Alanyaspor vs Erzurumspor FK• Süper Lig, Turkey

#51.4:1.013:00Tomorrow · Alanya Oba Stadium, Alanya0.6:1.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.96DAFX3.581XB24.36PINMargin at best1.9%Books10Markets80Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:23 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.92	3.58	4.32	3.2%
Pinnacle	1.92	3.46	4.36	3.9%
Dafabet	1.96	3.40	4.10	4.8%
Betano	1.93	3.30	4.05	6.8%
Betfair	1.85	3.30	4.33	7.5%
Marathonbet	1.84	3.44	4.15	7.5%
Bet365	1.90	3.30	3.90	8.6%
BetVictor	1.87	3.25	4.00	9.2%
William Hill	1.85	3.25	4.00	9.8%
SBO	1.91	3.05	3.61	12.8%
Best of all books	1.96	3.58	4.36	1.9%
Average	1.90	3.33	4.08	7.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AlanyasporErzurumspor FK

Last 10#5Table position#141.83Points per game1.1710Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 50.61.0Goals against · last 51.670Attack rating3062Defence rating3859Form rating4150H2H rating5087Goals model1364Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC

Alanyaspor

4W 4D 2L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

19 Sep	A	Çorum FK	2-1	W
12 Sep	H	Göztepe	2-2	D
7 Sep	A	Rizespor	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Eyüpspor	1-2	L
23 Aug	H	Beşiktaş	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Gaziantep FK	1-1	D
16 Jul	H	Tikveš	2-2	D
16 May	A	Fatih Karagümrük	1-2	L
9 May	H	Kayserispor	3-1	W
3 May	A	Antalyaspor	0-0	D

Erzurumspor FK

3W 4D 3L · goals 8:14 · per match 0.8 for, 1.4 against

20 Sep	H	Samsunspor	1-0	W
11 Sep	A	Beşiktaş	0-3	L
5 Sep	H	Konyaspor	1-0	W
28 Aug	A	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	1-1	D
21 Aug	H	Galatasaray	0-4	L
16 Aug	A	Amed	0-3	L
23 Jul	H	Al Arabi	3-1	W
17 Jul	H	Rizespor	0-0	D
2 May	A	Çorum FK	1-1	D
26 Apr	H	Bandırmaspor	1-1	D

Head to head

2Alanyaspor wins

1draws

2Erzurumspor FK wins

5 meetings · goals 9:7 · last 5: 2W 1D 2L for Alanyaspor

11 May 2021Süper Lig	Süper Lig	Alanyaspor2-3Erzurumspor FK
21 Jan 2021Süper Lig	Süper Lig	Erzurumspor FK1-1Alanyaspor
14 Jan 2021Türkiye Kupası	Türkiye Kupası	Alanyaspor4-1Erzurumspor FK
10 Mar 2019Süper Lig	Süper Lig	Alanyaspor2-1Erzurumspor FK
6 Oct 2018Süper Lig	Süper Lig	Erzurumspor FK1-0Alanyaspor

Süper Lig tableSüper Ligupdated 9 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the Süper Lig table, Alanyaspor sit 5th with 11 points from 6 games, while Erzurumspor FK are 14th with 7 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	7	5	1	1	16:11	+5	16
2	Amed	6	4	1	1	15:7	+8	13
3	Beşiktaş	6	4	0	2	14:7	+7	12
4	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	7:4	+3	12
5	Alanyaspor	6	3	2	1	8:6	+2	11
6	Fenerbahçe	6	3	1	2	16:6	+10	10
7	Trabzonspor	6	3	1	2	13:5	+8	10
8	Rizespor	6	3	1	2	7:6	+1	10
9	Kasımpaşa	7	2	4	1	8:8	0	10
10	Gaziantep FK	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8
11	Çorum FK	6	2	1	3	13:12	+1	7
12	Başakşehir	6	2	1	3	10:11	-1	7
13	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	6	2	1	3	5:13	-8	7
14	Erzurumspor FK	6	2	1	3	3:11	-8	7
15	Konyaspor	6	1	1	4	4:8	-4	4
16	Samsunspor	6	1	1	4	6:12	-6	4
17	Göztepe	6	0	3	3	11:15	-4	3
18	Eyüpspor	6	1	0	5	2:16	-14	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.90X28%3.33223%4.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.97 → 1.90 -3.6%X3.23 → 3.33 +3.1%23.75 → 4.08 +8.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.22	1.72	3.2%
Betano	2.27	1.67	3.9%
Pinnacle	2.18	1.68	5.4%
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Betfair	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Marathonbet	2.14	1.66	7.0%
BetVictor	2.10	1.63	9.0%
Best of all books	2.27	1.72	2.2%
Average	2.19	1.67	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
Betano	1.98	1.78	6.7%
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
William Hill	1.91	1.80	7.9%
1xBet	1.94	1.77	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.75	8.7%
BetVictor	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Best of all books	2.00	1.87	3.5%
Average	1.94	1.78	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alanyaspor 45%Draw 45%Erzurumspor FK 10%

The statistical model rates Alanyaspor at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Erzurumspor FK at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.90 | 3.33 | 4.08, which imply roughly 52.6% for a Alanyaspor win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Süper Lig table: Alanyaspor are 5th (11 pts, 8-6 goals), Erzurumspor FK 14th (7 pts, 3-11).

Over their last five matches, Alanyaspor averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Erzurumspor FK averaged 0.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Alanyaspor or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.90	3.33	4.08

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.86	1.31

Draw no bet

1	2
1.36	2.86

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.94	1.78

1st half

1	X	2
2.51	2.05	4.67

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.66	8.55	2.56

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.43
1.5	1.37	2.93
2.5	2.19	1.67
3.5	4.01	1.21
4.5	8.42	1.05
5.5	15.9	1.02
6.5	41.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.80
1	1.04	7.00
1.25	1.18	3.88
1.75	1.46	2.54
2	1.63	2.19
2.25	1.92	1.87
2.75	2.51	1.48
3	3.21	1.30
3.25	3.48	1.22
3.75	4.95	1.11
4	7.20	1.03
4.25	7.60	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.20	1.33
-1	2.74	1.42
-0.75	2.17	1.64
-0.5	1.90	1.90
-0.25	1.64	2.22
0	1.35	3.06

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	13.0	1.01
-2.5	7.80	1.03
-2.25	7.20	1.03
-2	6.80	1.07
-1.75	4.47	1.16
-1.5	3.57	1.25
+0.25	1.28	3.45
+0.5	1.23	4.07
+0.75	1.11	5.28
+1.25	1.01	9.20
+1.5	1.02	9.45

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.65	2.15
4.5	2.25	1.60
5.5	3.25	1.31

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.02	11.5
4.5	1.04	7.08
5.5	1.09	5.33
6.5	1.23	3.48
7.5	1.45	2.51
8.5	1.82	1.91
9.5	2.31	1.53
10.5	3.13	1.29
11.5	4.30	1.15
12.5	5.65	1.09
13.5	7.33	1.04
14.5	10.8	1.02

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.03	5.95
6	1.10	4.32
6.75	1.26	3.12
7	1.25	2.97
7.25	1.32	2.79
7.75	1.48	2.40
8	1.57	2.26
8.25	1.70	2.08
8.75	1.88	1.78
9	2.01	1.73
9.25	2.14	1.56
9.75	2.48	1.41
10	2.63	1.37
10.25	2.95	1.29
11	3.45	1.18
12	4.62	1.09
13	5.80	1.04