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Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor• Süper Lig, Turkey

#71.2:1.44-1FTToday · Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadium, Istanbul0.2:2.4#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.431XBX3.461XB23.10PINMargin at best2.3%Books6Markets72Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Oct 06:25 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.433.463.023.2%
Pinnacle2.403.403.103.3%
BetVictor2.303.303.007.1%
Marathonbet2.333.322.907.5%
Bet3652.253.302.889.5%
William Hill2.303.102.9010.2%
Best of all books2.433.463.102.3%
Average2.343.312.976.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KasımpaşaSamsunspor
Last 10#7Table position#171.63Points per game0.508Form pts · last 501.2Goals for · last 50.21.4Goals against · last 52.486Attack rating1463Defence rating37100Form rating050H2H rating5043Goals model5759Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:31 UTC

Kasımpaşa

4W 5D 1L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

9 OctAGalatasaray1-3L
3 OctHFatih Karagümrük2-1W
18 SepHKonyaspor0-0D
13 SepAGençlerbirliği S.K.2-1W
6 SepHAmed2-2D
30 AugABaşakşehir1-1D
22 AugAÇorum FK1-0W
15 AugHTrabzonspor1-1D
8 AugHSamsunspor3-0W
1 AugHHull City1-1D

Samsunspor

3W 1D 6L · goals 10:20 · per match 1.0 for, 2.0 against

10 OctHTrabzonspor0-3L
20 SepAErzurumspor FK0-1L
12 SepHÇorum FK1-5L
6 SepAKocaelispor0-1L
30 AugHFenerbahçe0-2L
22 AugARizespor2-0W
17 AugHGöztepe3-3D
8 AugAKasımpaşa0-3L
1 AugAKVC Westerlo2-1W
29 JulAAEK Athens FC2-1W

Head to head

3Kasımpaşa wins
1draws
3Samsunspor wins

7 meetings · goals 9:9 · last 7: 3W 1D 3L for Kasımpaşa

8 Aug 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsKasımpaşa3-0Samsunspor
30 Jan 2026Süper LigSüper LigKasımpaşa0-1Samsunspor
17 Sep 2025Süper LigSüper LigSamsunspor0-0Kasımpaşa
29 Mar 2025Süper LigSüper LigSamsunspor0-2Kasımpaşa
26 Oct 2024Süper LigSüper LigKasımpaşa1-4Samsunspor
27 Apr 2024Süper LigSüper LigKasımpaşa1-0Samsunspor
9 Dec 2023Süper LigSüper LigSamsunspor4-2Kasımpaşa

Süper Lig tableSüper Ligupdated 18 Oct 19:00 UTC

In the Süper Lig table, Kasımpaşa sit 7th with 13 points from 8 games, while Samsunspor are 17th with 4 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Galatasaray861117:11+619
2Amed852118:9+917
3Fenerbahçe851222:6+1616
4Beşiktaş750216:8+815
5Trabzonspor741216:5+1113
6Çorum FK841318:13+513
7Kasımpaşa834112:9+313
8Kocaelispor84049:8+112
9Alanyaspor83328:9-112
10Erzurumspor FK83235:11-611
11Rizespor83148:11-310
12Göztepe823317:16+19
13Başakşehir722310:11-18
14Gaziantep FK72237:10-38
15Gençlerbirliği S.K.82247:16-98
16Konyaspor81254:9-55
17Samsunspor81167:19-124
18Eyüpspor81072:22-203

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.34X28%3.31232%2.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15 Oct 00:0118 Oct 06:301 2.34X 3.312 2.97
12.51 → 2.34 -6.8%X3.33 → 3.31 -0.6%22.64 → 2.97 +12.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.061.842.9%
Pinnacle2.071.833.0%
Bet3652.001.805.6%
Marathonbet1.981.777.0%
BetVictor1.921.768.9%
Best of all books2.071.842.7%
Average2.011.805.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.752.007.1%
BetVictor1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.761.967.8%
Bet3651.801.917.9%
Marathonbet1.761.938.6%
Best of all books1.802.005.6%
Average1.761.967.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kasımpaşa 45%Draw 45%Samsunspor 10%

The statistical model rated Kasımpaşa at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Samsunspor at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.34 | 3.31 | 2.97, which imply roughly 42.7% for a Kasımpaşa win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Süper Lig table: Kasımpaşa are 7th (13 pts, 12-9 goals), Samsunspor 17th (4 pts, 7-19).

Over their last five matches, Kasımpaşa averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Samsunspor averaged 0.2 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Kasımpaşa or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Kasımpaşa

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

  • 1Andreas Gianniotis

Defence

  • 2Cláudio Winck
  • 4Adem Arous
  • 27Matei Ilie
  • 45Ayberk Karapo

Midfield

  • 16Andri Fannar Baldursson
  • 26Kerem Demirbay
  • 17Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
  • 51Elson Mendes
  • 7Ali Yavuz Kol

Attack

  • 9Adrian Benedyczak
Substitutes (10)
  • 25Ali Emre Yanar
  • 14Kevin Mouanga
  • 30Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı
  • 18Ömer Bayram
  • 66Emirhan Boz
  • 11Thiemoko Diarra
  • 19Marcus Rafferty
  • 8Atakan Mujde
  • 10Haris Hajradinović
  • 50Güven Yalçın

Samsunspor

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

  • 1Okan Kocuk

Defence

  • 2Josafat Mendes
  • 22Yunus Emre Çift
  • 34Gabriele Guarino
  • 17Logi Tomasson

Midfield

  • 19Oskar Øhlenschlaeger
  • 4Elliot Watt
  • 10Tanguy Coulibaly
  • 20Yalçın Kayan
  • 11Emre Kılınç

Attack

  • 18Mohamed Bayo
Substitutes (10)
  • 25Bilal Bayazit
  • 16Strahinja Eraković
  • 3Igor Drapiński
  • 23Enes Albak
  • 29Haluk Mustafa Tan
  • 42Antoine Sekongo
  • 8Samed Onur
  • 77Afonso Sousa
  • 7Elayis Tavsan
  • 30Saikuba Jarju

Match Statistics

KasımpaşaSamsunspor
8Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal3
22Total Shots6
7Blocked Shots0
14Shots insidebox4
8Shots outsidebox2
11Fouls17
8Corner Kicks4
0Offsides2
54%Ball Possession46%
0Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
348Total passes295
299Passes accurate234
86%Passes %79%
1.93Expected Goals0.61
-0.79Goals Prevented-0.79

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.343.312.97

Double chance

1XX212
1.381.561.31

Draw no bet

12
1.692.07

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.761.96

1st half

1X2
2.972.123.55

2nd half

1X2
2.682.383.17

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 13.8014.031.0
HT X5.774.976.63
HT 228.014.74.78

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.879.152.14

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.28
1.51.303.24
2.52.011.80
3.53.461.27
4.56.891.08
5.513.81.02
6.529.01.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.027.70
11.047.10
1.251.164.10
1.751.382.81
21.492.44
2.251.762.03
2.752.271.61
32.741.40
3.252.971.30
3.754.141.16
45.651.08
4.255.951.07
59.601.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.711.41
-0.52.321.59
-0.252.001.79
01.702.14
+0.251.492.48
+0.51.402.88
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-28.601.01
-1.755.831.09
-1.54.471.16
-1.254.141.20
-13.661.24
+0.751.263.54
+11.145.12
+1.251.105.53
+1.51.096.00
+1.751.037.60
+21.0110.0

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.055.37
6.51.095.60
7.51.213.66
8.51.442.55
9.51.821.93
10.52.201.58
11.52.771.36
12.53.791.19
13.55.001.11
14.56.801.05
16 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.065.17
71.163.65
7.751.283.05
81.362.65
8.251.342.92
8.751.452.48
91.662.10
9.251.622.15
9.751.821.86
102.131.65
10.252.061.66
10.752.331.48
112.761.37
11.252.741.38
123.751.15
134.901.07

Next Süper Lig matches

19 OctTrabzonspor – Beşiktaş

All Süper Lig fixtures and the table

Latest Süper Lig results

18 OctBaşakşehir 2-1 Gaziantep FK
18 OctKocaelispor 1-2 Göztepe
17 OctFenerbahçe 3-0 Alanyaspor
17 OctGençlerbirliği S.K. 0-1 Galatasaray
17 OctAmed 1-0 Konyaspor
17 OctErzurumspor FK 2-0 Eyüpspor