OddsFilter

Gzira United vs Mosta• Premier League, Malta

#110.6:2.01-1FTToday · Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola1.4:1.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.60BVCX3.45DAF22.50BFRMargin at best7.4%Books2Markets31Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 12:32 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.493.322.4910.4%
Marathonbet2.453.282.4412.3%
Best of all books2.493.322.4910.4%
Average2.473.302.4611.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Gzira UnitedMosta
Last 10#11Table position#50.33Points per game1.832Form pts · last 580.6Goals for · last 51.42.0Goals against · last 51.430Attack rating7041Defence rating5920Form rating8093H2H rating70Goals model10050Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 14:00 UTC

Gzira United

1W 3D 6L · goals 6:18 · per match 0.6 for, 1.8 against

11 OctASliema Wanderers1-1D
14 SepHZabbar St. Patrick0-0D
2 SepAFloriana1-4L
29 AugABalzan FC1-2L
23 AugHValletta FC0-3L
17 AugABirkirkara0-4L
8 AugAMarsaxlokk1-0W
24 JulHMosta1-1D
17 JulABalzan FC0-1L
23 MayAValletta FC1-2L

Mosta

4W 4D 2L · goals 12:13 · per match 1.2 for, 1.3 against

9 OctHBirzebbuga2-2D
13 SepHSliema Wanderers1-3L
5 SepAMarsaxlokk1-1D
30 AugHBirkirkara1-0W
23 AugHBalzan FC2-1W
17 AugAHamrun Spartans2-0W
24 JulAGzira United1-1D
17 JulHBirzebbuga0-4L
10 MayANaxxar Lions1-0W
30 AprABirkirkara1-1D

Head to head

14Gzira United wins
5draws
5Mosta wins

24 meetings · goals 55:33 · last 10: 7W 1D 2L for Gzira United

24 Jul 2026Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsGzira United1-1Mosta
3 Mar 2026FA TrophyFA TrophyGzira United2-1Mosta
22 Feb 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueGzira United1-0Mosta
24 Nov 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueGzira United1-0Mosta
2 Oct 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMosta3-4Gzira United
18 Jul 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsMosta3-1Gzira United
4 Jan 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMosta1-0Gzira United
29 Aug 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueGzira United2-0Mosta
17 Mar 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueGzira United2-1Mosta
26 Nov 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMosta0-3Gzira United

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 13 Oct 20:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Gzira United sit 11th with 2 points from 6 games, while Mosta are 5th with 11 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Valletta FC751117:6+1116
2Floriana742117:8+914
3Marsaxlokk742113:10+314
4Hamrun Spartans732211:8+311
5Mosta63219:7+211
6Sliema Wanderers73228:8011
7Balzan FC724110:7+310
8Birkirkara73139:6+310
9Hibernians71336:11-56
10Zabbar St. Patrick71246:11-55
11Gzira United60243:14-112
12Birzebbuga70163:16-131

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.48X28%3.25236%2.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.931.836.5%
Marathonbet1.891.789.1%
Best of all books1.931.836.5%
Average1.911.817.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Marathonbet1.701.969.8%
Best of all books1.701.969.8%
Average1.701.969.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Gzira United 10%Draw 45%Mosta 45%

The statistical model rated Gzira United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Mosta at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.48 | 3.25 | 2.50, which imply roughly 30.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Gzira United are 11th (2 pts, 3-14 goals), Mosta 5th (11 pts, 9-7).

Over their last five matches, Gzira United averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Mosta averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Mosta.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.473.302.47

Double chance

1XX212
1.411.411.23

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.701.96

1st half

1X2
3.102.113.08

2nd half

1X2
2.852.382.84

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9411.51.93

Match goals

LineOverUnder
1.51.263.20
2.51.911.81
3.53.281.25
9 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.028.20
1.751.342.91
21.432.54
2.251.672.05
2.752.151.61
32.601.41
3.252.931.33
3.754.051.16
45.551.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.451.48
-0.252.151.61
01.861.86
+0.251.612.13
+0.51.482.45
+0.751.332.94
7 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.55.151.10
-1.254.751.12
-14.201.15
-0.752.971.32
+11.154.20
+1.251.124.70
+1.51.105.15