Mosta vs 
Birzebbuga• Premier League, Malta
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 8.1% |
| Betano | 2.85 | 3.40 | 2.25 | 8.9% |
| BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 9.3% |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.15 | 10.4% |
| Pinnacle | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.15 | 10.4% |
| 1xBet | 2.93 | 3.26 | 2.17 | 10.9% |
| William Hill | 2.88 | 3.10 | 2.25 | 11.4% |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.20 | 12.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.85 | 3.26 | 2.15 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.93 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 7.1% |
| Average | 2.87 | 3.34 | 2.20 | 10.4% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:21 UTC
Mosta
4W 3D 3L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against
| 13 Sep | H | Sliema Wanderers | 1-3 | L |
| 5 Sep | A | Marsaxlokk | 1-1 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | Birkirkara | 1-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Balzan FC | 2-1 | W |
| 17 Aug | A | Hamrun Spartans | 2-0 | W |
| 24 Jul | A | Gzira United | 1-1 | D |
| 17 Jul | H | Birzebbuga | 0-4 | L |
| 10 May | A | Naxxar Lions | 1-0 | W |
| 30 Apr | A | Birkirkara | 1-1 | D |
| 24 Apr | A | Hibernians | 0-2 | L |
Birzebbuga
3W 1D 6L · goals 10:15 · per match 1.0 for, 1.5 against
| 19 Sep | H | Valletta FC | 0-3 | L |
| 11 Sep | H | Hamrun Spartans | 0-2 | L |
| 5 Sep | A | Balzan FC | 0-3 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Sliema Wanderers | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Zabbar St. Patrick | 0-1 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Floriana | 0-3 | L |
| 24 Jul | H | Balzan FC | 0-0 | D |
| 17 Jul | A | Mosta | 4-0 | W |
| 3 May | A | Melita | 3-0 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | Victoria Wanderers | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 0:4 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Mosta
| 17 Jul 2026Friendlies Clubs | Friendlies Clubs | Mosta0-4Birzebbuga |
Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 9 Oct 22:10 UTC
In the Premier League table, Mosta sit 4th with 11 points from 6 games, while Birzebbuga are 12th with 1 points from 7.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Floriana | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | +9 | 13 |
| 2 | Valletta FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 13 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | +2 | 11 |
| 4 | Mosta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | +2 | 11 |
| 5 | Birkirkara | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:4 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Hamrun Spartans | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sliema Wanderers | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Balzan FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Hibernians | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 5 |
| 11 | Gzira United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
| 12 | Birzebbuga | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3:16 | -13 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 5.3% |
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 1.95 | 6.5% |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 1.91 | 7.9% |
| Betano | 1.80 | 1.90 | 8.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.79 | 1.88 | 9.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.79 | 1.88 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 1.88 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.85 | 1.95 | 5.3% |
| Average | 1.80 | 1.91 | 7.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.67 | 2.15 | 6.4% |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 2.15 | 7.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 2.10 | 8.2% |
| Betano | 1.67 | 2.05 | 8.7% |
| 1xBet | 1.63 | 2.10 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 2.06 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.67 | 2.15 | 6.4% |
| Average | 1.65 | 2.10 | 8.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Mosta at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Birzebbuga at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.86 | 3.88 | 3.66, which imply roughly 53.8% for a Mosta win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Mosta are 4th (11 pts, 9-7 goals), Birzebbuga 12th (1 pts, 3-16).
Over their last five matches, Mosta averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Birzebbuga averaged 0.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Mosta or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.87 | 3.34 | 2.20 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56 | 1.35 | 1.26 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.11 | 1.66 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.65 | 2.10 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | 2.16 | 2.81 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 10.5 | 1.89 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 9.45 |
| 1.5 | 1.24 | 3.55 |
| 2.5 | 1.80 | 1.91 |
| 3.5 | 2.96 | 1.33 |
| 4.5 | 5.84 | 1.10 |
| 5.5 | 12.0 | 1.04 |
11 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 8.70 |
| 1.25 | 1.16 | 4.15 |
| 1.75 | 1.32 | 3.01 |
| 2 | 1.37 | 2.74 |
| 2.25 | 1.58 | 2.18 |
| 2.75 | 2.00 | 1.70 |
| 3 | 2.34 | 1.50 |
| 3.25 | 2.63 | 1.39 |
| 3.75 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| 4 | 4.80 | 1.11 |
| 4.25 | 4.93 | 1.13 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.71 | 1.40 |
| -0.25 | 2.48 | 1.45 |
| 0 | 2.11 | 1.65 |
| +0.25 | 1.79 | 1.90 |
| +0.5 | 1.62 | 2.16 |
| +0.75 | 1.43 | 2.53 |
10 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10.0 | 1.01 |
| -1.5 | 6.05 | 1.06 |
| -1.25 | 4.93 | 1.11 |
| -1 | 5.10 | 1.10 |
| -0.75 | 3.37 | 1.25 |
| +1 | 1.26 | 3.29 |
| +1.25 | 1.19 | 3.78 |
| +1.5 | 1.16 | 4.20 |
| +2 | 1.02 | 8.10 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 8.90 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 1.98 | 1.82 |