Tlaxcala vs Piratas• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

#131.8:1.622:00Today · Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala2.2:1.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.73PINX3.44PIN22.10B365Margin at best3.5%Books10Markets77Rating46 · 54 levelExp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 18:18 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.73	3.44	2.03	5.1%
Dafabet	3.40	3.40	2.07	7.1%
Bet365	3.40	3.30	2.10	7.3%
BetVictor	3.40	3.40	2.00	8.8%
Betano	3.50	3.25	2.02	8.8%
1xBet	3.56	3.28	1.92	10.7%
Betfair	3.30	3.40	1.95	11.0%
Marathonbet	3.48	3.28	1.90	11.9%
William Hill	3.30	3.30	1.95	11.9%
SBO	3.10	3.04	2.01	14.9%
Best of all books	3.73	3.44	2.10	3.5%
Average	3.42	3.31	1.99	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TlaxcalaPiratas

Last 10#13Table position#51.09Points per game1.648Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 52.21.6Goals against · last 51.245Attack rating5543Defence rating5744Form rating560H2H rating053Goals model4746Overall rating54

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 20:21 UTC

Tlaxcala

3W 3D 4L · goals 17:19 · per match 1.7 for, 1.9 against

4 Oct	A	Monarcas	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Cancún	4-1	W
20 Sep	A	Tapatío	0-4	L
12 Sep	H	CDS Tampico Madero	3-1	W
5 Sep	A	Durango	1-1	D
29 Aug	H	Venados FC	3-1	W
21 Aug	A	Tepatitlán	2-3	L
16 Aug	A	Dorados	2-2	D
6 Aug	H	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	0-2	L
1 Aug	A	Mineros de Zacatecas	1-3	L

Piratas

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against

4 Oct	H	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4-0	W
25 Sep	A	Mineros de Zacatecas	0-3	L
19 Sep	H	Venados FC	2-1	W
11 Sep	A	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Correcaminos Uat	4-1	W
30 Aug	A	Leones Negros UDG	1-1	D
23 Aug	H	Cancún	0-1	L
15 Aug	A	CA La Paz	0-2	L
8 Aug	A	Durango	3-0	W
2 Aug	H	Monarcas	1-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Tlaxcala and Piratas on record.

Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 10 Oct 05:20 UTC

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Tlaxcala sit 13th with 12 points from 11 games, while Piratas are 5th with 18 points from 11.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	CA La Paz	12	7	2	3	28:15	+13	23
2	Leones Negros UDG	11	7	2	2	27:16	+11	23
3	Monarcas	12	7	2	3	22:13	+9	23
4	Venados FC	11	6	1	4	26:21	+5	19
5	Piratas	11	5	3	3	16:10	+6	18
6	Mineros de Zacatecas	11	5	2	4	23:19	+4	17
7	Cancún	11	5	2	4	19:15	+4	17
8	Durango	11	5	2	4	11:11	0	17
9	Correcaminos Uat	12	4	4	4	20:20	0	16
10	Tapatío	11	4	2	5	19:19	0	14
11	Dorados	11	3	4	4	20:20	0	13
12	Alebrijes de Oaxaca	12	4	1	7	10:23	-13	13
13	Tlaxcala	11	3	3	5	19:23	-4	12
14	CDS Tampico Madero	11	3	2	6	12:19	-7	11
15	Cruz Azul Hidalgo	11	1	5	5	11:18	-7	8
16	Tepatitlán	11	2	1	8	9:30	-21	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.42X28%3.31246%2.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.16 → 3.42 +8.2%X3.29 → 3.31 +0.6%22.09 → 2.00 -4.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.84	2.00	4.3%
SBO	1.87	1.95	4.8%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betano	1.80	1.91	7.9%
BetVictor	1.79	1.89	8.8%
1xBet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.90	9.1%
Best of all books	1.87	2.00	3.5%
Average	1.81	1.93	7.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.66	2.07	8.6%
Betano	1.65	2.07	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.04	9.3%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.67	2.06	8.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tlaxcala 33%Draw 33%Piratas 33%

The statistical model rates Tlaxcala at 33% to win, the draw at 33% and Piratas at 33% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.42 | 3.31 | 2.00, which imply roughly 29.2% for a Tlaxcala win versus the model's 33%.

Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: Tlaxcala are 13th (12 pts, 19-23 goals), Piratas 5th (18 pts, 16-10).

Over their last five matches, Tlaxcala averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Piratas averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: No predictions available.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.42	3.31	2.00

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.73	1.25	1.26

Draw no bet

1	2
2.48	1.48

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.67	2.06

1st half

1	X	2
3.95	2.18	2.54

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.38	9.40	1.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	8.80
1.5	1.24	3.57
2.5	1.81	1.93
3.5	2.92	1.35
4.5	5.43	1.11
5.5	12.0	1.04

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.38
1	1.02	7.80
1.25	1.12	4.70
1.75	1.28	3.08
2	1.37	2.79
2.25	1.59	2.21
2.75	2.01	1.72
3	2.32	1.52
3.25	2.56	1.40
3.75	3.34	1.24
4	4.50	1.13
4.25	4.80	1.12
5	8.80	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.96	1.35
0	2.55	1.46
+0.25	2.03	1.72
+0.5	1.76	2.02
+0.75	1.56	2.27
+1	1.38	2.82

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.68	1.01
-1.5	7.00	1.06
-1.25	6.61	1.07
-1	6.23	1.08
-0.75	4.29	1.18
-0.5	3.57	1.29
+1.25	1.31	3.19
+1.5	1.25	3.50
+1.75	1.17	4.27
+2	1.09	6.02
+2.25	1.08	6.37
+2.5	1.05	6.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.12	4.49
7.5	1.32	2.93
8.5	1.59	2.15
9.5	1.90	1.82
10.5	2.62	1.39
11.5	3.61	1.21
12.5	5.41	1.07
13.5	7.27	1.01

23 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.01	7.32
6.25	1.06	5.49
6.75	1.14	4.26
7	1.16	4.04
7.25	1.24	3.36
7.75	1.36	2.77
8	1.41	2.61
8.25	1.51	2.34
8.75	1.69	2.04
9	1.78	1.93
9.25	1.90	1.80
9.75	2.15	1.62
10	2.34	1.51
10.25	2.48	1.45
10.75	2.89	1.33
11	3.30	1.25
11.25	3.46	1.22
11.75	4.17	1.14
12	5.00	1.09
12.25	5.21	1.08
12.75	5.71	1.06
13	7.10	1.01
13.25	7.05	1.02