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Kasımpaşa vs Beşiktaş• Süper Lig, Turkey

#51.6:1.02-2FT01/11 · Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium, Istanbul1.8:1.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.60BTNX4.59PIN21.601XBMargin at best2.1%Books10Markets86Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Nov 12:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano5.604.551.602.3%
1xBet5.474.491.603.1%
Pinnacle5.414.591.583.6%
Dafabet5.404.501.564.8%
BetVictor5.504.201.537.4%
Marathonbet5.254.301.537.7%
Bet3654.754.501.557.8%
Betfair5.504.331.507.9%
William Hill5.004.001.559.5%
SBO5.033.901.5410.5%
Best of all books5.604.591.602.1%
Average5.294.341.556.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KasımpaşaBeşiktaş
Last 10#5Table position#41.70Points per game1.9012Form pts · last 581.6Goals for · last 51.81.0Goals against · last 51.247Attack rating5355Defence rating4553Form rating4762H2H rating3870Goals model3057Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Oct 18:01 UTC

Kasımpaşa

6W 3D 1L · goals 17:10 · per match 1.7 for, 1.0 against

29 OctHÇorluspor 19473-1W
24 OctAEyüpspor1-0W
18 OctHSamsunspor4-1W
9 OctAGalatasaray1-3L
3 OctHFatih Karagümrük2-1W
18 SepHKonyaspor0-0D
13 SepAGençlerbirliği S.K.2-1W
6 SepHAmed2-2D
30 AugABaşakşehir1-1D
22 AugAÇorum FK1-0W

Beşiktaş

6W 2D 2L · goals 22:14 · per match 2.2 for, 1.4 against

1 NovAKasımpaşa2-2D
26 OctHBaşakşehir2-0W
22 OctHCrystal Palace2-2D
19 OctATrabzonspor0-2L
15 OctA1899 Hoffenheim3-2W
11 OctHKocaelispor2-1W
20 SepAAmed2-3L
17 SepHMarseille4-1W
11 SepHErzurumspor FK3-0W
5 SepAFenerbahçe2-1W

Head to head

9Kasımpaşa wins
5draws
14Beşiktaş wins

28 meetings · goals 46:57 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Kasımpaşa

19 Mar 2026Süper LigSüper LigBeşiktaş2-1Kasımpaşa
26 Oct 2025Süper LigSüper LigKasımpaşa1-1Beşiktaş
7 Apr 2025Süper LigSüper LigKasımpaşa1-1Beşiktaş
2 Nov 2024Süper LigSüper LigBeşiktaş1-3Kasımpaşa
26 May 2024Süper LigSüper LigKasımpaşa2-1Beşiktaş
5 Jan 2024Süper LigSüper LigBeşiktaş1-3Kasımpaşa
3 Jun 2023Süper LigSüper LigKasımpaşa2-5Beşiktaş
7 Jan 2023Süper LigSüper LigBeşiktaş2-1Kasımpaşa
25 Apr 2022Süper LigSüper LigBeşiktaş0-3Kasımpaşa
3 Dec 2021Süper LigSüper LigKasımpaşa1-1Beşiktaş

Süper Lig tableSüper Ligupdated 1 Nov 21:01 UTC

In the Süper Lig table, Kasımpaşa sit 5th with 17 points from 10 games, while Beşiktaş are 4th with 19 points from 10.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Galatasaray1081123:12+1125
2Amed1072125:11+1423
3Trabzonspor1071224:8+1622
4Beşiktaş1061320:12+819
5Kasımpaşa1045115:11+417
6Fenerbahçe1051424:10+1416
7Çorum FK1051421:16+516
8Kocaelispor1051411:9+216
9Göztepe1043321:17+415
10Başakşehir1042417:16+114
11Erzurumspor FK104249:15-614
12Alanyaspor93339:11-212
13Rizespor1032511:15-411
14Konyaspor102266:13-78
15Gaziantep FK102269:17-88
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.92257:18-118
17Samsunspor1011810:26-164
18Eyüpspor101093:28-253

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg118%5.29X22%4.34261%1.55

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Oct 00:011 Nov 12:501 5.29X 4.342 1.55
15.24 → 5.29 +1.0%X4.20 → 4.34 +3.3%21.55 → 1.55 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.622.423.1%
Pinnacle1.582.483.6%
Betano1.622.373.9%
Bet3651.602.306.0%
Betfair1.532.456.2%
Marathonbet1.562.337.0%
BetVictor1.552.249.2%
Best of all books1.622.482.1%
Average1.582.375.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.652.206.1%
Betano1.672.127.1%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
1xBet1.632.148.1%
BetVictor1.622.158.2%
William Hill1.622.158.2%
Marathonbet1.632.118.7%
Best of all books1.802.201.0%
Average1.662.117.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kasımpaşa 45%Draw 45%Beşiktaş 10%

The statistical model rated Kasımpaşa at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Beşiktaş at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.29 | 4.34 | 1.55, which imply roughly 18.9% for a Kasımpaşa win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Süper Lig table: Kasımpaşa are 5th (17 pts, 15-11 goals), Beşiktaş 4th (19 pts, 20-12).

Over their last five matches, Kasımpaşa averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Beşiktaş averaged 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Kasımpaşa or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Kasımpaşa

4-1-4-1

Goalkeeper

  • 1Andreas Gianniotis

Defence

  • 2Cláudio Winck
  • 4Adem Arous
  • 27Matei Ilie
  • 45Ayberk Karapo

Midfield

  • 26Kerem Demirbay
  • 17Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
  • 10Haris Hajradinović
  • 51Elson Mendes
  • 7Ali Yavuz Kol

Attack

  • 9Adrian Benedyczak
Substitutes (10)
  • 25Ali Emre Yanar
  • 5Jakob Jessen
  • 18Ömer Bayram
  • 30Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı
  • 8Atakan Mujde
  • 19Marcus Rafferty
  • 11Thiemoko Diarra
  • 66Emirhan Boz
  • 50Güven Yalçın
  • 35Mecit Deniz

Beşiktaş

4-1-4-1

Goalkeeper

  • 1Alexander Nübel

Defence

  • 62Amir Murillo
  • 12Emmanuel Agbadou
  • 53Emirhan Topçu
  • 33Rıdvan Yılmaz

Midfield

  • 6Salih Özcan
  • 18Václav Černý
  • 15Junior Olaitan
  • 4Wilfred Ndidi
  • 19Leandro Trossard

Attack

  • 28Dušan Vlahović
Substitutes (10)
  • 80Doğan Alemdar
  • 58Yasin Özcan
  • 11Kassoum Ouattara
  • 22Taylan Bulut
  • 35Tiago Djaló
  • 29İlhan Fakılı
  • 8Kartal Kayra Yılmaz
  • 7Milot Rashica
  • 90Semih Kılıçsoy
  • 9Hyeon-gyu Oh

Match Statistics

KasımpaşaBeşiktaş
6Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal3
16Total Shots8
3Blocked Shots1
10Shots insidebox7
6Shots outsidebox1
18Fouls14
5Corner Kicks2
42%Ball Possession58%
1Yellow Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
328Total passes478
240Passes accurate383
73%Passes %80%
1.20Expected Goals1.26
-0.75Goals Prevented-0.75

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.294.341.55

Double chance

1XX212
2.391.151.20

Draw no bet

12
4.031.21

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.662.11

1st half

1X2
5.102.452.02

2nd half

1X2
4.802.811.83

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 18.8415.919.1
HT X11.56.754.46
HT 239.215.02.29

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.7316.31.47

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0213.8
1.51.174.73
2.51.582.37
3.52.421.54
4.54.261.20
5.58.061.06
6.514.61.02
7.523.21.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.70
1.251.076.15
1.751.194.11
21.283.57
2.251.452.66
2.751.742.08
31.951.84
3.252.131.67
3.752.741.39
43.401.27
4.253.631.23
4.754.891.12
56.641.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.901.39
+0.52.441.55
+0.752.141.68
+11.881.91
+1.251.662.18
+1.51.532.46
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.510.41.03
-18.701.04
-0.756.241.09
-0.54.651.18
-0.254.361.19
03.971.23
+1.751.392.91
+21.253.77
+2.251.204.02
+2.51.184.40
+2.751.115.53
+31.057.39
+3.51.048.13

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.422.72
4.51.831.90
5.52.551.47

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.058.50
6.51.095.38
7.51.213.68
8.51.402.66
9.51.702.04
10.52.141.63
11.52.771.36
12.53.711.20
13.54.801.13
14.56.241.07
15.59.251.04
16.511.01.02
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.104.35
81.233.07
8.251.322.88
8.751.442.46
91.522.32
9.251.612.13
9.751.801.84
101.921.85
10.252.041.64
10.752.331.48
112.461.46
11.252.701.36
123.071.23
134.091.12
145.251.06

Next Süper Lig matches

2 NovGençlerbirliği S.K. – Alanyaspor

All Süper Lig fixtures and the table

Latest Süper Lig results

1 NovBaşakşehir 5-2 Samsunspor
1 NovTrabzonspor 2-0 Gaziantep FK
1 NovAmed 5-1 Eyüpspor
31 OctFenerbahçe 1-2 Göztepe
31 OctKocaelispor 0-0 Rizespor
31 OctErzurumspor FK 1-3 Çorum FK