Velež vs Siroki Brijeg• Premijer Liga, Bosnia

#90.6:1.80-0FTToday · Stadion Rodjeni, Mostar1.2:1.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.121XBX3.20BTN23.45DAFMargin at best7.4%Books8Markets43Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 14:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.12	3.15	3.45	7.9%
Betano	2.10	3.20	3.30	9.2%
1xBet	2.12	3.10	3.20	10.7%
Betfair	2.05	3.10	3.30	11.3%
Bet365	2.00	3.10	3.40	11.7%
William Hill	2.00	3.10	3.40	11.7%
Marathonbet	2.10	3.10	3.12	11.9%
BetVictor	1.95	2.80	3.00	20.3%
Best of all books	2.12	3.20	3.45	7.4%
Average	2.06	3.08	3.27	11.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VeležSiroki Brijeg

Last 10#9Table position#50.89Points per game1.114Form pts · last 520.6Goals for · last 51.21.8Goals against · last 51.833Attack rating6750Defence rating5067Form rating3380H2H rating2071Goals model2963Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:42 UTC

Velež

2W 1D 7L · goals 6:18 · per match 0.6 for, 1.8 against

19 Sep	A	Zrinjski	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	FK Sarajevo	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1-3	L
2 Sep	H	Radnik Bijeljina	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Čelik	0-3	L
22 Aug	H	Sloga Doboj	2-0	W
16 Aug	A	BSK Banja Luka	0-2	L
9 Aug	A	Borac Banja Luka	1-3	L
30 Jul	H	Dunajska Streda	0-3	L
23 Jul	A	Dunajska Streda	0-1	L

Siroki Brijeg

3W 3D 4L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against

20 Sep	H	Borac Banja Luka	2-3	L
12 Sep	H	BSK Banja Luka	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Zrinjski	1-2	L
2 Sep	H	FK Sarajevo	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Radnik Bijeljina	2-1	W
14 Aug	A	Čelik	2-1	W
8 Aug	H	Sloga Doboj	0-0	D
1 Aug	H	Tomislav	3-0	W
18 Jul	A	Croatia Zmijavci	1-2	L

Head to head

15Velež wins

7draws

9Siroki Brijeg wins

31 meetings · goals 48:30 · last 10: 7W 0D 3L for Velež

21 Apr 2026Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	Velež3-0Siroki Brijeg
15 Feb 2026Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	Siroki Brijeg1-0Velež
11 Feb 2026Cup	Cup	Velež2-1Siroki Brijeg
25 Oct 2025Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	Velež1-0Siroki Brijeg
10 Aug 2025Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	Siroki Brijeg1-3Velež
28 Mar 2025Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	Siroki Brijeg2-5Velež
12 Mar 2025Cup	Cup	Velež1-2Siroki Brijeg
26 Feb 2025Cup	Cup	Siroki Brijeg2-0Velež
23 Nov 2024Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	Velež3-1Siroki Brijeg
18 Aug 2024Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	Siroki Brijeg0-2Velež

Premijer Liga tablePremier Ligaupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the Premijer Liga table, Velež sit 9th with 8 points from 9 games, while Siroki Brijeg are 5th with 10 points from 9.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zrinjski	8	7	0	1	17:5	+12	21
2	Borac Banja Luka	8	6	1	1	15:7	+8	19
3	FK Sarajevo	8	4	1	3	6:5	+1	13
4	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	8	3	3	2	10:9	+1	12
5	Siroki Brijeg	9	2	4	3	10:11	-1	10
6	Sloga Doboj	8	2	3	3	5:8	-3	9
7	Čelik	8	2	2	4	11:12	-1	8
8	BSK Banja Luka	8	2	2	4	12:14	-2	8
9	Velež	9	2	2	5	6:14	-8	8
10	Radnik Bijeljina	8	0	4	4	12:19	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.05X29%3.08227%3.27

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.98 → 2.06 +4.0%X3.15 → 3.08 -2.2%23.61 → 3.25 -10.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Betfair	2.20	1.60	8.0%
1xBet	2.17	1.59	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.17	1.59	9.0%
Betano	2.15	1.60	9.0%
BetVictor	1.91	1.48	19.9%
Best of all books	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Average	2.14	1.58	10.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.91	1.78	8.5%
Betano	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.91	1.76	9.2%
BetVictor	1.73	1.62	19.5%
Best of all books	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Average	1.89	1.74	10.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Velež 45%Draw 45%Siroki Brijeg 10%

The statistical model rated Velež at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Siroki Brijeg at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.05 | 3.08 | 3.27, which imply roughly 48.8% for a Velež win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premijer Liga table: Velež are 9th (8 pts, 6-14 goals), Siroki Brijeg 5th (10 pts, 10-11).

Over their last five matches, Velež averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Siroki Brijeg averaged 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Velež or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.05	3.08	3.27

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.26	1.63	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.47	2.29

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.74

1st half

1	X	2
2.73	1.97	3.96

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.81	7.35	2.37

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	6.45
1.5	1.36	2.65
2.5	2.14	1.58
3.5	3.74	1.18
4.5	6.37	1.04
5.5	21.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.07	5.95
1.25	1.22	3.50
1.75	1.44	2.27
2	1.61	2.00
2.25	1.87	1.72
2.75	2.38	1.40
3	3.20	1.26
3.25	3.50	1.22
3.75	4.79	1.12
4	6.95	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.28	1.25
-0.75	2.36	1.41
-0.5	1.93	1.71
-0.25	1.77	1.86
0	1.48	2.21
+0.25	1.35	2.54

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.90	1.01
-2	8.20	1.02
-1.75	4.91	1.11
-1.5	4.20	1.16
-1.25	3.75	1.19
+0.75	1.18	3.90
+1	1.06	6.00
+1.5	1.04	6.95

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.67	2.10
8	1.95	1.85