Marsaxlokk vs Zabbar St. Patrick• Premier League, Malta

#32.0:1.616:00Today0.6:1.0#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80B365X3.65DAF24.42PINMargin at best5.6%Books8Markets43Rating72 · 28Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 21:57 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.73	3.65	4.40	7.9%
Betano	1.75	3.55	4.25	8.8%
BetVictor	1.70	3.60	4.40	9.3%
Betfair	1.70	3.60	4.20	10.4%
Pinnacle	1.68	3.54	4.39	10.6%
1xBet	1.70	3.52	4.25	10.8%
Bet365	1.80	3.50	3.70	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.68	3.52	4.15	12.0%
Best of all books	1.80	3.65	4.40	5.7%
Average	1.72	3.56	4.22	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MarsaxlokkZabbar St. Patrick

Last 10#3Table position#91.83Points per game0.8310Form pts · last 552.0Goals for · last 50.61.6Goals against · last 51.077Attack rating2338Defence rating6267Form rating3393H2H rating779Goals model2172Overall rating28

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 21:40 UTC

Marsaxlokk

3W 3D 4L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against

18 Sep	A	Hamrun Spartans	1-4	L
12 Sep	A	Floriana	5-2	W
5 Sep	H	Mosta	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	Valletta FC	2-1	W
21 Aug	H	Hibernians	1-0	W
14 Aug	A	Balzan FC	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	Gzira United	0-1	L
25 Jul	H	Zabbar St. Patrick	0-0	D
16 Jul	A	Pyunik Yerevan	0-1	L
9 Jul	H	Pyunik Yerevan	0-3	L

Zabbar St. Patrick

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:14 · per match 1.0 for, 1.4 against

18 Sep	H	Birkirkara	0-2	L
14 Sep	A	Gzira United	0-0	D
6 Sep	H	Hamrun Spartans	1-2	L
28 Aug	A	Hibernians	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Birzebbuga	1-0	W
16 Aug	A	Valletta FC	2-4	L
25 Jul	A	Marsaxlokk	0-0	D
18 Jul	A	Birkirkara	1-2	L
10 May	H	Tarxien Rainbows	2-0	W
5 May	H	Tarxien Rainbows	2-3	L

Head to head

5Marsaxlokk wins

2draws

0Zabbar St. Patrick wins

7 meetings · goals 12:5 · last 7: 5W 2D 0L for Marsaxlokk

25 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Marsaxlokk0-0Zabbar St. Patrick
7 Feb 2026Premier League	Premier League	Zabbar St. Patrick1-2Marsaxlokk
29 Oct 2025Premier League	Premier League	Marsaxlokk1-0Zabbar St. Patrick
19 Jul 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Marsaxlokk1-0Zabbar St. Patrick
19 Jan 2025Premier League	Premier League	Marsaxlokk3-1Zabbar St. Patrick
22 Dec 2024Premier League	Premier League	Marsaxlokk2-2Zabbar St. Patrick
2 Oct 2024Premier League	Premier League	Zabbar St. Patrick1-3Marsaxlokk

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 9 Oct 22:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Marsaxlokk sit 3rd with 11 points from 6 games, while Zabbar St. Patrick are 9th with 5 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Floriana	6	4	1	1	16:7	+9	13
2	Valletta FC	6	4	1	1	15:6	+9	13
3	Marsaxlokk	6	3	2	1	11:9	+2	11
4	Mosta	6	3	2	1	9:7	+2	11
5	Birkirkara	6	3	1	2	9:4	+5	10
6	Hamrun Spartans	6	3	1	2	9:6	+3	10
7	Sliema Wanderers	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10
8	Balzan FC	6	2	3	1	9:6	+3	9
9	Zabbar St. Patrick	6	1	2	3	5:9	-4	5
10	Hibernians	6	1	2	3	4:9	-5	5
11	Gzira United	5	0	1	4	2:13	-11	1
12	Birzebbuga	7	0	1	6	3:16	-13	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.72X26%3.56222%4.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.80 → 1.72 -4.4%X3.47 → 3.56 +2.6%23.74 → 4.22 +12.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.76	1.98	7.3%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
Betfair	1.75	1.95	8.4%
BetVictor	1.77	1.91	8.9%
1xBet	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Best of all books	1.85	1.98	4.6%
Average	1.78	1.94	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	2.00	7.1%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.69	2.00	9.2%
Betano	1.70	1.98	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.69	1.97	9.9%
Best of all books	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Average	1.71	1.99	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Marsaxlokk 45%Draw 45%Zabbar St. Patrick 10%

The statistical model rates Marsaxlokk at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Zabbar St. Patrick at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.72 | 3.56 | 4.22, which imply roughly 58.1% for a Marsaxlokk win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Marsaxlokk are 3rd (11 pts, 11-9 goals), Zabbar St. Patrick 9th (5 pts, 5-9).

Over their last five matches, Marsaxlokk averaged 2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Zabbar St. Patrick averaged 0.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Marsaxlokk or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.72	3.56	4.22

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.95	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.33	3.08

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.71	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
2.31	2.18	4.58

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.58	11.3	2.54

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.55
1.5	1.23	3.66
2.5	1.78	1.94
3.5	2.92	1.35
4.5	5.36	1.10

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	8.30
1.75	1.27	3.20
2	1.35	2.83
2.25	1.55	2.23
2.75	1.96	1.73
3	2.29	1.53
3.25	2.58	1.41
3.75	3.50	1.22
4	4.75	1.12
4.25	5.06	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.92	1.32
-1.25	2.59	1.41
-1	2.26	1.54
-0.75	1.89	1.78
-0.5	1.72	2.03
-0.25	1.48	2.39

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.15	1.06
-2.25	5.88	1.07
-2	5.25	1.09
-1.75	3.82	1.18
0	1.28	3.20
+0.25	1.25	3.39
+0.75	1.08	5.45
+1	1.01	9.00
+1.5	1.03	7.85

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10	2.00	1.80