AFC Hornchurch vs Aldershot Town• National League, England

#90.2:1.62-1FT29/09 · Hornchurch Stadium, London1.8:0.8#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.25B365X3.941XB23.10BTNMargin at best2.1%Books6Markets47Rating36 · 64Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 21:46 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.12	3.55	3.15	7.1%
BetVictor	2.10	3.40	3.10	9.3%
Bet365	2.10	3.50	3.00	9.5%
1xBet	2.11	3.38	2.98	10.5%
Betfair	2.05	3.50	3.00	10.7%
Marathonbet	2.09	3.38	2.91	11.8%
Best of all books	2.12	3.55	3.15	7.1%
Average	2.10	3.45	3.02	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AFC HornchurchAldershot Town

Last 10#9Table position#121.62Points per game1.387Form pts · last 530.2Goals for · last 51.81.6Goals against · last 50.810Attack rating9033Defence rating6723Form rating770H2H rating077Goals model2336Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:51 UTC

AFC Hornchurch

4W 1D 5L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

10 Oct	H	Eastleigh	2-0	W
6 Oct	H	Fulham U21	1-1	D
3 Oct	A	Harrogate Town	0-3	L
29 Sep	H	Aldershot Town	2-1	W
26 Sep	A	Altrincham	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Scunthorpe	1-0	W
15 Sep	A	Worthing	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	FC Halifax Town	0-3	L
8 Sep	H	Ipswich Town U21	3-0	W
5 Sep	H	Forest Green	0-1	L

Aldershot Town

3W 2D 5L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against

10 Oct	A	Altrincham	1-3	L
3 Oct	H	Carlisle	1-3	L
29 Sep	A	AFC Hornchurch	1-2	L
26 Sep	H	Tamworth	5-1	W
19 Sep	A	Barrow	0-1	L
15 Sep	H	Yeovil Town	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Solihull Moors	2-1	W
8 Sep	H	West Ham United U21	0-3	L
5 Sep	H	FC Halifax Town	1-0	W
31 Aug	A	Eastleigh	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between AFC Hornchurch and Aldershot Town on record.

National League tableConferenceupdated 10 Oct 17:51 UTC

In the National League table, AFC Hornchurch sit 9th with 21 points from 13 games, while Aldershot Town are 12th with 18 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	13	11	2	0	34:13	+21	35
2	Harrogate Town	13	9	1	3	29:17	+12	28
3	Southend	13	8	3	2	31:19	+12	27
4	Yeovil Town	13	7	4	2	32:15	+17	25
5	Worthing	13	7	3	3	27:18	+9	24
6	Altrincham	13	8	0	5	20:19	+1	24
7	AFC Fylde	13	7	2	4	24:18	+6	23
8	Barrow	13	6	3	4	22:16	+6	21
9	AFC Hornchurch	13	7	0	6	15:19	-4	21
10	FC Halifax Town	13	6	2	5	22:15	+7	20
11	Kidderminster Harriers	13	5	5	3	15:12	+3	20
12	Aldershot Town	13	5	3	5	18:16	+2	18
13	Sutton Utd	13	5	3	5	14:18	-4	18
14	Carlisle	13	4	5	4	23:20	+3	17
15	Woking	13	4	3	6	20:20	0	15
16	Forest Green	11	4	3	4	17:18	-1	15
17	Eastleigh	13	4	3	6	14:20	-6	15
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21:30	-9	14
19	Wealdstone	13	3	3	7	17:24	-7	12
20	Boston United	13	3	3	7	15:23	-8	12
21	Scunthorpe	12	3	1	8	15:21	-6	10
22	Hartlepool	12	3	0	9	8:17	-9	9
23	Solihull Moors	13	2	1	10	13:35	-22	7
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8:31	-23	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg142%2.16X26%3.49231%2.91

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.10 → 2.15 +2.4%X3.45 → 3.51 +1.7%23.02 → 2.91 -3.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betano	1.78	2.02	5.7%
BetVictor	1.75	1.93	9.0%
1xBet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Best of all books	1.80	2.02	5.1%
Average	1.76	1.97	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.05	7.6%
Betano	1.65	2.12	7.8%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
1xBet	1.61	2.16	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.12	9.3%
Best of all books	1.70	2.16	5.1%
Average	1.64	2.12	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AFC Hornchurch 10%Draw 45%Aldershot Town 45%

The statistical model rated AFC Hornchurch at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Aldershot Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.16 | 3.49 | 2.91, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League table: AFC Hornchurch are 9th (21 pts, 15-19 goals), Aldershot Town 12th (18 pts, 18-16).

Over their last five matches, AFC Hornchurch averaged 0.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Aldershot Town averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Aldershot Town and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.10	3.45	3.02

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.63	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.57	2.28

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.64	2.12

1st half

1	X	2
2.69	2.19	3.63

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.76	13.0	2.12

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.4
1.5	1.23	3.73
2.5	1.76	1.97
3.5	2.90	1.35
4.5	5.48	1.11
5.5	10.6	1.04
6.5	21.2	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	–	9.70
1	–	9.30
1.25	1.10	5.10
1.75	1.27	3.21
2	1.34	2.83
2.25	1.55	2.27
2.75	1.94	1.75
3	2.26	1.55
3.25	2.55	1.43
3.75	3.43	1.23
4	4.55	1.13
4.25	4.90	1.11
4.75	6.65	1.05
5	9.50	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.14	1.27
-0.75	2.45	1.47
-0.5	2.09	1.68
-0.25	1.83	1.88
0	1.56	2.21
+0.25	1.43	2.58

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.50	1.02
-2	7.60	1.03
-1.75	5.10	1.10
-1.5	3.99	1.18
-1.25	3.58	1.21
+0.75	1.21	3.59
+1	1.09	5.25
+1.25	1.08	5.70
+1.5	1.07	6.10
+1.75	1.02	8.20
+2.5	1.02	12.0