Hamrun Spartans vs Hibernians• Premier League, Malta

#61.8:0.813:30Tomorrow · Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola0.4:1.8#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.60BTNX4.00B36525.25BVCMargin at best6.5%Books7Markets45Rating67 · 33Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 17:54 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.57	4.10	5.00	8.1%
Betano	1.60	3.95	4.80	8.6%
BetVictor	1.53	4.00	5.25	9.4%
Betfair	1.55	4.00	5.00	9.5%
1xBet	1.55	3.90	4.81	10.9%
Bet365	1.55	4.00	4.50	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.53	3.90	4.70	12.3%
Best of all books	1.60	4.10	5.25	5.9%
Average	1.55	3.98	4.87	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Hamrun SpartansHibernians

Last 10#6Table position#101.67Points per game0.8310Form pts · last 521.8Goals for · last 50.40.8Goals against · last 51.882Attack rating1869Defence rating3183Form rating1760H2H rating4049Goals model5167Overall rating33

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 18:02 UTC

Hamrun Spartans

4W 2D 4L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against

18 Sep	H	Marsaxlokk	4-1	W
11 Sep	A	Birzebbuga	2-0	W
6 Sep	A	Zabbar St. Patrick	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Floriana	1-1	D
22 Aug	A	Birkirkara	0-1	L
17 Aug	H	Mosta	0-2	L
16 Jul	H	NSI Runavik	1-2	L
9 Jul	A	NSI Runavik	1-1	D
15 May	A	Valletta FC	2-0	W
9 May	A	Marsaxlokk	1-2	L

Hibernians

2W 3D 5L · goals 8:15 · per match 0.8 for, 1.5 against

20 Sep	H	Floriana	0-4	L
12 Sep	A	Birkirkara	1-1	D
2 Sep	H	Valletta FC	0-2	L
28 Aug	H	Zabbar St. Patrick	1-1	D
21 Aug	A	Marsaxlokk	0-1	L
16 Aug	A	Sliema Wanderers	2-0	W
30 Apr	A	Zabbar St. Patrick	0-3	L
24 Apr	H	Mosta	2-0	W
18 Apr	H	Birkirkara	0-0	D
14 Apr	A	Tarxien Rainbows	2-3	L

Head to head

11Hamrun Spartans wins

6draws

9Hibernians wins

26 meetings · goals 36:31 · last 10: 6W 1D 3L for Hamrun Spartans

18 Feb 2026Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians0-1Hamrun Spartans
10 Feb 2026Super Cup	Super Cup	Hamrun Spartans1-2Hibernians
27 Sep 2025Premier League	Premier League	Hamrun Spartans2-0Hibernians
14 May 2025FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Hamrun Spartans1-2Hibernians
19 Jan 2025Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians1-2Hamrun Spartans
21 Dec 2024Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians0-3Hamrun Spartans
2 Oct 2024Premier League	Premier League	Hamrun Spartans0-2Hibernians
4 May 2024Premier League	Premier League	Hamrun Spartans1-1Hibernians
20 Jan 2024Premier League	Premier League	Hibernians1-2Hamrun Spartans
8 Jan 2023Premier League	Premier League	Hamrun Spartans1-0Hibernians

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 9 Oct 22:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Hamrun Spartans sit 6th with 10 points from 6 games, while Hibernians are 10th with 5 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Floriana	6	4	1	1	16:7	+9	13
2	Valletta FC	6	4	1	1	15:6	+9	13
3	Marsaxlokk	6	3	2	1	11:9	+2	11
4	Mosta	6	3	2	1	9:7	+2	11
5	Birkirkara	6	3	1	2	9:4	+5	10
6	Hamrun Spartans	6	3	1	2	9:6	+3	10
7	Sliema Wanderers	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10
8	Balzan FC	6	2	3	1	9:6	+3	9
9	Zabbar St. Patrick	6	1	2	3	5:9	-4	5
10	Hibernians	6	1	2	3	4:9	-5	5
11	Gzira United	5	0	1	4	2:13	-11	1
12	Birzebbuga	7	0	1	6	3:16	-13	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.55X23%3.96219%4.84

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Betano	1.67	2.07	8.2%
1xBet	1.67	2.04	8.9%
BetVictor	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.04	8.9%
Best of all books	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Average	1.68	2.06	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
1xBet	1.70	1.99	9.1%
Betano	1.72	1.95	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.70	1.96	9.8%
Best of all books	1.72	2.00	8.1%
Average	1.71	1.98	9.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Hamrun Spartans 45%Draw 45%Hibernians 10%

The statistical model rates Hamrun Spartans at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Hibernians at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.55 | 3.96 | 4.84, which imply roughly 64.5% for a Hamrun Spartans win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Hamrun Spartans are 6th (10 pts, 9-6 goals), Hibernians 10th (5 pts, 4-9).

Over their last five matches, Hamrun Spartans averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Hibernians averaged 0.4 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Hamrun Spartans or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.55	3.98	4.87

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.23	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
1.24	3.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	1.98

1st half

1	X	2
2.07	2.34	4.96

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	13.3	2.76

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.0
1.5	1.19	3.90
2.5	1.68	2.06
3.5	2.67	1.39
4.5	4.84	1.13
5.5	8.77	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.28	3.08
2.25	1.49	2.36
2.75	1.83	1.82
3	2.10	1.61
3.25	2.37	1.48
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.20	1.15
4.25	4.31	1.15

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.52	1.42
-1.25	2.23	1.54
-1	1.94	1.76
-0.75	1.68	1.98
-0.5	1.51	2.33
-0.25	1.37	2.66

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.55	1.01
-2.5	4.90	1.11
-2.25	4.38	1.14
-2	4.10	1.16
-1.75	3.05	1.28
0	1.21	3.58
+0.25	1.16	4.15
+1.5	1.02	9.00