Velež vs FK Sarajevo• Premijer Liga, Bosnia

#90.8:1.81-0FT13/09 · Stadion Rodjeni, Mostar0.8:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.17AVGX2.91AVG22.20AVGMargin11.4%Books2Markets37Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Sep 18:44 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.19	3.04	2.19	9.9%
Marathonbet	3.12	3.04	2.17	11.0%
Best of all books	3.19	3.04	2.19	9.9%
Average	3.16	3.04	2.18	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

VeležFK Sarajevo

Last 10#9Table position#30.89Points per game1.634Form pts · last 590.8Goals for · last 50.81.8Goals against · last 50.850Attack rating5031Defence rating6931Form rating6950H2H rating5073Goals model2749Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:42 UTC

Velež

2W 1D 7L · goals 6:18 · per match 0.6 for, 1.8 against

19 Sep	A	Zrinjski	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	FK Sarajevo	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	1-3	L
2 Sep	H	Radnik Bijeljina	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Čelik	0-3	L
22 Aug	H	Sloga Doboj	2-0	W
16 Aug	A	BSK Banja Luka	0-2	L
9 Aug	A	Borac Banja Luka	1-3	L
30 Jul	H	Dunajska Streda	0-3	L
23 Jul	A	Dunajska Streda	0-1	L

FK Sarajevo

5W 1D 4L · goals 10:7 · per match 1.0 for, 0.7 against

25 Sep	A	Gornji Rahić	3-0	W
20 Sep	H	Sloga Doboj	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Velež	0-1	L
9 Sep	A	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Borac Banja Luka	1-0	W
2 Sep	A	Siroki Brijeg	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Zrinjski	0-1	L
21 Aug	H	BSK Banja Luka	1-0	W
8 Aug	H	Radnik Bijeljina	0-0	D
16 Jul	A	Inter Turku	1-2	L

Head to head

7Velež wins

8draws

10FK Sarajevo wins

25 meetings · goals 25:30 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Velež

21 May 2026Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	Velež2-3FK Sarajevo
22 Mar 2026Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	FK Sarajevo1-0Velež
11 Mar 2026Cup	Cup	Velež4-1FK Sarajevo
25 Feb 2026Cup	Cup	FK Sarajevo0-1Velež
2 Dec 2025Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	Velež0-0FK Sarajevo
20 Sep 2025Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	FK Sarajevo2-0Velež
18 May 2025Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	Velež2-2FK Sarajevo
8 Mar 2025Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	Velež0-0FK Sarajevo
19 Oct 2024Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	FK Sarajevo4-0Velež
28 Apr 2024Premijer Liga	Premijer Liga	FK Sarajevo3-0Velež

Premijer Liga tablePremier Ligaupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the Premijer Liga table, Velež sit 9th with 8 points from 9 games, while FK Sarajevo are 3rd with 13 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Zrinjski	8	7	0	1	17:5	+12	21
2	Borac Banja Luka	8	6	1	1	15:7	+8	19
3	FK Sarajevo	8	4	1	3	6:5	+1	13
4	Zeljeznicar Sarajevo	8	3	3	2	10:9	+1	12
5	Siroki Brijeg	9	2	4	3	10:11	-1	10
6	Sloga Doboj	8	2	3	3	5:8	-3	9
7	Čelik	8	2	2	4	11:12	-1	8
8	BSK Banja Luka	8	2	2	4	12:14	-2	8
9	Velež	9	2	2	5	6:14	-8	8
10	Radnik Bijeljina	8	0	4	4	12:19	-7	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.17X31%2.91241%2.20

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.27	1.56	8.2%
Marathonbet	2.27	1.56	8.2%
Best of all books	2.27	1.56	8.2%
Average	2.27	1.56	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Average	1.95	1.74	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Velež 10%Draw 45%FK Sarajevo 45%

The statistical model rated Velež at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and FK Sarajevo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.17 | 2.91 | 2.20, which imply roughly 34.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premijer Liga table: Velež are 9th (8 pts, 6-14 goals), FK Sarajevo 3rd (13 pts, 6-5).

Over their last five matches, Velež averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; FK Sarajevo averaged 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or FK Sarajevo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.16	3.04	2.18

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.55	1.27	1.28

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.95	1.74

1st half

1	X	2
4.06	1.93	2.89

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.35	6.75	1.84

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.20
1.5	1.39	2.59
2.5	2.27	1.56
3.5	4.15	1.16
4.5	9.00	1.02
5.5	15.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.08	5.55
1.25	1.24	3.34
1.75	1.50	2.28
2	1.69	1.95
2.25	1.97	1.71
2.75	2.62	1.38
3	3.34	1.24
3.25	3.78	1.19
3.75	5.18	1.10
4	7.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	3.88	1.18
-0.25	2.61	1.40
0	2.22	1.56
+0.25	1.79	1.83
+0.75	1.41	2.52
+1	1.23	3.42

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.90	1.04
-1	5.95	1.07
+1.25	1.18	3.92
+1.5	1.14	4.35
+1.75	1.08	5.59
+2	1.01	8.60