Floriana vs Balzan FC• Premier League, Malta

#12.6:1.409:00Tomorrow · Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun1.6:1.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80BTNX3.50B36524.20BVCMargin at best7.9%Books6Markets43Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 17:54 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.80	3.50	4.20	7.9%
Betano	1.80	3.40	4.15	9.1%
BetVictor	1.75	3.50	4.20	9.5%
1xBet	1.73	3.45	4.16	10.8%
Bet365	1.73	3.50	4.00	11.4%
Marathonbet	1.71	3.45	4.05	12.2%
Best of all books	1.80	3.50	4.20	7.9%
Average	1.75	3.47	4.13	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FlorianaBalzan FC

Last 10#1Table position#82.17Points per game1.507Form pts · last 582.6Goals for · last 51.61.4Goals against · last 51.062Attack rating3842Defence rating5856Form rating4462H2H rating3867Goals model3359Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 18:02 UTC

Floriana

4W 2D 4L · goals 19:17 · per match 1.9 for, 1.7 against

20 Sep	A	Hibernians	4-0	W
12 Sep	H	Marsaxlokk	2-5	L
7 Sep	H	Valletta FC	0-2	L
2 Sep	H	Gzira United	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	Hamrun Spartans	1-1	D
21 Aug	H	Sliema Wanderers	2-0	W
14 Aug	A	Birzebbuga	3-0	W
28 Jul	A	Drita	1-2	L
21 Jul	H	Drita	1-1	D
14 Jul	A	Shamrock Rovers	1-5	L

Balzan FC

4W 4D 2L · goals 13:8 · per match 1.3 for, 0.8 against

20 Sep	H	Sliema Wanderers	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Valletta FC	2-2	D
5 Sep	H	Birzebbuga	3-0	W
29 Aug	H	Gzira United	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Mosta	1-2	L
14 Aug	H	Marsaxlokk	1-1	D
24 Jul	A	Birzebbuga	0-0	D
17 Jul	H	Gzira United	1-0	W
11 Jul	H	Valletta FC	1-2	L
19 Apr	H	Melita	2-0	W

Head to head

7Floriana wins

8draws

4Balzan FC wins

19 meetings · goals 22:16 · last 10: 4W 5D 1L for Floriana

16 Feb 2025Premier League	Premier League	Balzan FC0-0Floriana
26 Oct 2024Premier League	Premier League	Floriana3-0Balzan FC
18 Feb 2024Premier League	Premier League	Floriana2-2Balzan FC
1 Oct 2023Premier League	Premier League	Balzan FC0-3Floriana
5 Mar 2023Premier League	Premier League	Balzan FC3-1Floriana
23 Oct 2022Premier League	Premier League	Floriana0-0Balzan FC
6 Feb 2022Premier League	Premier League	Floriana2-1Balzan FC
16 Oct 2021Premier League	Premier League	Balzan FC1-2Floriana
6 Mar 2021Premier League	Premier League	Floriana0-0Balzan FC
22 Nov 2020Premier League	Premier League	Balzan FC0-0Floriana

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 9 Oct 22:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Floriana sit 1st with 13 points from 6 games, while Balzan FC are 8th with 9 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Floriana	6	4	1	1	16:7	+9	13
2	Valletta FC	6	4	1	1	15:6	+9	13
3	Marsaxlokk	6	3	2	1	11:9	+2	11
4	Mosta	6	3	2	1	9:7	+2	11
5	Birkirkara	6	3	1	2	9:4	+5	10
6	Hamrun Spartans	6	3	1	2	9:6	+3	10
7	Sliema Wanderers	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10
8	Balzan FC	6	2	3	1	9:6	+3	9
9	Zabbar St. Patrick	6	1	2	3	5:9	-4	5
10	Hibernians	6	1	2	3	4:9	-5	5
11	Gzira United	5	0	1	4	2:13	-11	1
12	Birzebbuga	7	0	1	6	3:16	-13	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.75X26%3.46222%4.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.76 → 1.75 -0.6%X3.45 → 3.46 +0.3%24.06 → 4.11 +1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
BetVictor	1.88	1.79	9.1%
1xBet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.91	1.80	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Betano	1.82	1.85	9.0%
1xBet	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.80	1.84	9.9%
Best of all books	1.82	1.90	7.6%
Average	1.80	1.86	9.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Floriana 45%Draw 45%Balzan FC 10%

The statistical model rates Floriana at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Balzan FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.75 | 3.46 | 4.11, which imply roughly 57.1% for a Floriana win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Floriana are 1st (13 pts, 16-7 goals), Balzan FC 8th (9 pts, 9-6).

Over their last five matches, Floriana averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Balzan FC averaged 1.6 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Floriana and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.75	3.47	4.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	1.91	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.32	3.12

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
2.35	2.13	4.65

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.59	10.4	2.60

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.43
1.5	1.27	3.23
2.5	1.91	1.80
3.5	3.25	1.27
4.5	6.23	1.08
5.5	13.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.50
1.75	1.32	2.88
2	1.44	2.47
2.25	1.67	2.02
2.75	2.14	1.59
3	2.59	1.40
3.25	2.97	1.30
3.75	4.14	1.16
4	5.75	1.07
4.25	5.73	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.79	1.35
-1	2.42	1.47
-0.75	1.96	1.73
-0.5	1.75	1.95
-0.25	1.51	2.29
0	1.29	3.08

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	6.80	1.04
-2.25	5.47	1.08
-2	5.90	1.07
-1.75	4.00	1.17
-1.5	3.14	1.27
+0.25	1.22	3.50
+1	1.01	9.00
+1.5	1.02	8.95