Floriana vs 
Marsaxlokk• Premier League, Malta
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2
Average 1X2: 2.12 | 3.16 | 3.10. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 18:02 UTC
Floriana
4W 2D 4L · goals 19:17 · per match 1.9 for, 1.7 against
| 20 Sep | A | Hibernians | 4-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | Marsaxlokk | 2-5 | L |
| 7 Sep | H | Valletta FC | 0-2 | L |
| 2 Sep | H | Gzira United | 4-1 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | Hamrun Spartans | 1-1 | D |
| 21 Aug | H | Sliema Wanderers | 2-0 | W |
| 14 Aug | A | Birzebbuga | 3-0 | W |
| 28 Jul | A | Drita | 1-2 | L |
| 21 Jul | H | Drita | 1-1 | D |
| 14 Jul | A | Shamrock Rovers | 1-5 | L |
Marsaxlokk
3W 3D 4L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against
| 18 Sep | A | Hamrun Spartans | 1-4 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Floriana | 5-2 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Mosta | 1-1 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | Valletta FC | 2-1 | W |
| 21 Aug | H | Hibernians | 1-0 | W |
| 14 Aug | A | Balzan FC | 1-1 | D |
| 8 Aug | H | Gzira United | 0-1 | L |
| 25 Jul | H | Zabbar St. Patrick | 0-0 | D |
| 16 Jul | A | Pyunik Yerevan | 0-1 | L |
| 9 Jul | H | Pyunik Yerevan | 0-3 | L |
Head to head
15 meetings · goals 29:12 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for Floriana
| 16 May 2026Premier League | Premier League | Floriana2-1Marsaxlokk |
| 15 Apr 2026Premier League | Premier League | Marsaxlokk1-3Floriana |
| 18 Feb 2026Premier League | Premier League | Floriana0-0Marsaxlokk |
| 3 Jan 2026FA Trophy | FA Trophy | Floriana1-0Marsaxlokk |
| 23 Nov 2025Premier League | Premier League | Floriana2-1Marsaxlokk |
| 20 Sep 2025Premier League | Premier League | Marsaxlokk1-2Floriana |
| 12 Apr 2025Premier League | Premier League | Floriana2-1Marsaxlokk |
| 9 Feb 2025Premier League | Premier League | Floriana2-1Marsaxlokk |
| 21 Oct 2024Premier League | Premier League | Marsaxlokk1-1Floriana |
| 20 Apr 2024Premier League | Premier League | Marsaxlokk1-0Floriana |
Premier League tablePremier Division: First stage - Mainupdated 9 Oct 22:10 UTC
In the Premier League table, Floriana sit 1st with 13 points from 6 games, while Marsaxlokk are 3rd with 11 points from 6.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Floriana | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | +9 | 13 |
| 2 | Valletta FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 13 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | +2 | 11 |
| 4 | Mosta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | +2 | 11 |
| 5 | Birkirkara | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:4 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Hamrun Spartans | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sliema Wanderers | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Balzan FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | Zabbar St. Patrick | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Hibernians | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 5 |
| 11 | Gzira United | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
| 12 | Birzebbuga | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3:16 | -13 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 11.1% margin.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Floriana at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Marsaxlokk at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.12 | 3.16 | 3.10, which imply roughly 47.2% for a Floriana win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premier League table: Floriana are 1st (13 pts, 16-7 goals), Marsaxlokk 3rd (11 pts, 11-9).
Over their last five matches, Floriana averaged 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game; Marsaxlokk averaged 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Floriana.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.