Ararat vs Shirak• Premier League, Armenia

#81.0:1.41-1FTToday · Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan1.4:1.4#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.80DAFX3.30BFR22.44DAFMargin at best7.0%Books6Markets43Rating50 · 50 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 17 Oct 10:37 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.70	3.12	2.49	9.2%
BetVictor	2.70	3.20	2.40	10.0%
Bet365	2.62	3.25	2.35	11.5%
William Hill	2.70	2.90	2.50	11.5%
1xBet	2.65	3.12	2.35	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.65	3.12	2.35	12.3%
Best of all books	2.70	3.25	2.50	7.8%
Average	2.67	3.12	2.41	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AraratShirak

Last 10#8Table position#71.10Points per game1.107Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 51.442Attack rating5850Defence rating5054Form rating4671H2H rating2919Goals model8150Overall rating50

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 02:20 UTC

Ararat

3W 1D 6L · goals 8:19 · per match 0.8 for, 1.9 against

11 Oct	A	FC Urartu	2-2	D
3 Oct	H	Ararat-Armenia	0-4	L
20 Sep	H	Syunik	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	Gandzasar	2-0	W
5 Sep	H	Ararat-Armenia	0-1	L
30 Aug	A	FC Noah	0-4	L
21 Aug	H	Pyunik Yerevan	0-2	L
15 Aug	A	BKMA	2-1	W
7 Aug	H	Sardarapat	1-2	L
3 Aug	A	Alashkert	0-3	L

Shirak

4W 1D 5L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

12 Oct	A	Syunik	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Ararat-Armenia	1-3	L
13 Sep	A	Pyunik Yerevan	0-2	L
6 Sep	H	Sardarapat	2-0	W
29 Aug	A	Van	4-0	W
22 Aug	H	FC Urartu	0-1	L
14 Aug	A	Gandzasar	1-0	W
9 Aug	H	FC Noah	3-4	L
1 Aug	A	BKMA	0-0	D
11 Jul	H	Andranik	5-0	W

Head to head

13Ararat wins

10draws

34Shirak wins

57 meetings · goals 59:96 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Ararat

1 May 2026Premier League	Premier League	Shirak0-2Ararat
31 Jan 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Ararat1-0Shirak
9 Nov 2025Premier League	Premier League	Ararat0-0Shirak
12 Sep 2025Premier League	Premier League	Shirak4-2Ararat
8 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Shirak1-3Ararat
4 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Ararat1-2Shirak
25 Jan 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Ararat1-1Shirak
17 Aug 2024Premier League	Premier League	Ararat1-2Shirak
15 May 2024Premier League	Premier League	Shirak0-1Ararat
15 Mar 2024Premier League	Premier League	Ararat2-0Shirak

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 17 Oct 21:11 UTC

In the Premier League table, Ararat sit 8th with 11 points from 10 games, while Shirak are 7th with 11 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Noah	9	9	0	0	26:6	+20	27
2	Pyunik Yerevan	9	6	3	0	23:8	+15	21
3	Ararat-Armenia	9	6	2	1	18:9	+9	20
4	Alashkert	10	5	4	1	24:8	+16	19
5	FC Urartu	10	4	3	3	19:14	+5	15
6	Sardarapat	10	4	3	3	17:18	-1	15
7	Shirak	10	3	2	5	12:13	-1	11
8	Ararat	10	3	2	5	9:16	-7	11
9	BKMA	9	2	2	5	8:15	-7	8
10	Van	10	2	1	7	8:26	-18	7
11	Syunik	10	1	2	7	6:22	-16	5
12	Gandzasar	10	1	0	9	9:24	-15	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.66X29%3.12237%2.43

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.03	1.75	6.4%
1xBet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.94	1.74	9.0%
BetVictor	1.75	1.59	20.0%
Best of all books	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Average	1.94	1.71	9.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.92	9.9%
BetVictor	1.60	1.75	19.6%
Best of all books	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Average	1.70	1.89	11.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ararat 45%Draw 45%Shirak 10%

The statistical model rated Ararat at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Shirak at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.66 | 3.12 | 2.43, which imply roughly 37.6% for a Ararat win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Ararat are 8th (11 pts, 9-16 goals), Shirak 7th (11 pts, 12-13).

Over their last five matches, Ararat averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Shirak averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Ararat or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.67	3.12	2.41

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.47	1.38	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.92	1.69

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.70	1.89

1st half

1	X	2
3.33	2.07	2.99

2nd half

1	X	2
3.06	2.34	2.73

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.38	14.5	28.7
HT X	6.33	5.00	5.80
HT 2	31.0	14.5	3.80

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.05	8.85	1.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	8.70
1.5	1.29	3.13
2.5	1.94	1.71
3.5	3.34	1.24
4.5	6.55	1.05
5.5	17.0	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	8.07
1	1.03	7.40
1.25	1.15	4.20
1.75	1.35	2.64
2	1.46	2.32
2.25	1.69	1.93
2.75	2.16	1.53
3	2.61	1.36
3.25	3.04	1.29
3.75	4.20	1.15
4	5.80	1.07
4.25	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.66	1.43
-0.25	2.22	1.50
0	1.93	1.73
+0.25	1.62	2.00
+0.5	1.50	2.45
+0.75	1.34	2.87

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	9.50	1.01
-1.75	7.50	1.03
-1.5	5.65	1.08
-1.25	5.20	1.10
-1	4.70	1.12
-0.75	3.22	1.27
+1	1.18	3.92
+1.25	1.14	4.40
+1.5	1.11	4.85
+1.75	1.06	6.53
+2	1.01	9.35