Zrinjski vs 
Velež• Premijer Liga, Bosnia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2
Average 1X2: 1.27 | 4.52 | 9.45. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:53 UTC
Zrinjski
8W 1D 1L · goals 18:5 · per match 1.8 for, 0.5 against
| 2 Oct | H | Jadran LP | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Radnik Bijeljina | 1-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Vojvodina | 0-0 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Velež | 2-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Borac Banja Luka | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Siroki Brijeg | 2-1 | W |
| 1 Sep | H | BSK Banja Luka | 3-1 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | FK Sarajevo | 1-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 2-0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Radnik Bijeljina | 5-1 | W |
Velež
2W 1D 7L · goals 6:18 · per match 0.6 for, 1.8 against
| 19 Sep | A | Zrinjski | 0-2 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | FK Sarajevo | 1-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | A | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 1-3 | L |
| 2 Sep | H | Radnik Bijeljina | 1-1 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | Čelik | 0-3 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Sloga Doboj | 2-0 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | BSK Banja Luka | 0-2 | L |
| 9 Aug | A | Borac Banja Luka | 1-3 | L |
| 30 Jul | H | Dunajska Streda | 0-3 | L |
| 23 Jul | A | Dunajska Streda | 0-1 | L |
Head to head
26 meetings · goals 37:15 · last 10: 8W 2D 0L for Zrinjski
| 26 May 2026Premijer Liga | Premijer Liga | Zrinjski3-0Velež |
| 13 May 2026Cup | Cup | Velež1-1Zrinjski |
| 6 May 2026Cup | Cup | Zrinjski1-0Velež |
| 3 Apr 2026Premijer Liga | Premijer Liga | Velež0-1Zrinjski |
| 7 Dec 2025Premijer Liga | Premijer Liga | Zrinjski1-1Velež |
| 27 Sep 2025Premijer Liga | Premijer Liga | Velež1-3Zrinjski |
| 3 May 2025Premijer Liga | Premijer Liga | Velež0-1Zrinjski |
| 1 Mar 2025Premijer Liga | Premijer Liga | Zrinjski1-0Velež |
| 28 Sep 2024Premijer Liga | Premijer Liga | Velež0-1Zrinjski |
| 13 Apr 2024Premijer Liga | Premijer Liga | Zrinjski1-0Velež |
Premijer Liga tablePremier Ligaupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC
In the Premijer Liga table, Zrinjski sit 1st with 21 points from 8 games, while Velež are 9th with 8 points from 9.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zrinjski | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17:5 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | +8 | 19 |
| 3 | FK Sarajevo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:5 | +1 | 13 |
| 4 | Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | +1 | 12 |
| 5 | Siroki Brijeg | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Sloga Doboj | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Čelik | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | BSK Banja Luka | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Velež | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
| 10 | Radnik Bijeljina | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 4 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.4% margin.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Zrinjski at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Velež at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.27 | 4.52 | 9.45, which imply roughly 78.7% for a Zrinjski win versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Premijer Liga table: Zrinjski are 1st (21 pts, 17-5 goals), Velež 9th (8 pts, 6-14).
Over their last five matches, Zrinjski averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Velež averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Zrinjski.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.