Birkirkara vs Valletta FC• Premier League, Malta

#51.0:0.813:30Tomorrow2.2:0.8#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.05DAFX3.25BFR22.32BTNMargin at best6.7%Books9Markets39Rating43 · 57Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 16:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	3.05	3.15	2.32	7.6%
Betano	3.00	3.10	2.32	8.7%
Betfair	3.00	3.25	2.20	9.6%
BetVictor	3.00	3.13	2.25	9.7%
Pinnacle	2.95	3.01	2.31	10.4%
1xBet	2.97	3.04	2.26	10.8%
William Hill	3.00	2.90	2.30	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.89	3.04	2.24	12.1%
Bet365	2.90	3.20	2.15	12.2%
Best of all books	3.05	3.25	2.32	6.7%
Average	2.97	3.09	2.26	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BirkirkaraValletta FC

Last 10#5Table position#21.67Points per game2.177Form pts · last 5101.0Goals for · last 52.20.8Goals against · last 50.831Attack rating6950Defence rating5041Form rating5950H2H rating500Goals model10043Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 21:40 UTC

Birkirkara

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

18 Sep	A	Zabbar St. Patrick	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Hibernians	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Sliema Wanderers	1-2	L
30 Aug	A	Mosta	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Hamrun Spartans	1-0	W
17 Aug	H	Gzira United	4-0	W
25 Jul	H	Sliema Wanderers	2-3	L
18 Jul	H	Zabbar St. Patrick	2-1	W
30 Apr	H	Mosta	1-1	D
24 Apr	A	Tarxien Rainbows	0-0	D

Valletta FC

6W 1D 3L · goals 20:14 · per match 2.0 for, 1.4 against

19 Sep	A	Birzebbuga	3-0	W
13 Sep	H	Balzan FC	2-2	D
7 Sep	A	Floriana	2-0	W
2 Sep	A	Hibernians	2-0	W
28 Aug	H	Marsaxlokk	1-2	L
23 Aug	A	Gzira United	3-0	W
16 Aug	H	Zabbar St. Patrick	4-2	W
30 Jul	H	Raków Częstochowa	0-4	L
23 Jul	A	Raków Częstochowa	1-3	L
11 Jul	A	Balzan FC	2-1	W

Head to head

6Birkirkara wins

9draws

7Valletta FC wins

22 meetings · goals 26:29 · last 10: 4W 4D 2L for Birkirkara

4 Apr 2026FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Valletta FC3-1Birkirkara
8 Feb 2026Premier League	Premier League	Birkirkara1-0Valletta FC
7 Jan 2026Premier League	Premier League	Valletta FC2-0Birkirkara
16 Aug 2025Premier League	Premier League	Valletta FC0-0Birkirkara
5 Mar 2025FA Trophy	FA Trophy	Birkirkara3-1Valletta FC
9 Feb 2024Premier League	Premier League	Valletta FC0-1Birkirkara
27 Sep 2023Premier League	Premier League	Birkirkara1-1Valletta FC
5 Feb 2023Premier League	Premier League	Valletta FC1-1Birkirkara
2 Oct 2022Premier League	Premier League	Birkirkara3-0Valletta FC
12 Mar 2022Premier League	Premier League	Birkirkara1-1Valletta FC

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 9 Oct 22:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Birkirkara sit 5th with 10 points from 6 games, while Valletta FC are 2nd with 13 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Floriana	6	4	1	1	16:7	+9	13
2	Valletta FC	6	4	1	1	15:6	+9	13
3	Marsaxlokk	6	3	2	1	11:9	+2	11
4	Mosta	6	3	2	1	9:7	+2	11
5	Birkirkara	6	3	1	2	9:4	+5	10
6	Hamrun Spartans	6	3	1	2	9:6	+3	10
7	Sliema Wanderers	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10
8	Balzan FC	6	2	3	1	9:6	+3	9
9	Zabbar St. Patrick	6	1	2	3	5:9	-4	5
10	Hibernians	6	1	2	3	4:9	-5	5
11	Gzira United	5	0	1	4	2:13	-11	1
12	Birzebbuga	7	0	1	6	3:16	-13	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.97X29%3.09240%2.26

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.99 → 2.97 -0.7%X3.19 → 3.09 -3.1%22.18 → 2.26 +3.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.11	1.67	7.3%
Betano	2.12	1.65	7.8%
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
BetVictor	2.06	1.66	8.8%
1xBet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.08	1.64	9.1%
Best of all books	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Average	2.10	1.65	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.87	7.0%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Betano	1.85	1.83	8.7%
BetVictor	1.83	1.85	8.7%
1xBet	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.83	9.9%
Best of all books	1.87	1.91	5.8%
Average	1.83	1.86	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Birkirkara 10%Draw 45%Valletta FC 45%

The statistical model rates Birkirkara at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Valletta FC at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.97 | 3.09 | 2.26, which imply roughly 32.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Birkirkara are 5th (10 pts, 9-4 goals), Valletta FC 2nd (13 pts, 15-6).

Over their last five matches, Birkirkara averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Valletta FC averaged 2.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Valletta FC and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.97	3.09	2.26

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.54	1.31	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
2.14	1.64

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.83	1.86

1st half

1	X	2
3.65	2.00	2.93

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.21	8.20	1.84

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	7.55
1.5	1.34	2.95
2.5	2.10	1.65
3.5	3.81	1.21
4.5	7.53	1.07
5.5	17.0	1.01

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	6.90
1.25	1.18	3.92
1.75	1.42	2.56
2	1.56	2.21
2.25	1.83	1.85
2.75	2.38	1.48
3	2.98	1.31
3.25	3.34	1.24
3.75	4.60	1.13
4	6.90	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.89	1.36
-0.25	2.50	1.44
0	2.11	1.63
+0.25	1.76	1.94
+0.5	1.56	2.26
+0.75	1.38	2.71

9 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.75	1.04
-1.25	5.46	1.08
-1	5.60	1.08
-0.75	3.58	1.21
+1	1.21	3.73
+1.25	1.15	4.30
+1.5	1.12	4.75
+2	1.01	8.60
+2.5	1.02	9.35