Balzan FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick• Premier League, Malta

#71.6:0.81-2FTToday · Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola0.6:1.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.30WHX3.22PIN23.00BVCMargin at best7.9%Books6Markets47Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 14:22 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.25	3.20	3.00	9.0%
Pinnacle	2.21	3.22	2.91	10.7%
1xBet	2.29	3.10	2.86	10.9%
William Hill	2.30	3.00	2.90	11.3%
Bet365	2.15	3.20	2.90	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.27	3.10	2.78	12.3%
Best of all books	2.30	3.22	3.00	7.9%
Average	2.25	3.14	2.89	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Balzan FCZabbar St. Patrick

Last 10#7Table position#91.25Points per game1.009Form pts · last 521.6Goals for · last 50.60.8Goals against · last 51.473Attack rating2764Defence rating3682Form rating189H2H rating9185Goals model1556Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:20 UTC

Balzan FC

3W 5D 2L · goals 12:9 · per match 1.2 for, 0.9 against

11 Oct	A	Floriana	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Sliema Wanderers	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Valletta FC	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Birzebbuga	3-0	W
29 Aug	H	Gzira United	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Mosta	1-2	L
14 Aug	H	Marsaxlokk	1-1	D
24 Jul	A	Birzebbuga	0-0	D
17 Jul	H	Gzira United	1-0	W
11 Jul	H	Valletta FC	1-2	L

Zabbar St. Patrick

2W 3D 5L · goals 9:13 · per match 0.9 for, 1.3 against

10 Oct	A	Marsaxlokk	1-2	L
18 Sep	H	Birkirkara	0-2	L
14 Sep	A	Gzira United	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Hamrun Spartans	1-2	L
28 Aug	A	Hibernians	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Birzebbuga	1-0	W
16 Aug	A	Valletta FC	2-4	L
25 Jul	A	Marsaxlokk	0-0	D
18 Jul	A	Birkirkara	1-2	L
10 May	H	Tarxien Rainbows	2-0	W

Head to head

0Balzan FC wins

1draws

3Zabbar St. Patrick wins

4 meetings · goals 3:9 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for Balzan FC

19 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Zabbar St. Patrick2-2Balzan FC
25 Jan 2025Premier League	Premier League	Zabbar St. Patrick3-0Balzan FC
1 Dec 2024Premier League	Premier League	Balzan FC1-2Zabbar St. Patrick
16 Sep 2024Premier League	Premier League	Balzan FC0-2Zabbar St. Patrick

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 17 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Balzan FC sit 7th with 10 points from 8 games, while Zabbar St. Patrick are 9th with 8 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Valletta FC	8	6	1	1	19:7	+12	19
2	Marsaxlokk	8	5	2	1	15:10	+5	17
3	Floriana	7	4	2	1	17:8	+9	14
4	Mosta	7	3	3	1	10:8	+2	12
5	Hamrun Spartans	7	3	2	2	11:8	+3	11
6	Sliema Wanderers	8	3	2	3	9:10	-1	11
7	Balzan FC	8	2	4	2	11:9	+2	10
8	Birkirkara	8	3	1	4	9:8	+1	10
9	Zabbar St. Patrick	8	2	2	4	8:12	-4	8
10	Hibernians	7	1	3	3	6:11	-5	6
11	Gzira United	7	0	3	4	4:15	-11	3
12	Birzebbuga	7	0	1	6	3:16	-13	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg140%2.24X29%3.14231%2.89

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.13 → 2.24 +5.2%X3.24 → 3.14 -3.1%23.05 → 2.89 -5.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Pinnacle	2.01	1.74	7.2%
BetVictor	1.97	1.72	8.9%
1xBet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.96	1.72	9.2%
Best of all books	2.01	1.80	5.3%
Average	1.98	1.74	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.78	1.93	8.0%
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.75	1.93	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.75	1.90	9.8%
Best of all books	1.78	1.95	7.5%
Average	1.76	1.93	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Balzan FC 45%Draw 45%Zabbar St. Patrick 10%

The statistical model rated Balzan FC at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Zabbar St. Patrick at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.24 | 3.14 | 2.89, which imply roughly 44.6% for a Balzan FC win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Balzan FC are 7th (10 pts, 11-9 goals), Zabbar St. Patrick 9th (8 pts, 8-12).

Over their last five matches, Balzan FC averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Zabbar St. Patrick averaged 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Balzan FC or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.24	3.14	2.89

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.50	1.29

Draw no bet

1	2
1.74	1.99

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.76	1.93

1st half

1	X	2
2.96	2.07	3.44

2nd half

1	X	2
2.65	2.33	3.26

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	3.80	15.5	30.0
HT X	5.80	5.05	6.55
HT 2	27.0	15.5	4.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.81	8.30	2.26

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.40
1.5	1.30	3.10
2.5	1.98	1.74
3.5	3.43	1.24
4.5	7.25	1.07
5.5	15.0	1.02

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	6.85
1.25	1.17	4.05
1.75	1.38	2.69
2	1.50	2.34
2.25	1.75	1.94
2.75	2.24	1.54
3	2.72	1.38
3.25	3.06	1.30
3.75	4.10	1.16
4	5.70	1.08
4.25	5.73	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.66	1.39
-0.5	2.22	1.59
-0.25	1.94	1.77
0	1.68	2.07
+0.25	1.46	2.44
+0.5	1.38	2.78

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	5.67	1.08
-2	8.70	1.01
-1.75	3.62	1.20
-1.5	4.50	1.13
-1.25	4.10	1.16
-1	3.53	1.23
+0.75	1.27	3.20
+1	1.11	4.90
+1.25	1.08	5.46
+1.5	1.07	5.80
+2.5	1.01	10.5

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
9.5	1.80	2.00