Galatasaray vs Kasımpaşa• Süper Lig, Turkey

#12.2:1.63-1FTToday · Rams Park Stadyumu, Istanbul1.2:0.8#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.33BTNX6.521XB210.8PINMargin6.1%Books10Markets95Rating51 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.30	6.30	10.3	2.6%
1xBet	1.25	6.74	11.8	3.3%
Pinnacle	1.25	6.51	11.3	4.2%
Dafabet	1.27	6.20	9.80	5.1%
William Hill	1.25	5.80	10.0	7.2%
Marathonbet	1.23	6.00	10.5	7.5%
Betfair	1.22	6.00	11.0	7.7%
Bet365	1.25	5.50	10.0	8.2%
BetVictor	1.22	5.75	10.0	9.4%
SBO	1.25	5.51	8.30	10.2%
Best of all books	1.30	6.74	11.8	0.2%
Average	1.25	6.03	10.3	6.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GalatasarayKasımpaşa

Last 10#1Table position#92.29Points per game1.437Form pts · last 592.2Goals for · last 51.21.6Goals against · last 50.865Attack rating3533Defence rating6757Form rating4362H2H rating3833Goals model6751Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 14:01 UTC

Galatasaray

4W 3D 3L · goals 21:21 · per match 2.1 for, 2.1 against

2 Oct	A	Pendikspor	3-3	D
19 Sep	A	Trabzonspor	0-4	L
13 Sep	H	Kocaelispor	1-0	W
9 Sep	A	Sporting CP	1-3	L
4 Sep	A	Başakşehir	3-2	W
29 Aug	H	Göztepe	3-2	W
21 Aug	A	Erzurumspor FK	4-0	W
14 Aug	H	Çorum FK	2-2	D
8 Aug	H	Villarreal	1-2	L
2 Aug	H	Rennes	3-3	D

Kasımpaşa

5W 5D 0L · goals 16:7 · per match 1.6 for, 0.7 against

3 Oct	H	Fatih Karagümrük	2-1	W
18 Sep	H	Konyaspor	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Amed	2-2	D
30 Aug	A	Başakşehir	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Çorum FK	1-0	W
15 Aug	H	Trabzonspor	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	Samsunspor	3-0	W
1 Aug	H	Hull City	1-1	D
24 Jul	H	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	3-0	W

Head to head

18Galatasaray wins

5draws

7Kasımpaşa wins

30 meetings · goals 63:45 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Galatasaray

17 May 2026Süper Lig	Süper Lig	Kasımpaşa1-0Galatasaray
21 Dec 2025Süper Lig	Süper Lig	Galatasaray3-0Kasımpaşa
2 Mar 2025Süper Lig	Süper Lig	Kasımpaşa3-3Galatasaray
28 Sep 2024Süper Lig	Süper Lig	Galatasaray3-3Kasımpaşa
17 Mar 2024Süper Lig	Süper Lig	Kasımpaşa3-4Galatasaray
3 Nov 2023Süper Lig	Süper Lig	Galatasaray2-1Kasımpaşa
11 Mar 2023Süper Lig	Süper Lig	Galatasaray1-0Kasımpaşa
11 Sep 2022Süper Lig	Süper Lig	Kasımpaşa2-3Galatasaray
24 Jul 2022Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Galatasaray2-1Kasımpaşa
20 Jan 2022Süper Lig	Süper Lig	Galatasaray1-3Kasımpaşa

Süper Lig tableSüper Ligupdated 9 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the Süper Lig table, Galatasaray sit 1st with 16 points from 7 games, while Kasımpaşa are 9th with 10 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	7	5	1	1	16:11	+5	16
2	Amed	6	4	1	1	15:7	+8	13
3	Beşiktaş	6	4	0	2	14:7	+7	12
4	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	7:4	+3	12
5	Alanyaspor	6	3	2	1	8:6	+2	11
6	Fenerbahçe	6	3	1	2	16:6	+10	10
7	Trabzonspor	6	3	1	2	13:5	+8	10
8	Rizespor	6	3	1	2	7:6	+1	10
9	Kasımpaşa	7	2	4	1	8:8	0	10
10	Gaziantep FK	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8
11	Çorum FK	6	2	1	3	13:12	+1	7
12	Başakşehir	6	2	1	3	10:11	-1	7
13	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	6	2	1	3	5:13	-8	7
14	Erzurumspor FK	6	2	1	3	3:11	-8	7
15	Konyaspor	6	1	1	4	4:8	-4	4
16	Samsunspor	6	1	1	4	6:12	-6	4
17	Göztepe	6	0	3	3	11:15	-4	3
18	Eyüpspor	6	1	0	5	2:16	-14	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg174%1.27X16%5.90210%9.56

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.23 → 1.27 +3.3%X5.99 → 5.90 -1.5%210.3 → 9.56 -6.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.50	2.70	3.7%
Pinnacle	1.43	2.88	4.7%
Betfair	1.40	2.88	6.2%
Bet365	1.44	2.70	6.5%
BetVictor	1.40	2.75	7.8%
1xBet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.40	2.56	10.5%
Best of all books	1.50	2.88	1.4%
Average	1.42	2.72	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
Betano	1.88	1.87	6.7%
William Hill	1.83	1.91	7.0%
1xBet	1.85	1.86	7.8%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Best of all books	1.88	1.91	5.5%
Average	1.84	1.88	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Galatasaray 35%Draw 35%Kasımpaşa 30%

The statistical model rated Galatasaray at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Kasımpaşa at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.27 | 5.90 | 9.56, which imply roughly 78.7% for a Galatasaray win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Süper Lig table: Galatasaray are 1st (16 pts, 16-11 goals), Kasımpaşa 9th (10 pts, 8-8).

Over their last five matches, Galatasaray averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Kasımpaşa averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Galatasaray or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

1Uğurcan Çakır

Defence

21Deniz Gül
6Davinson Sánchez
42Abdülkerim Bardakcı
4Ismail Jakobs

Midfield

34Lucas Torreira
83Aleksey Batrakov
53Barış Alper Yılmaz
8Gabriel Sara
27Rafael Leão

Attack

11Yunus Akgün

Substitutes (10)

24Jankat Yılmaz
3El Chadaille Bitshiabu
17Eren Elmalı
7Roland Sallai
23Kaan Ayhan
10Leroy Sané
74Renato Nhaga
20İlkay Gündoğan
99Mario Lemina
45Victor Osimhen

Kasımpaşa

4-2-3-1

Goalkeeper

1Andreas Gianniotis

Defence

2Cláudio Winck
14Kevin Mouanga
27Matei Ilie
45Ayberk Karapo

Midfield

51Elson Mendes
26Kerem Demirbay
50Güven Yalçın
16Andri Fannar Baldursson
7Ali Yavuz Kol

Attack

9Adrian Benedyczak

Substitutes (10)

25Ali Emre Yanar
5Jakob Jessen
4Adem Arous
17Jesurun Rak-Sakyi
8Atakan Mujde
11Thiemoko Diarra
10Haris Hajradinović
66Emirhan Boz
19Marcus Rafferty
99Muhammed Bektaş

Match Statistics

GalatasarayKasımpaşa

10Shots on Goal3

6Shots off Goal4

24Total Shots9

8Blocked Shots2

18Shots insidebox3

6Shots outsidebox6

12Fouls15

8Corner Kicks1

0Offsides5

63%Ball Possession37%

2Yellow Cards4

1Red Cards0

2Goalkeeper Saves8

428Total passes252

360Passes accurate184

84%Passes %73%

2.18Expected Goals0.59

0.09Goals Prevented0.09

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.25	6.03	10.3

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	3.83	1.11

Draw no bet

1	2
1.07	7.68

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
1.63	2.81	7.88

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.27	20.0	3.72

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	17.1
1.5	1.12	5.78
2.5	1.42	2.72
3.5	2.11	1.72
4.5	3.47	1.28
5.5	6.37	1.09
6.5	12.7	1.04
7.5	23.5	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	13.5
1.75	1.12	4.80
2	1.14	4.40
2.25	1.27	3.14
2.75	1.52	2.40
3	1.66	2.14
3.25	1.89	1.90
3.75	2.36	1.54
4	2.84	1.37
4.25	3.04	1.29
4.75	3.98	1.17
5	5.20	1.10
5.25	5.50	1.08
6	9.20	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	2.70	1.42
-2.25	2.40	1.52
-2	2.16	1.65
-1.75	1.89	1.91
-1.5	1.71	2.12
-1.25	1.51	2.45

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	8.10	1.02
-4	7.50	1.03
-3.75	5.87	1.09
-3.5	4.79	1.14
-3.25	4.31	1.17
-3	4.01	1.19
-2.75	3.20	1.32
-1	1.34	3.08
-0.75	1.27	3.45
-0.5	1.27	3.68
-0.25	1.13	4.90
0	1.03	7.50

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.44	2.67
4.5	1.87	1.87
5.5	2.60	1.45

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.03	10.5
5.5	1.06	6.48
6.5	1.10	5.28
7.5	1.21	3.62
8.5	1.41	2.61
9.5	1.73	1.99
10.5	2.15	1.63
11.5	2.82	1.36
12.5	3.73	1.20
13.5	5.14	1.11
14.5	6.66	1.06
15.5	10.3	1.03

16 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.35
7	1.10	4.45
8	1.22	3.15
8.25	1.26	3.12
8.75	1.37	2.62
9	1.48	2.42
9.25	1.52	2.29
9.75	1.70	1.98
10	1.89	1.89
10.25	1.91	1.76
10.75	2.12	1.56
11	2.41	1.48
11.25	2.45	1.42
12	3.00	1.25
13	3.97	1.13
14	5.12	1.06