Sao Joao del Rei vs 
Paracatu• Mineiro - 3, Brazil
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:21 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 3.85 | 3.50 | 1.87 | 8.0% |
| Betfair | 3.80 | 3.25 | 1.87 | 10.6% |
| Betano | 3.75 | 3.35 | 1.85 | 10.6% |
| 1xBet | 3.70 | 3.36 | 1.85 | 10.8% |
| Bet365 | 3.70 | 3.30 | 1.85 | 11.4% |
| William Hill | 3.70 | 3.30 | 1.85 | 11.4% |
| Marathonbet | 3.60 | 3.36 | 1.83 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 3.85 | 3.50 | 1.87 | 8.0% |
| Average | 3.73 | 3.35 | 1.85 | 10.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:21 UTC
Sao Joao del Rei
1W 0D 2L · goals 2:2 · per match 0.7 for, 0.7 against
| 2 Oct | H | Betim 2 | 0-1 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Funorte | 0-1 | L |
| 18 Sep | H | Araxá | 2-0 | W |
Paracatu
5W 4D 1L · goals 18:7 · per match 1.8 for, 0.7 against
| 3 Oct | H | Funorte | 3-0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Araxá | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Siderurgica | 5-0 | W |
| 22 Nov | H | Novo Esporte Clube | 0-0 | D |
| 15 Nov | A | Tupi | 2-1 | W |
| 8 Nov | A | Coimbra | 1-2 | L |
| 1 Nov | H | BOA | 1-1 | D |
| 25 Oct | A | Essube | 2-0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | Essube | 1-1 | D |
| 27 Sep | A | Juventus FC Minas Novas | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Sao Joao del Rei and Paracatu on record.
Mineiro - 3 tableMineiro 3updated 9 Oct 21:10 UTC
In the Mineiro - 3 table, Sao Joao del Rei sit 3rd with 3 points from 3 games, while Paracatu are 1st with 9 points from 3.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional AC MG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | +5 | 9 |
| 1 | Paracatu | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | +9 | 9 |
| 2 | Venda Nova | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | +9 | 7 |
| 2 | Betim 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | +5 | 9 |
| 3 | Novo Esporte Clube | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 | Sao Joao del Rei | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Inter de Minas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 | Funorte | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 3 |
| 5 | Nova Lavras | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | +1 | 3 |
| 5 | Araxá | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Santarritense | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:18 | -17 | 0 |
| 6 | Siderurgica | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:9 | -9 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.1% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 5.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 1.88 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 1.88 | 9.1% |
| Betano | 1.78 | 1.87 | 9.7% |
| Best of all books | 1.85 | 1.95 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.80 | 1.90 | 8.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.75 | 1.95 | 8.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.68 | 2.02 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 1.99 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.75 | 2.02 | 6.6% |
| Average | 1.70 | 1.99 | 9.0% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Sao Joao del Rei at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Paracatu at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.72 | 3.35 | 1.87, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Mineiro - 3 table: Sao Joao del Rei are 3rd (3 pts, 2-2 goals), Paracatu 1st (9 pts, 10-1).
Over their last five matches, Sao Joao del Rei averaged 0.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game; Paracatu averaged 3.3 scored and 0.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Paracatu.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.73 | 3.35 | 1.85 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.80 | 1.21 | 1.24 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.71 | 1.39 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.70 | 1.99 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.13 | 2.13 | 2.42 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 10.9 | 1.64 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 9.70 |
| 1.5 | 1.22 | 3.50 |
| 2.5 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| 3.5 | 2.92 | 1.31 |
| 4.5 | 5.70 | 1.09 |
| 5.5 | 12.0 | 1.03 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 8.50 |
| 1.75 | 1.28 | 3.08 |
| 2 | 1.36 | 2.70 |
| 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.17 |
| 2.75 | 2.00 | 1.68 |
| 3 | 2.33 | 1.48 |
| 3.25 | 2.62 | 1.38 |
| 3.75 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 4 | 4.80 | 1.11 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.66 | 1.37 |
| +0.25 | 2.08 | 1.60 |
| +0.5 | 1.86 | 1.84 |
| +0.75 | 1.61 | 2.09 |
| +1 | 1.40 | 2.62 |
| +1.25 | 1.30 | 2.97 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 8.10 | 1.02 |
| -1 | 7.10 | 1.04 |
| -0.25 | 3.08 | 1.28 |
| +1.5 | 1.25 | 3.28 |
| +1.75 | 1.15 | 4.20 |
| +2 | 1.06 | 6.00 |
| +2.5 | 1.04 | 6.80 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.73 | 2.00 |
| 9 | 2.00 | 1.80 |