Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor• Süper Lig, Turkey

#32.6:1.416:00Tomorrow · Tupras Stadium, Istanbul1.4:0.4#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.30DAFX6.111XB211.11XBMargin at best2.3%Books10Markets88Rating63 · 38Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 22:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.29	6.11	11.1	2.9%
Dafabet	1.30	5.60	9.80	5.0%
Pinnacle	1.28	5.44	9.96	6.5%
Betano	1.29	5.30	9.50	6.9%
Betfair	1.25	5.50	11.0	7.3%
Marathonbet	1.26	5.50	10.0	7.5%
William Hill	1.25	5.50	10.0	8.2%
Bet365	1.27	4.75	11.0	8.9%
BetVictor	1.25	5.25	10.0	9.0%
SBO	1.25	5.13	8.10	11.8%
Best of all books	1.30	6.11	11.1	2.3%
Average	1.27	5.41	10.0	7.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BeşiktaşKocaelispor

Last 10#3Table position#42.00Points per game2.0012Form pts · last 5122.6Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 50.465Attack rating3522Defence rating7843Form rating5788H2H rating1387Goals model1363Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:11 UTC

Beşiktaş

7W 0D 3L · goals 22:9 · per match 2.2 for, 0.9 against

20 Sep	A	Amed	2-3	L
17 Sep	H	Marseille	4-1	W
11 Sep	H	Erzurumspor FK	3-0	W
5 Sep	A	Fenerbahçe	2-1	W
31 Aug	H	Çorum FK	6-2	W
27 Aug	A	Kauno Žalgiris	0-1	L
23 Aug	A	Alanyaspor	0-1	L
20 Aug	H	Kauno Žalgiris	3-0	W
16 Aug	H	Eyüpspor	1-0	W
13 Aug	H	Hradec Králové	1-0	W

Kocaelispor

4W 1D 5L · goals 8:8 · per match 0.8 for, 0.8 against

19 Sep	H	Gaziantep FK	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Galatasaray	0-1	L
6 Sep	H	Samsunspor	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Konyaspor	2-1	W
24 Aug	H	Amed	2-0	W
16 Aug	A	Başakşehir	0-2	L
17 May	A	Antalyaspor	0-1	L
9 May	H	Fatih Karagümrük	0-1	L
3 May	A	Kasımpaşa	1-1	D
26 Apr	A	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	0-1	L

Head to head

2Beşiktaş wins

1draws

0Kocaelispor wins

3 meetings · goals 5:2 · last 3: 2W 1D 0L for Beşiktaş

28 Feb 2026Süper Lig	Süper Lig	Kocaelispor0-1Beşiktaş
5 Feb 2026Türkiye Kupası	Türkiye Kupası	Kocaelispor1-1Beşiktaş
29 Sep 2025Süper Lig	Süper Lig	Beşiktaş3-1Kocaelispor

Süper Lig tableSüper Ligupdated 9 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the Süper Lig table, Beşiktaş sit 3rd with 12 points from 6 games, while Kocaelispor are 4th with 12 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	7	5	1	1	16:11	+5	16
2	Amed	6	4	1	1	15:7	+8	13
3	Beşiktaş	6	4	0	2	14:7	+7	12
4	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	7:4	+3	12
5	Alanyaspor	6	3	2	1	8:6	+2	11
6	Fenerbahçe	6	3	1	2	16:6	+10	10
7	Trabzonspor	6	3	1	2	13:5	+8	10
8	Rizespor	6	3	1	2	7:6	+1	10
9	Kasımpaşa	7	2	4	1	8:8	0	10
10	Gaziantep FK	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8
11	Çorum FK	6	2	1	3	13:12	+1	7
12	Başakşehir	6	2	1	3	10:11	-1	7
13	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	6	2	1	3	5:13	-8	7
14	Erzurumspor FK	6	2	1	3	3:11	-8	7
15	Konyaspor	6	1	1	4	4:8	-4	4
16	Samsunspor	6	1	1	4	6:12	-6	4
17	Göztepe	6	0	3	3	11:15	-4	3
18	Eyüpspor	6	1	0	5	2:16	-14	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg173%1.27X17%5.4129%10.1

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.26 → 1.27 +0.8%X5.41 → 5.41 0.0%210.2 → 10.1 -1.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.68	2.29	3.2%
Betano	1.65	2.32	3.7%
Pinnacle	1.64	2.26	5.2%
Betfair	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.21	7.0%
BetVictor	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Best of all books	1.68	2.32	2.6%
Average	1.63	2.26	5.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betano	2.07	1.70	7.1%
William Hill	2.00	1.75	7.1%
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	2.05	1.69	8.0%
Marathonbet	2.05	1.67	8.7%
BetVictor	2.00	1.70	8.8%
Best of all books	2.07	1.80	3.9%
Average	2.02	1.72	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Beşiktaş 45%Draw 45%Kocaelispor 10%

The statistical model rates Beşiktaş at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Kocaelispor at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.27 | 5.41 | 10.05, which imply roughly 78.7% for a Beşiktaş win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Süper Lig table: Beşiktaş are 3rd (12 pts, 14-7 goals), Kocaelispor 4th (12 pts, 7-4).

Over their last five matches, Beşiktaş averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Kocaelispor averaged 1.4 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Beşiktaş.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.27	5.41	10.1

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.05	3.69	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.07	8.10

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.02	1.72

1st half

1	X	2
1.67	2.63	8.27

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.27	14.6	3.88

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	14.1
1.5	1.18	4.43
2.5	1.63	2.26
3.5	2.51	1.48
4.5	4.46	1.18
5.5	8.30	1.05
6.5	17.0	1.02
7.5	28.3	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	10.5
1.25	1.08	5.70
1.75	1.19	3.76
2	1.25	3.34
2.25	1.46	2.73
2.75	1.76	2.04
3	1.98	1.77
3.25	2.22	1.59
3.75	2.87	1.36
4	3.58	1.21
4.25	3.95	1.17
4.75	5.30	1.09
5	7.10	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	2.67	1.43
-2	2.38	1.53
-1.75	2.02	1.77
-1.5	1.82	1.97
-1.25	1.61	2.28
-1	1.39	2.83

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.75	6.73	1.07
-3.5	5.59	1.11
-3.25	5.05	1.13
-3	4.70	1.14
-2.75	3.53	1.25
-2.5	3.03	1.35
-0.75	1.30	3.19
-0.5	1.27	3.63
-0.25	1.14	4.70
0	1.04	7.20

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.95	1.80

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.03	10.5
5.5	1.06	6.55
6.5	1.11	5.20
7.5	1.24	3.47
8.5	1.47	2.47
9.5	1.82	1.91
10.5	2.30	1.55
11.5	3.08	1.30
12.5	4.32	1.16
13.5	5.49	1.09
14.5	8.00	1.06
15.5	10.3	1.03

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.45
7	1.14	3.89
8	1.32	2.85
8.25	1.36	2.76
8.75	1.50	2.34
9	1.59	2.22
9.25	1.67	2.05
9.75	1.88	1.80
10	2.04	1.72
10.25	2.12	1.59
10.75	2.43	1.44
11	2.69	1.39
11.25	2.83	1.33
12	3.49	1.18
13	4.60	1.09