OddsFilter

Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers• Premier League, Malta

#41.5:0.51-3FT13/09 · Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola1.0:1.5#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.36AVGX3.43AVG21.72AVGMargin10.2%Books2Markets6Rating57 · 44Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Sep 16:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.943.601.799.0%
Bet3653.803.501.7512.0%
Best of all books3.943.601.799.0%
Average3.873.551.7710.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MostaSliema Wanderers
Last 10#4Table position#71.83Points per game1.6710Form pts · last 5101.5Goals for · last 51.00.5Goals against · last 51.560Attack rating4075Defence rating2563Form rating3829H2H rating7180Goals model2057Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:21 UTC

Mosta

4W 3D 3L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

13 SepHSliema Wanderers1-3L
5 SepAMarsaxlokk1-1D
30 AugHBirkirkara1-0W
23 AugHBalzan FC2-1W
17 AugAHamrun Spartans2-0W
24 JulAGzira United1-1D
17 JulHBirzebbuga0-4L
10 MayANaxxar Lions1-0W
30 AprABirkirkara1-1D
24 AprAHibernians0-2L

Sliema Wanderers

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:14 · per match 1.4 for, 1.4 against

20 SepABalzan FC0-0D
13 SepAMosta3-1W
6 SepHBirkirkara2-1W
30 AugABirzebbuga2-1W
21 AugAFloriana0-2L
16 AugHHibernians0-2L
25 JulABirkirkara3-2W
30 AprATarxien Rainbows1-2L
26 AprAZabbar St. Patrick1-1D
19 AprAMosta2-2D

Head to head

7Mosta wins
6draws
9Sliema Wanderers wins

22 meetings · goals 23:31 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for Mosta

19 Apr 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMosta2-2Sliema Wanderers
8 Feb 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMosta0-1Sliema Wanderers
22 Aug 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSliema Wanderers0-1Mosta
30 Apr 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMosta1-4Sliema Wanderers
25 Jan 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMosta0-1Sliema Wanderers
21 Dec 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSliema Wanderers3-1Mosta
16 Aug 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSliema Wanderers2-0Mosta
30 Mar 2024FA TrophyFA TrophyMosta2-2Sliema Wanderers
10 Feb 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueSliema Wanderers0-0Mosta
27 Sep 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueMosta0-3Sliema Wanderers

Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 9 Oct 22:10 UTC

In the Premier League table, Mosta sit 4th with 11 points from 6 games, while Sliema Wanderers are 7th with 10 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Floriana641116:7+913
2Valletta FC641115:6+913
3Marsaxlokk632111:9+211
4Mosta63219:7+211
5Birkirkara63129:4+510
6Hamrun Spartans63129:6+310
7Sliema Wanderers63127:7010
8Balzan FC62319:6+39
9Zabbar St. Patrick61235:9-45
10Hibernians61234:9-55
11Gzira United50142:13-111
12Birzebbuga70163:16-131

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg121%4.36X26%3.43253%1.72

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.081.735.9%
Bet3652.081.735.9%
Best of all books2.081.735.9%
Average2.081.735.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mosta 45%Draw 45%Sliema Wanderers 10%

The statistical model rated Mosta at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sliema Wanderers at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.36 | 3.43 | 1.72, which imply roughly 22.9% for a Mosta win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Mosta are 4th (11 pts, 9-7 goals), Sliema Wanderers 7th (10 pts, 7-7).

Over their last five matches, Mosta averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Sliema Wanderers averaged 1 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Mosta or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.873.551.77

Double chance

1XX212
1.941.211.24

Draw no bet

12
3.001.36

1st half

1X2
4.602.102.39

Match goals

LineOverUnder
2.52.081.73

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
03.001.36