Sliema Wanderers vs Gzira United• Premier League, Malta

#71.4:1.016:00Tomorrow · Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola0.4:2.6#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.78BTNX3.60B36525.25BVCMargin at best3.0%Books7Markets43Rating76 · 24Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 17:54 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.75	3.60	4.30	8.2%
Betano	1.78	3.50	4.20	8.6%
Betfair	1.67	3.70	4.60	8.6%
BetVictor	1.60	3.60	5.25	9.3%
1xBet	1.67	3.60	4.30	10.9%
Bet365	1.67	3.60	4.10	12.0%
Marathonbet	1.65	3.60	4.20	12.2%
Best of all books	1.78	3.70	5.25	2.3%
Average	1.68	3.60	4.42	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sliema WanderersGzira United

Last 10#7Table position#111.67Points per game0.2010Form pts · last 511.4Goals for · last 50.41.0Goals against · last 52.678Attack rating2272Defence rating2891Form rating971H2H rating2979Goals model2176Overall rating24

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 18:02 UTC

Sliema Wanderers

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

20 Sep	A	Balzan FC	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Mosta	3-1	W
6 Sep	H	Birkirkara	2-1	W
30 Aug	A	Birzebbuga	2-1	W
21 Aug	A	Floriana	0-2	L
16 Aug	H	Hibernians	0-2	L
25 Jul	A	Birkirkara	3-2	W
30 Apr	A	Tarxien Rainbows	1-2	L
26 Apr	A	Zabbar St. Patrick	1-1	D
19 Apr	A	Mosta	2-2	D

Gzira United

1W 2D 7L · goals 5:18 · per match 0.5 for, 1.8 against

14 Sep	H	Zabbar St. Patrick	0-0	D
2 Sep	A	Floriana	1-4	L
29 Aug	A	Balzan FC	1-2	L
23 Aug	H	Valletta FC	0-3	L
17 Aug	A	Birkirkara	0-4	L
8 Aug	A	Marsaxlokk	1-0	W
24 Jul	H	Mosta	1-1	D
17 Jul	A	Balzan FC	0-1	L
23 May	A	Valletta FC	1-2	L
30 Apr	H	Floriana	0-1	L

Head to head

9Sliema Wanderers wins

4draws

7Gzira United wins

20 meetings · goals 24:21 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Sliema Wanderers

14 Mar 2026Premier League	Premier League	Sliema Wanderers2-1Gzira United
24 Sep 2025Premier League	Premier League	Sliema Wanderers2-0Gzira United
15 Feb 2025Premier League	Premier League	Sliema Wanderers0-1Gzira United
21 Sep 2024Premier League	Premier League	Gzira United2-2Sliema Wanderers
3 Mar 2024Premier League	Premier League	Gzira United0-2Sliema Wanderers
29 Oct 2023Premier League	Premier League	Sliema Wanderers1-0Gzira United
15 Jan 2023FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Gzira United2-0Sliema Wanderers
18 Jan 2022Premier League	Premier League	Sliema Wanderers1-3Gzira United
11 Sep 2021Premier League	Premier League	Gzira United1-1Sliema Wanderers
6 Mar 2021Premier League	Premier League	Sliema Wanderers2-0Gzira United

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 9 Oct 22:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Sliema Wanderers sit 7th with 10 points from 6 games, while Gzira United are 11th with 1 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Floriana	6	4	1	1	16:7	+9	13
2	Valletta FC	6	4	1	1	15:6	+9	13
3	Marsaxlokk	6	3	2	1	11:9	+2	11
4	Mosta	6	3	2	1	9:7	+2	11
5	Birkirkara	6	3	1	2	9:4	+5	10
6	Hamrun Spartans	6	3	1	2	9:6	+3	10
7	Sliema Wanderers	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10
8	Balzan FC	6	2	3	1	9:6	+3	9
9	Zabbar St. Patrick	6	1	2	3	5:9	-4	5
10	Hibernians	6	1	2	3	4:9	-5	5
11	Gzira United	5	0	1	4	2:13	-11	1
12	Birzebbuga	7	0	1	6	3:16	-13	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.68X25%3.58221%4.41

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.65 → 1.68 +1.8%X3.61 → 3.58 -0.8%24.53 → 4.41 -2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
BetVictor	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.90	1.80	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Betano	1.83	1.85	8.7%
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.83	9.9%
Best of all books	1.90	1.86	6.4%
Average	1.84	1.84	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sliema Wanderers 50%Draw 50%Gzira United 0%

The statistical model rates Sliema Wanderers at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Gzira United at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 3.58 | 4.41, which imply roughly 59.5% for a Sliema Wanderers win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Sliema Wanderers are 7th (10 pts, 7-7 goals), Gzira United 11th (1 pts, 2-13).

Over their last five matches, Sliema Wanderers averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Gzira United averaged 0.4 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Sliema Wanderers.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.68	3.60	4.42

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.01	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.28	3.42

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.84	1.84

1st half

1	X	2
2.26	2.15	4.85

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.55	10.6	2.63

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.62
1.5	1.28	3.19
2.5	1.90	1.80
3.5	3.21	1.28
4.5	6.20	1.08
5.5	15.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.30
1.75	1.32	2.88
2	1.43	2.48
2.25	1.66	2.03
2.75	2.11	1.60
3	2.55	1.41
3.25	2.88	1.32
3.75	4.00	1.17
4	5.50	1.08
4.25	5.73	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.97	1.30
-1.25	2.55	1.42
-1	2.20	1.57
-0.75	1.85	1.84
-0.5	1.66	2.10
-0.25	1.44	2.48

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.15	1.06
-2.25	4.90	1.11
-2	5.30	1.09
-1.75	3.72	1.20
0	1.27	3.14
+0.25	1.21	3.58
+1	1.01	8.90
+1.5	1.02	9.00