green	11	4	3	4	17:18	-1	15
17	Eastleigh	13	4	3	6	14:20	-6	15
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21:30	-9	14
19	Wealdstone	13	3	3	7	17:24	-7	12
20	Boston United	13	3	3	7	15:23	-8	12
21	Scunthorpe	12	3	1	8	15:21	-6	10
22	Hartlepool	12	3	0	9	8:17	-9	9
23	Solihull Moors	13	2	1	10	13:35	-22	7
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8:31	-23	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.35X29%3.16232%2.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.15 → 2.39 +11.2%X3.40 → 3.19 -6.2%23.02 → 2.76 -8.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
1xBet	1.86	1.94	5.3%
Betano	1.88	1.90	5.8%
BetVictor	1.82	1.85	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Best of all books	1.90	1.94	4.2%
Average	1.85	1.89	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Betano	1.70	2.05	7.6%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
1xBet	1.65	2.08	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.05	9.4%
Best of all books	1.75	2.08	5.2%
Average	1.69	2.05	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kidderminster Harriers 45%Draw 45%Sutton Utd 10%

The statistical model rated Kidderminster Harriers at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sutton Utd at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.35 | 3.16 | 2.85, which imply roughly 42.6% for a Kidderminster Harriers win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League table: Kidderminster Harriers are 11th (20 pts, 15-12 goals), Sutton Utd 13th (18 pts, 14-18).

Over their last five matches, Kidderminster Harriers averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Sutton Utd averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Kidderminster Harriers or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.15	3.40	3.02

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.62	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.58	2.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.69	2.05

1st half

1	X	2
2.79	2.17	3.63

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.78	11.5	2.17

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.70
1.5	1.26	3.50
2.5	1.85	1.89
3.5	3.09	1.33
4.5	6.06	1.10
5.5	11.7	1.04
6.5	23.3	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.90
1	1.01	8.60
1.25	1.13	4.82
1.75	1.31	3.05
2	1.40	2.67
2.25	1.63	2.17
2.75	2.05	1.69
3	2.40	1.48
3.25	2.68	1.39
3.75	3.59	1.21
4	4.90	1.11
4.25	5.25	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.50	1.46
-0.5	2.14	1.66
-0.25	1.86	1.85
0	1.58	2.23
+0.25	1.43	2.60
+0.5	1.38	3.00

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.90	1.02
-2	7.80	1.02
-1.75	5.33	1.11
-1.5	4.05	1.19
-1.25	3.62	1.23
-1	3.23	1.28
+0.75	1.23	3.66
+1	1.11	5.48
+1.25	1.09	5.87
+1.5	1.08	6.30
+1.75	1.01	8.40
+2.5	1.02	12.0