AFC Fylde vs Carlisle• National League, England

#72.0:1.20-2FT29/09 · Mill Farm, Wesham1.2:2.2#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.35B365X4.191XB22.72BTNMargin at best3.2%Books6Markets47Rating68 · 32Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 21:46 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.40	3.80	2.57	6.9%
Bet365	2.35	3.75	2.50	9.2%
BetVictor	2.38	3.70	2.45	9.9%
Betfair	2.40	3.75	2.38	10.4%
1xBet	2.38	3.62	2.38	11.7%
Marathonbet	2.38	3.62	2.38	11.7%
Best of all books	2.40	3.80	2.57	6.9%
Average	2.38	3.71	2.44	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AFC FyldeCarlisle

Last 10#7Table position#141.77Points per game1.316Form pts · last 572.0Goals for · last 51.21.2Goals against · last 52.263Attack rating3865Defence rating3583Form rating170H2H rating10062Goals model3868Overall rating32

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:13 UTC

AFC Fylde

5W 1D 4L · goals 18:15 · per match 1.8 for, 1.5 against

3 Oct	A	Southend	1-3	L
29 Sep	H	Carlisle	0-2	L
26 Sep	A	Boston United	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Altrincham	1-2	L
15 Sep	A	Harrogate Town	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Yeovil Town	4-1	W
5 Sep	H	Worthing	2-2	D
31 Aug	A	Solihull Moors	3-1	W
28 Aug	H	Forest Green	2-0	W
22 Aug	A	Woking	2-3	L

Carlisle

4W 3D 3L · goals 20:16 · per match 2.0 for, 1.6 against

3 Oct	A	Aldershot Town	3-1	W
29 Sep	A	AFC Fylde	2-0	W
26 Sep	H	Woking	2-5	L
19 Sep	A	Eastleigh	0-1	L
15 Sep	H	Forest Green	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Southend	2-2	D
5 Sep	A	Boreham Wood	1-2	L
31 Aug	H	Scunthorpe	4-2	W
28 Aug	A	Wealdstone	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	AFC Hornchurch	4-1	W

Head to head

0AFC Fylde wins

0draws

1Carlisle wins

1 meeting · goals 0:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for AFC Fylde

19 Jul 2025Friendlies Clubs

Friendlies Clubs

AFC Fylde0-2Carlisle

National League tableConferenceupdated 10 Oct 17:51 UTC

In the National League table, AFC Fylde sit 7th with 23 points from 13 games, while Carlisle are 14th with 17 points from 13.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	13	11	2	0	34:13	+21	35
2	Harrogate Town	13	9	1	3	29:17	+12	28
3	Southend	13	8	3	2	31:19	+12	27
4	Yeovil Town	13	7	4	2	32:15	+17	25
5	Worthing	13	7	3	3	27:18	+9	24
6	Altrincham	13	8	0	5	20:19	+1	24
7	AFC Fylde	13	7	2	4	24:18	+6	23
8	Barrow	13	6	3	4	22:16	+6	21
9	AFC Hornchurch	13	7	0	6	15:19	-4	21
10	FC Halifax Town	13	6	2	5	22:15	+7	20
11	Kidderminster Harriers	13	5	5	3	15:12	+3	20
12	Aldershot Town	13	5	3	5	18:16	+2	18
13	Sutton Utd	13	5	3	5	14:18	-4	18
14	Carlisle	13	4	5	4	23:20	+3	17
15	Woking	13	4	3	6	20:20	0	15
16	Forest Green	11	4	3	4	17:18	-1	15
17	Eastleigh	13	4	3	6	14:20	-6	15
18	Tamworth	13	4	2	7	21:30	-9	14
19	Wealdstone	13	3	3	7	17:24	-7	12
20	Boston United	13	3	3	7	15:23	-8	12
21	Scunthorpe	12	3	1	8	15:21	-6	10
22	Hartlepool	12	3	0	9	8:17	-9	9
23	Solihull Moors	13	2	1	10	13:35	-22	7
24	Gateshead	13	1	1	11	8:31	-23	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.23X24%3.74235%2.64

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.38 → 2.27 -4.6%X3.71 → 3.73 +0.5%22.44 → 2.60 +6.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.48	2.60	6.0%
Betano	1.47	2.55	7.2%
BetVictor	1.45	2.50	9.0%
1xBet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Best of all books	1.48	2.60	6.0%
Average	1.44	2.55	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.44	2.62	7.6%
Betano	1.42	2.65	8.2%
BetVictor	1.36	2.88	8.3%
1xBet	1.38	2.77	8.6%
Marathonbet	1.38	2.71	9.4%
Best of all books	1.44	2.88	4.2%
Average	1.40	2.73	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AFC Fylde 45%Draw 45%Carlisle 10%

The statistical model rated AFC Fylde at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Carlisle at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.23 | 3.74 | 2.64, which imply roughly 44.8% for a AFC Fylde win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the National League table: AFC Fylde are 7th (23 pts, 24-18 goals), Carlisle 14th (17 pts, 23-20).

Over their last five matches, AFC Fylde averaged 2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Carlisle averaged 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : AFC Fylde or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.38	3.71	2.44

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.48	1.51	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.82	1.90

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.40	2.73

1st half

1	X	2
2.88	2.39	2.93

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.86	20.3	1.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.8
1.5	1.11	5.53
2.5	1.44	2.55
3.5	2.10	1.65
4.5	3.48	1.25
5.5	6.52	1.08
6.5	11.7	1.04
7.5	26.0	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	11.5
1.75	1.10	5.05
2	1.13	4.55
2.25	1.27	3.15
2.75	1.53	2.31
3	1.66	2.04
3.25	1.88	1.80
3.75	2.38	1.50
4	2.81	1.34
4.25	3.15	1.27
4.75	4.26	1.15
5	5.70	1.08
5.25	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.80	1.36
-0.5	2.35	1.55
-0.25	2.08	1.66
0	1.82	1.88
+0.25	1.61	2.17
+0.5	1.49	2.49

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.85	1.04
-2	8.70	1.01
-1.75	5.82	1.09
-1.5	4.46	1.16
-1.25	4.07	1.19
-1	3.66	1.22
+0.75	1.35	2.89
+1	1.21	3.79
+1.25	1.18	4.19
+1.5	1.15	4.56
+1.75	1.09	5.93
+2	1.01	8.70
+2.5	1.04	9.03