Čelik vs FK Sarajevo• Premijer Liga, Bosnia

#71.8:1.216:30Tomorrow1.0:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.60BFRX3.29PIN22.05B365Margin at best7.0%Books8Markets41Rating41 · 59Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 14:03 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	3.45	3.20	2.05	9.0%
Pinnacle	3.54	3.29	1.98	9.1%
Dafabet	3.40	3.20	2.04	9.7%
1xBet	3.43	3.08	2.04	10.6%
Betfair	3.60	3.10	1.95	11.3%
William Hill	3.50	3.00	2.00	11.9%
Marathonbet	3.34	3.08	2.02	11.9%
Bet365	3.20	3.10	2.05	12.3%
Best of all books	3.60	3.29	2.05	7.0%
Average	3.43	3.13	2.02	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ČelikFK Sarajevo

Last 10#7Table position#31.00Points per game1.638Form pts · last 591.8Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 50.864Attack rating3640Defence rating6047Form rating5315H2H rating8569Goals model3141Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:53 UTC

Čelik

3W 3D 4L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

18 Sep	A	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1-1	D
11 Sep	H	Radnik Bijeljina	3-2	W
5 Sep	A	BSK Banja Luka	2-3	L
1 Sep	A	Sloga Doboj	0-0	D
28 Aug	H	Velež	3-0	W
23 Aug	A	Borac Banja Luka	0-2	L
14 Aug	H	Siroki Brijeg	1-2	L
9 Aug	A	Zrinjski	1-2	L
17 Jul	H	Zvijezda 09	4-0	W
10 Jul	H	Zvijezda Gradačac	1-1	D

FK Sarajevo

5W 1D 4L · goals 10:7 · per match 1.0 for, 0.7 against

25 Sep	A	Gornji Rahić	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	Sloga Doboj	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Velež	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Borac Banja Luka	1-0	W
2 Sep	A	Siroki Brijeg	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Zrinjski	0-1	L
21 Aug	H	BSK Banja Luka	1-0	W
8 Aug	H	Radnik Bijeljina	0-0	D
16 Jul	A	Inter Turku	1-2	L

Head to head

0Čelik wins

4draws

7FK Sarajevo wins

11 meetings · goals 3:24 · last 10: 0W 3D 7L for Čelik

11 Feb 2026Cup	Cup	Čelik0-1FK Sarajevo
19 Oct 2022Cup	Cup	Čelik1-1FK Sarajevo
18 Oct 2019Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	FK Sarajevo2-0Čelik
28 Jul 2019Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	Čelik0-0FK Sarajevo
3 May 2019Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	FK Sarajevo5-0Čelik
1 Dec 2018Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	FK Sarajevo3-1Čelik
1 Sep 2018Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	Čelik0-0FK Sarajevo
29 Oct 2017Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	FK Sarajevo5-0Čelik
30 Jul 2017Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	Čelik0-2FK Sarajevo
30 Oct 2016Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	FK Sarajevo4-0Čelik

Premijer Liga tablePremier Ligaupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the Premijer Liga table, Čelik sit 7th with 8 points from 8 games, while FK Sarajevo are 3rd with 13 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zrinjski	8	7	0	1	17:5	+12	21
2	Borac Banja Luka	8	6	1	1	15:7	+8	19
3	FK Sarajevo	8	4	1	3	6:5	+1	13
4	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	8	3	3	2	10:9	+1	12
5	Siroki Brijeg	9	2	4	3	10:11	-1	10
6	Sloga Doboj	8	2	3	3	5:8	-3	9
7	Čelik	8	2	2	4	11:12	-1	8
8	BSK Banja Luka	8	2	2	4	12:14	-2	8
9	Velež	9	2	2	5	6:14	-8	8
10	Radnik Bijeljina	8	0	4	4	12:19	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.43X29%3.13245%2.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.25 → 3.43 +5.5%X3.13 → 3.13 0.0%22.07 → 2.02 -2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Betfair	2.25	1.62	6.2%
Pinnacle	2.21	1.63	6.6%
Betano	2.15	1.60	9.0%
1xBet	2.18	1.58	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.18	1.58	9.2%
Best of all books	2.25	1.65	5.1%
Average	2.19	1.61	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.92	1.77	8.6%
Betano	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.75	9.2%
Best of all books	1.95	1.77	7.8%
Average	1.93	1.75	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Čelik 10%Draw 45%FK Sarajevo 45%

The statistical model rates Čelik at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FK Sarajevo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.43 | 3.13 | 2.02, which imply roughly 31.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premijer Liga table: Čelik are 7th (8 pts, 11-12 goals), FK Sarajevo 3rd (13 pts, 6-5).

Over their last five matches, Čelik averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; FK Sarajevo averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or FK Sarajevo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.43	3.13	2.02

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.67	1.24	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
2.40	1.50

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.93	1.76

1st half

1	X	2
4.14	2.00	2.71

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.37	7.75	1.78

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.80
1.5	1.37	2.74
2.5	2.19	1.61
3.5	3.90	1.19
4.5	7.40	1.05
5.5	21.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	6.10
1.25	1.23	3.52
1.75	1.47	2.43
2	1.64	2.10
2.25	1.91	1.78
2.75	2.54	1.43
3	3.23	1.27
3.25	3.58	1.21
3.75	4.99	1.10
4	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.81	1.37
-0.25	2.91	1.34
0	2.48	1.46
+0.25	1.96	1.76
+0.5	1.77	2.00
+0.75	1.51	2.34

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.90	1.02
-1.25	5.54	1.08
-1	6.85	1.04
-0.75	4.04	1.18
+1	1.30	3.07
+1.25	1.24	3.51
+1.5	1.16	4.05
+1.75	1.12	4.68
+2	1.02	8.10
+2.5	1.01	9.00