Eastleigh vs Southend• National League, England

#171.0:1.81-1FT30/09 · Silverlake Stadium, Eastleigh3.2:2.0#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.10B365X4.261XB21.78PINMargin at best4.0%Books8Markets54Rating32 · 68Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 27 Sep 02:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.78	3.99	1.80	7.1%
Betano	3.95	3.90	1.78	7.1%
BetVictor	4.00	3.75	1.73	9.5%
Bet365	4.10	3.80	1.70	9.5%
William Hill	3.80	3.70	1.75	10.5%
1xBet	3.92	3.70	1.72	10.7%
Betfair	3.90	3.80	1.70	10.8%
Marathonbet	3.84	3.70	1.70	11.9%
Best of all books	4.10	3.99	1.80	5.0%
Average	3.91	3.79	1.74	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EastleighSouthend

Last 10#17Table position#31.15Points per game2.084Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 53.21.8Goals against · last 52.024Attack rating7653Defence rating4729Form rating7120H2H rating8035Goals model6532Overall rating68

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:51 UTC

Eastleigh

2W 3D 5L · goals 9:16 · per match 0.9 for, 1.6 against

10 Oct	A	AFC Hornchurch	0-2	L
3 Oct	H	Woking	1-3	L
30 Sep	H	Southend	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Harrogate Town	1-4	L
19 Sep	H	Carlisle	1-0	W
15 Sep	A	Sutton Utd	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Boreham Wood	1-1	D
4 Sep	A	Altrincham	1-2	L
31 Aug	H	Aldershot Town	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Hartlepool	1-0	W

Southend

5W 3D 2L · goals 24:17 · per match 2.4 for, 1.7 against

10 Oct	A	Boston United	2-1	W
3 Oct	H	AFC Fylde	3-1	W
30 Sep	A	Eastleigh	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Barrow	2-4	L
19 Sep	A	Gateshead	6-1	W
15 Sep	H	Tamworth	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Carlisle	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Yeovil Town	3-2	W
31 Aug	A	Woking	1-1	D
28 Aug	H	Kidderminster Harriers	1-3	L

Head to head

3Eastleigh wins

1draws

7Southend wins

11 meetings · goals 10:17 · last 10: 3W 1D 6L for Eastleigh

20 Jan 2026National League	National League	Southend4-1Eastleigh
24 Sep 2025National League	National League	Eastleigh2-1Southend
22 Mar 2025National League	National League	Eastleigh1-2Southend
12 Oct 2024FA Cup	FA Cup	Eastleigh0-1Southend
10 Sep 2024National League	National League	Southend2-0Eastleigh
13 Jan 2024National League	National League	Eastleigh0-1Southend
25 Aug 2023National League	National League	Southend2-0Eastleigh
28 Jan 2023National League	National League	Southend1-3Eastleigh
27 Aug 2022National League	National League	Eastleigh2-1Southend
22 Feb 2022National League	National League	Eastleigh1-1Southend

National League tableConferenceupdated 10 Oct 17:51 UTC

In the National League table, Eastleigh sit 17th with 15 points from 13 games, while Southend are 3rd with 27 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	13	11	2	0	34:13	+21	35
2	Harrogate Town	13	9	1	3	29:17	+12	28
3	Southend	13	8	3	2	31:19	+12	27
4	Yeovil Town	13	7	4	2	32:15	+17	25
5	Worthing	13	7	3	3	27:18	+9	24
6	Altrincham	13	8	0	5	20:19	+1	24
7	AFC Fylde	13	7	2	4	24:18	+6	23
8	Barrow	13	6	3	4	22:16	+6	21
9	AFC Hornchurch	13	7	0	6	15:19	-4	21
10	FC Halifax Town	13	6	2	5	22:15	+7	20
11	Kidderminster Harriers	13	5	5	3	15:12	+3	20
12	Aldershot Town	13	5	3	5	18:16	+2	18
13	Sutton Utd	13	5	3	5	14:18	-4	18
14	Carlisle	13	4	5	4	23:20	+3	17
15	Woking	13	4	3	6	20:20	0	15
16	Forest Green	11	4	3	4	17:18	-1	15
17	Eastleigh	13	4	3	6	14:20	-6	15
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21:30	-9	14
19	Wealdstone	13	3	3	7	17:24	-7	12
20	Boston United	13	3	3	7	15:23	-8	12
21	Scunthorpe	12	3	1	8	15:21	-6	10
22	Hartlepool	12	3	0	9	8:17	-9	9
23	Solihull Moors	13	2	1	10	13:35	-22	7
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8:31	-23	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg123%4.05X23%4.01255%1.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.91 → 3.94 +0.8%X3.79 → 3.82 +0.8%21.74 → 1.73 -0.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Betano	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.62	2.25	6.2%
1xBet	1.59	2.17	9.0%
BetVictor	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Best of all books	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Average	1.60	2.22	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betano	1.60	2.22	7.5%
1xBet	1.56	2.25	8.5%
BetVictor	1.55	2.25	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.21	9.4%
Best of all books	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Average	1.58	2.24	8.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Eastleigh 10%Draw 45%Southend 45%

The statistical model rated Eastleigh at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Southend at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.05 | 4.01 | 1.68, which imply roughly 24.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League table: Eastleigh are 17th (15 pts, 14-20 goals), Southend 3rd (27 pts, 31-19).

Over their last five matches, Eastleigh averaged 1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Southend averaged 3.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Southend.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.91	3.79	1.74

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.96	1.21	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
3.03	1.34

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.58	2.24

1st half

1	X	2
4.30	2.33	2.27

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.44	15.5	1.56

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	12.4
1.5	1.17	4.40
2.5	1.60	2.22
3.5	2.48	1.47
4.5	4.46	1.17
5.5	8.48	1.04
6.5	16.2	1.02
7.5	34.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.40
1.25	1.06	6.15
1.75	1.18	3.93
2	1.25	3.35
2.25	1.43	2.59
2.75	1.75	1.97
3	1.97	1.74
3.25	2.23	1.57
3.75	2.88	1.33
4	3.78	1.19
4.25	4.16	1.16
4.75	5.65	1.08
5	8.00	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.33	1.54
+0.5	2.03	1.75
+0.75	1.78	1.94
+1	1.56	2.32
+1.25	1.43	2.62
+1.5	1.34	2.96

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.83	1.02
-1	7.90	1.02
-0.75	5.17	1.12
-0.5	3.93	1.25
-0.25	3.40	1.26
0	2.99	1.34
+1.75	1.25	3.50
+2	1.13	4.87
+2.25	1.11	5.38
+2.5	1.10	5.82
+2.75	1.02	7.80
+3	1.02	8.80
+3.5	1.02	10.1