Australia vs Brazil• Friendlies, World

0.7:1.02-4FT29/09 · Accor Stadium, Sydney2.6:1.4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

19.301XBX5.561XB21.42BTNMargin7.7%Books9Markets69Rating30 · 71Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Sep 02:19 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	10.9	5.83	1.32	2.1%
Betano	9.25	5.30	1.32	5.4%
Betfair	9.50	5.50	1.29	6.2%
Bet365	9.50	4.75	1.33	6.8%
Marathonbet	9.60	5.10	1.29	7.5%
Pinnacle	8.55	5.26	1.30	7.6%
William Hill	8.50	5.00	1.29	9.3%
BetVictor	9.00	5.25	1.25	10.2%
SBO	7.24	5.03	1.27	12.4%
Best of all books	10.9	5.83	1.33	1.5%
Average	9.12	5.22	1.30	7.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AustraliaBrazil

Last 106Form pts · last 5100.7Goals for · last 52.61.0Goals against · last 51.413Attack rating8770Defence rating3017Form rating8320H2H rating8040Goals model6030Overall rating71

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 29 Sep 09:41 UTC

Australia

3W 4D 3L · goals 11:10 · per match 1.1 for, 1.0 against

25 Sep	H	Brazil	1-1	D
3 Jul	H	Egypt	1-1	D
26 Jun	A	Paraguay	0-0	D
19 Jun	A	USA	0-2	L
14 Jun	H	Türkiye	2-0	W
6 Jun	A	Switzerland	1-1	D
31 May	A	Mexico	0-1	L
31 Mar	H	Curaçao	5-1	W
27 Mar	H	Cameroon	1-0	W
19 Nov	A	Colombia	0-3	L

Brazil

7W 2D 1L · goals 26:11 · per match 2.6 for, 1.1 against

29 Sep	A	Australia	4-2	W
25 Sep	A	Australia	1-1	D
5 Jul	H	Norway	1-2	L
29 Jun	H	Japan	2-1	W
24 Jun	A	Scotland	3-0	W
20 Jun	H	Haiti	3-0	W
13 Jun	H	Morocco	1-1	D
6 Jun	H	Egypt	2-1	W
31 May	H	Panama	6-2	W
1 Apr	H	Croatia	3-1	W

Head to head

0Australia wins

0draws

1Brazil wins

1 meeting · goals 0:4 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Australia

13 Jun 2017Friendlies

Friendlies

Australia0-4Brazil

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg112%7.93X19%4.88269%1.34

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

19.12 → 7.95 -12.8%X5.22 → 4.93 -5.6%21.30 → 1.34 +3.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.55	2.52	4.2%
Betfair	1.50	2.55	5.9%
Pinnacle	1.55	2.40	6.2%
Bet365	1.53	2.40	7.0%
BetVictor	1.51	2.35	8.8%
1xBet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.47	2.35	10.6%
Best of all books	1.55	2.55	3.7%
Average	1.51	2.42	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
Betano	1.85	1.90	6.7%
1xBet	1.85	1.86	7.8%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.83	1.85	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.83	8.7%
Bet365	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Average	1.85	1.86	7.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Australia 10%Draw 45%Brazil 45%

The statistical model rated Australia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Brazil at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 7.93 | 4.88 | 1.34, which imply roughly 20.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Australia averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Brazil averaged 2.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Brazil.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Australia

3-4-2-1

Coach: Tony Popovic

Goalkeeper

18Patrick Beach

Defence

3Alessandro Circati
19Harry Souttar
25Lucas Herrington

Midfield

4Jacob Italiano
22Jackson Irvine
24Paul Okon-Engstler
16Aziz Behich

Attack

8Connor Metcalfe
17Nestory Irankunda
26Tete Yengi

Substitutes (14)

1Jacob Chapman
12Paul Izzo
5Kasey Bos
2Miloš Degenek
6Jason Geria
15Dylan Leonard
21Kealey Adamson
10Nishan Velupillay
7Patrick Yazbek
11Marcus Younis
13Aiden O'Neill
14Riley McGree
23Yaya Dukuly
20Eli Adams

Brazil

4-2-3-1

Coach: Carlo Ancelotti

Goalkeeper

12Otávio Costa

Defence

2Vanderson
24Jair
3Gabriel Magalhães
16Mauro Júnior

Midfield

8Bruno Guimarães
5Danilo Santos
26Rayan
25Gabriel Bontempo
7Vinícius Júnior

Attack

10Raphinha

Substitutes (15)

1Hugo Souza
23Pedro Morisco
6Douglas Santos
13Matheuzinho
4Marquinhos
14Vitor Reis
15Arthur Dias
17Breno Bidon
18Douglas Luiz
21Andrey Santos
22Samuel Lino
11Estêvão
20Matheus Martinelli
19Pedro Guilherme
9Endrick

Match Statistics

AustraliaBrazil

2Shots on Goal8

5Shots off Goal3

8Total Shots18

1Blocked Shots7

7Shots insidebox13

1Shots outsidebox5

18Fouls13

4Corner Kicks6

1Offsides2

49%Ball Possession51%

2Yellow Cards2

4Goalkeeper Saves0

439Total passes457

364Passes accurate391

83%Passes %86%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
9.12	5.22	1.30

Double chance

1X	X2	12
3.46	1.06	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
7.12	1.08

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.86

1st half

1	X	2
7.42	2.65	1.70

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.59	18.0	1.30

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	15.0
1.5	1.14	5.04
2.5	1.51	2.42
3.5	2.31	1.59
4.5	3.93	1.22
5.5	7.35	1.07
6.5	14.1	1.03
7.5	24.7	1.01
8.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	11.5
1.25	1.06	6.40
1.75	1.14	4.33
2	1.18	3.88
2.25	1.35	2.90
2.75	1.63	2.16
3	1.79	1.93
3.25	2.06	1.74
3.75	2.53	1.47
4	3.13	1.31
4.25	3.34	1.24
4.75	4.50	1.13
5	6.00	1.06
5.25	6.30	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+1	2.67	1.42
+1.25	2.21	1.65
+1.5	1.96	1.83
+1.75	1.71	2.04
+2	1.51	2.41
+2.25	1.42	2.70

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	13.0	1.01
-0.25	6.69	1.07
0	7.00	1.06
+0.25	4.21	1.18
+0.5	3.38	1.31
+0.75	2.99	1.35
+2.5	1.35	2.99
+2.75	1.25	3.48
+3	1.14	4.67
+3.25	1.12	5.06
+3.5	1.12	5.39
+3.75	1.05	6.55
+4.5	1.04	10.5

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	2.30	1.57

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.26	3.60
7.5	1.50	2.50
8.5	1.86	1.91
9.5	2.45	1.52
10.5	3.35	1.30