FC Saarbrücken vs MSV Duisburg• 3. Liga, Germany

#52.2:1.217:00Today · Ludwigspark-Stadion, Saarbrücken2.4:1.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.52BTNX3.75PIN22.61PINMargin at best4.7%Books10Markets80Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 16:34 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.52	3.85	2.54	5.0%
Betano	2.52	3.55	2.55	7.1%
Dafabet	2.50	3.55	2.55	7.4%
Bet365	2.45	3.50	2.45	10.2%
Betfair	2.40	3.60	2.45	10.3%
William Hill	2.40	3.50	2.45	11.1%
1xBet	2.45	3.45	2.38	11.8%
Marathonbet	2.45	3.45	2.38	11.8%
SBO	2.42	3.29	2.42	13.0%
BetVictor	2.30	3.13	2.25	19.9%
Best of all books	2.52	3.85	2.55	4.9%
Average	2.44	3.49	2.44	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FC SaarbrückenMSV Duisburg

Last 10#5Table position#11.75Points per game2.638Form pts · last 5122.2Goals for · last 52.41.2Goals against · last 51.448Attack rating5254Defence rating4640Form rating6025H2H rating7538Goals model6240Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 15:40 UTC

FC Saarbrücken

5W 3D 2L · goals 22:14 · per match 2.2 for, 1.4 against

10 Oct	A	Fortuna Köln	0-0	D
2 Oct	H	Nancy	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	2-1	W
16 Sep	A	Preußen Münster	3-3	D
12 Sep	H	FC Ingolstadt 04	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	SV Meppen	6-1	W
30 Aug	H	Hansa Rostock	2-4	L
22 Aug	H	Hertha BSC	1-1	D
16 Aug	A	SSV Jahn Regensburg	1-0	W
9 Aug	H	Rot-Weiß Essen	5-2	W

MSV Duisburg

7W 1D 2L · goals 23:12 · per match 2.3 for, 1.2 against

10 Oct	H	Hoffenheim II	3-2	W
20 Sep	A	SV Wehen	4-1	W
15 Sep	H	Havelse	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Fortuna Düsseldorf	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	SSV Jahn Regensburg	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Würzburger Kickers	3-0	W
22 Aug	H	SV Elversberg	1-3	L
15 Aug	A	Verl	4-2	W
8 Aug	H	SV Meppen	3-0	W
1 Aug	A	Sparta Rotterdam	0-0	D

Head to head

4FC Saarbrücken wins

4draws

4MSV Duisburg wins

12 meetings · goals 22:22 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for FC Saarbrücken

8 Mar 20263. Liga	3. Liga	MSV Duisburg4-2FC Saarbrücken
30 Sep 20253. Liga	3. Liga	FC Saarbrücken0-0MSV Duisburg
16 Mar 20243. Liga	3. Liga	MSV Duisburg2-0FC Saarbrücken
29 Nov 20233. Liga	3. Liga	FC Saarbrücken0-0MSV Duisburg
21 May 20233. Liga	3. Liga	MSV Duisburg2-2FC Saarbrucken
14 Jan 20233. Liga	3. Liga	FC Saarbrucken2-3MSV Duisburg
23 Jan 20223. Liga	3. Liga	MSV Duisburg3-4FC Saarbrucken
14 Aug 20213. Liga	3. Liga	FC Saarbrucken2-0MSV Duisburg
3 Mar 20213. Liga	3. Liga	FC Saarbrucken4-1MSV Duisburg
4 Nov 20203. Liga	3. Liga	MSV Duisburg2-3FC Saarbrucken

3. Liga table3 Ligaupdated 12 Oct 22:20 UTC

In the 3. Liga table, FC Saarbrücken sit 5th with 14 points from 8 games, while MSV Duisburg are 1st with 21 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	MSV Duisburg	8	7	0	1	22:9	+13	21
2	FC Viktoria Köln	8	6	0	2	24:11	+13	18
3	Rot-Weiß Essen	8	4	3	1	16:12	+4	15
4	Hansa Rostock	8	4	3	1	17:15	+2	15
5	FC Saarbrücken	8	4	2	2	19:12	+7	14
6	Waldhof Mannheim	8	4	1	3	16:11	+5	13
7	Hoffenheim II	8	4	1	3	16:11	+5	13
8	Preußen Münster	8	3	3	2	15:16	-1	12
9	Alemannia Aachen	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11
10	Fortuna Düsseldorf	8	3	2	3	8:9	-1	11
11	Verl	8	3	2	3	12:15	-3	11
12	Fortuna Köln	8	2	4	2	8:8	0	10
13	SSV Jahn Regensburg	8	2	2	4	18:17	+1	8
14	Stuttgart II	8	2	2	4	13:16	-3	8
15	FC Ingolstadt 04	8	2	2	4	9:15	-6	8
16	SV Wehen	8	2	2	4	9:15	-6	8
17	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	8	2	2	4	7:14	-7	8
18	Würzburger Kickers	8	2	1	5	11:17	-6	7
19	SV Meppen	8	2	1	5	9:16	-7	7
20	Havelse	8	1	1	6	10:20	-10	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg137%2.42X26%3.45237%2.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.65 → 2.42 -8.7%X3.59 → 3.45 -3.9%22.25 → 2.46 +9.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.61	2.34	4.8%
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Betano	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.57	2.14	10.4%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.14	10.4%
BetVictor	1.48	1.91	19.9%
Best of all books	1.62	2.34	4.5%
Average	1.58	2.18	9.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betano	1.52	2.37	8.0%
William Hill	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Betfair	1.50	2.40	8.3%
1xBet	1.50	2.38	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.50	2.34	9.4%
BetVictor	1.36	2.10	21.1%
Best of all books	1.55	2.40	6.2%
Average	1.49	2.32	9.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FC Saarbrücken 10%Draw 45%MSV Duisburg 45%

The statistical model rates FC Saarbrücken at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and MSV Duisburg at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.42 | 3.45 | 2.46, which imply roughly 29% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 3. Liga table: FC Saarbrücken are 5th (14 pts, 19-12 goals), MSV Duisburg 1st (21 pts, 22-9).

Over their last five matches, FC Saarbrücken averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; MSV Duisburg averaged 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or MSV Duisburg and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

FC Saarbrücken

4-4-2

Coach: Argirios Giannikis

Goalkeeper

1M. Bignetti

Defence

42P. Fahrner
21M. Cvjetinović
4S. Voet
28N. Bretschneider

Midfield

20F. Pick
5Daniel Gleiber
14Z. Shuaib
22K. Caliskaner

Attack

31K. Meisel
29A. Staff

Substitutes (9)

8Gökdeniz Gürpüz
15A. Kamara
10C. Kühlwetter
16Lee Seung-Joon
7C. Rizzuto
19S. Vasiliadis
3Anton Bäuerle
9K. Brünker
33K. Broll

MSV Duisburg

3-4-2-1

Coach: D. Hirsch

Goalkeeper

1M. Braune

Defence

20N. Jessen
5T. Fleckstein
40B. Schlicke

Midfield

29J. Bitter
3F. Christensen
6R. Bulić
8A. Casar
14C. Noß
11D. Kother

Attack

9L. Lobinger

Substitutes (8)

37P. Sussek
17M. Besuschkow
27C. Coşkun
43R. Haddou
26F. Krüger
39P. Remmert
19Ramien Safi
33T. Stahl

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.44	3.49	2.44

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.47	1.47	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.82	1.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.49	2.32

1st half

1	X	2
2.96	2.27	2.97

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.92	15.4	1.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.9
1.5	1.17	4.23
2.5	1.58	2.18
3.5	2.46	1.46
4.5	4.25	1.17
5.5	7.70	1.04
6.5	16.2	1.02
7.5	34.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.10
1.25	1.07	5.90
1.75	1.18	3.82
2	1.24	3.34
2.25	1.42	2.44
2.75	1.71	1.95
3	1.95	1.73
3.25	2.16	1.55
3.75	2.92	1.31
4	3.74	1.19
4.25	4.10	1.16
4.75	5.50	1.08
5	7.70	1.03
5.25	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.38	1.49
-0.25	2.14	1.61
0	1.84	1.82
+0.25	1.61	2.09
+0.5	1.49	2.38
+0.75	1.36	2.92

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.40	1.01
-1.75	6.22	1.08
-1.5	4.80	1.14
-1.25	4.40	1.16
-1	3.95	1.21
-0.75	2.94	1.35
+1	1.21	3.90
+1.25	1.17	4.27
+1.5	1.15	4.67
+1.75	1.09	6.05
+2	1.01	8.90
+2.5	1.02	9.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.01	7.26
7.5	1.12	4.51
8.5	1.30	3.08
9.5	1.57	2.25
10.5	1.96	1.78
11.5	2.43	1.49
12.5	3.29	1.27
13.5	4.64	1.11
14.5	7.05	1.02

24 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.02	6.98
7	1.01	7.09
7.25	1.07	5.45
7.75	1.13	4.30
8	1.15	4.09
8.25	1.23	3.44
8.75	1.33	2.86
9	1.42	2.63
9.25	1.47	2.43
9.75	1.64	2.12
10	1.80	1.96
10.25	1.82	1.88
10.75	2.04	1.69
11	2.30	1.56
11.25	2.31	1.52
11.75	2.65	1.39
12	2.96	1.31
12.25	3.11	1.28
12.75	3.68	1.20
13	4.29	1.14
13.25	4.47	1.12
13.75	5.42	1.07
14	6.63	1.03
14.25	6.84	1.02