OddsFilter

Birzebbuga vs Valletta FC• Premier League, Malta

#120.2:2.20-3FT19/09 · Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola2.4:1.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.91AVGX4.01AVG21.40AVGMargin10.8%Rating22 · 79Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2

Average 1X2: 6.91 | 4.01 | 1.40. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.

Team comparison

BirzebbugaValletta FC
Last 10#12Table position#20.14Points per game2.170Form pts · last 5100.2Goals for · last 52.42.2Goals against · last 51.28Attack rating9235Defence rating650Form rating1000H2H rating00Goals model10022Overall rating79

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:21 UTC

Birzebbuga

3W 1D 6L · goals 10:15 · per match 1.0 for, 1.5 against

19 SepHValletta FC0-3L
11 SepHHamrun Spartans0-2L
5 SepABalzan FC0-3L
30 AugHSliema Wanderers1-2L
22 AugAZabbar St. Patrick0-1L
14 AugHFloriana0-3L
24 JulHBalzan FC0-0D
17 JulAMosta4-0W
3 MayAMelita3-0W
26 AprHVictoria Wanderers2-1W

Valletta FC

6W 1D 3L · goals 20:14 · per match 2.0 for, 1.4 against

19 SepABirzebbuga3-0W
13 SepHBalzan FC2-2D
7 SepAFloriana2-0W
2 SepAHibernians2-0W
28 AugHMarsaxlokk1-2L
23 AugAGzira United3-0W
16 AugHZabbar St. Patrick4-2W
30 JulHRaków Częstochowa0-4L
23 JulARaków Częstochowa1-3L
11 JulABalzan FC2-1W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Birzebbuga and Valletta FC on record.

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 9 Oct 22:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Birzebbuga sit 12th with 1 points from 7 games, while Valletta FC are 2nd with 13 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Floriana641116:7+913
2Valletta FC641115:6+913
3Marsaxlokk632111:9+211
4Mosta63219:7+211
5Birkirkara63129:4+510
6Hamrun Spartans63129:6+310
7Sliema Wanderers63127:7010
8Balzan FC62319:6+39
9Zabbar St. Patrick61235:9-45
10Hibernians61234:9-55
11Gzira United50142:13-111
12Birzebbuga70163:16-131

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg113%6.91X22%4.01264%1.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.8% margin.

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Birzebbuga 0%Draw 50%Valletta FC 50%

The statistical model rated Birzebbuga at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Valletta FC at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 6.91 | 4.01 | 1.40, which imply roughly 24.9% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Birzebbuga are 12th (1 pts, 3-16 goals), Valletta FC 2nd (13 pts, 15-6).

Over their last five matches, Birzebbuga averaged 0.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Valletta FC averaged 2.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Valletta FC.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.