Amed vs Beşiktaş• Süper Lig, Turkey

#22.4:1.03-2FT20/09 · Diyarbakir Stadium, Diyarbakır2.4:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.05BTNX4.00BTN21.90PINMargin at best2.3%Books9Markets74Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Sep 22:58 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	4.43	4.00	1.80	3.1%
Pinnacle	4.40	3.97	1.74	5.4%
Betano	4.15	3.75	1.78	6.9%
Marathonbet	4.25	3.84	1.73	7.4%
Bet365	4.00	3.70	1.80	7.6%
Betfair	4.00	3.90	1.75	7.8%
BetVictor	4.10	3.75	1.70	9.9%
William Hill	4.00	3.60	1.75	9.9%
SBO	3.43	3.34	1.80	14.7%
Best of all books	4.43	4.00	1.80	3.1%
Average	4.08	3.76	1.76	7.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AmedBeşiktaş

Last 10#2Table position#32.17Points per game2.0010Form pts · last 5122.4Goals for · last 52.41.0Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5044Defence rating5645Form rating550H2H rating089Goals model1157Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC

Amed

5W 3D 2L · goals 21:13 · per match 2.1 for, 1.3 against

20 Sep	H	Beşiktaş	3-2	W
13 Sep	H	Başakşehir	5-0	W
6 Sep	A	Kasımpaşa	2-2	D
31 Aug	H	Trabzonspor	2-1	W
24 Aug	A	Kocaelispor	0-2	L
16 Aug	H	Erzurumspor FK	3-0	W
16 Jul	H	Dinamo Batumi	2-0	W
2 May	A	Iğdır FK	3-3	D
26 Apr	H	Bodrum FK	1-1	D
19 Apr	A	Bandırmaspor	0-2	L

Beşiktaş

7W 0D 3L · goals 22:9 · per match 2.2 for, 0.9 against

20 Sep	A	Amed	2-3	L
17 Sep	H	Marseille	4-1	W
11 Sep	H	Erzurumspor FK	3-0	W
5 Sep	A	Fenerbahçe	2-1	W
31 Aug	H	Çorum FK	6-2	W
27 Aug	A	Kauno Žalgiris	0-1	L
23 Aug	A	Alanyaspor	0-1	L
20 Aug	H	Kauno Žalgiris	3-0	W
16 Aug	H	Eyüpspor	1-0	W
13 Aug	H	Hradec Králové	1-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Amed and Beşiktaş on record.

Süper Lig tableSüper Ligupdated 9 Oct 21:10 UTC

In the Süper Lig table, Amed sit 2nd with 13 points from 6 games, while Beşiktaş are 3rd with 12 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	7	5	1	1	16:11	+5	16
2	Amed	6	4	1	1	15:7	+8	13
3	Beşiktaş	6	4	0	2	14:7	+7	12
4	Kocaelispor	6	4	0	2	7:4	+3	12
5	Alanyaspor	6	3	2	1	8:6	+2	11
6	Fenerbahçe	6	3	1	2	16:6	+10	10
7	Trabzonspor	6	3	1	2	13:5	+8	10
8	Rizespor	6	3	1	2	7:6	+1	10
9	Kasımpaşa	7	2	4	1	8:8	0	10
10	Gaziantep FK	6	2	2	2	7:7	0	8
11	Çorum FK	6	2	1	3	13:12	+1	7
12	Başakşehir	6	2	1	3	10:11	-1	7
13	Gençlerbirliği S.K.	6	2	1	3	5:13	-8	7
14	Erzurumspor FK	6	2	1	3	3:11	-8	7
15	Konyaspor	6	1	1	4	4:8	-4	4
16	Samsunspor	6	1	1	4	6:12	-6	4
17	Göztepe	6	0	3	3	11:15	-4	3
18	Eyüpspor	6	1	0	5	2:16	-14	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.89X25%3.73251%1.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14.23 → 3.88 -8.3%X3.88 → 3.76 -3.1%21.75 → 1.85 +5.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.67	2.31	3.2%
Betano	1.67	2.25	4.3%
Pinnacle	1.62	2.31	5.0%
Betfair	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.23	7.0%
BetVictor	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Best of all books	1.67	2.31	3.2%
Average	1.63	2.25	5.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Betano	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.58	2.23	8.1%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
William Hill	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.20	8.7%
Best of all books	1.62	2.38	3.7%
Average	1.58	2.25	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Amed 45%Draw 45%Beşiktaş 10%

The statistical model rated Amed at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Beşiktaş at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.89 | 3.73 | 1.86, which imply roughly 25.7% for a Amed win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Süper Lig table: Amed are 2nd (13 pts, 15-7 goals), Beşiktaş 3rd (12 pts, 14-7).

Over their last five matches, Amed averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Beşiktaş averaged 2.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Amed or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Amed

4-2-3-1

Coach: Besnik Hasi

Goalkeeper

40Alban Lafont

Defence

7Ermal Krasniqi
5Lumbardh Dellova
4David Robert Bates
17Umut Meraş

Midfield

22Rayan Raveloson
8Furkan Soyalp
10Samuel Ballet
91Dia Saba
74Mohamed Khalil

Attack

99Gift Orban

Substitutes (10)

27Burak Bozan
47Kahraman Demirtaş
21Mehmet Yeşil
81Ali Turap Bülbül
3Miraç Acer
33Amadou Cissé
6Cem Üstündag
93Rayan Lutin
45Mbaye Diagne
97Berk Kızıldemir

Beşiktaş

4-1-4-1

Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

Goalkeeper

1Alexander Nübel

Defence

62Amir Murillo
12Emmanuel Agbadou
35Tiago Djaló
33Rıdvan Yılmaz

Midfield

6Salih Özcan
17Ernest Poku
15Junior Olaitan
10Orkun Kökçü
29İlhan Fakılı

Attack

28Dušan Vlahović

Substitutes (10)

80Doğan Alemdar
53Emirhan Topçu
22Taylan Bulut
11Kassoum Ouattara
8Kartal Kayra Yılmaz
21Fabio Miretti
7Milot Rashica
4Wilfred Ndidi
18Václav Černý
9Hyeon-gyu Oh

Match Statistics

AmedBeşiktaş

8Shots on Goal7

2Shots off Goal4

10Total Shots18

0Blocked Shots7

4Shots insidebox8

6Shots outsidebox10

24Fouls7

1Corner Kicks9

0Offsides2

31%Ball Possession69%

8Yellow Cards5

1Red Cards0

4Goalkeeper Saves5

271Total passes584

200Passes accurate520

74%Passes %89%

1.47Expected Goals1.99

-1.21Goals Prevented-1.21

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
4.08	3.76	1.76

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.00	1.22	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
3.07	1.33

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.58	2.25

1st half

1	X	2
4.26	2.33	2.28

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.42	14.3	1.59

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.9
1.5	1.18	4.44
2.5	1.63	2.25
3.5	2.52	1.49
4.5	4.45	1.18
5.5	8.59	1.05
6.5	17.0	1.02
7.5	41.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	10.0
1.25	1.07	5.75
1.75	1.19	3.83
2	1.28	3.37
2.25	1.46	2.66
2.75	1.78	2.01
3	2.01	1.75
3.25	2.23	1.59
3.75	2.89	1.36
4	3.50	1.22
4.25	3.84	1.18
4.75	5.10	1.10
5	6.85	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.39	1.53
+0.5	2.05	1.77
+0.75	1.82	1.97
+1	1.58	2.31
+1.25	1.46	2.64
+1.5	1.37	3.02

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.30	1.03
-1.25	7.20	1.03
-1	7.40	1.03
-0.75	4.97	1.13
-0.5	3.96	1.25
-0.25	3.54	1.26
0	3.08	1.32
+1.75	1.26	3.50
+2	1.14	4.80
+2.25	1.12	5.17
+2.5	1.11	5.68
+2.75	1.05	6.50
+3.5	1.03	10.5

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.85	1.90

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	11.0
5.5	1.05	8.25
6.5	1.09	5.77
7.5	1.20	3.81
8.5	1.40	2.66
9.5	1.72	2.01
10.5	2.16	1.60
11.5	2.83	1.35
12.5	3.93	1.19
13.5	5.60	1.12
14.5	7.50	1.07
15.5	9.75	1.03

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.25	1.31	2.99
8.75	1.43	2.54
9.25	1.59	2.18
9.75	1.78	1.90
10	1.97	1.82
10.25	1.99	1.68
10.75	2.26	1.51
11.25	2.62	1.38