OddsFilter

Tapatío vs CA La Paz• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

#101.4:1.623:00Today · Estadio Akron, Zapopan2.4:1.2#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.88B365X3.75BFR22.33PINMargin at best4.3%Books10Markets77Rating41 · 60Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.863.682.335.1%
Bet3652.623.752.386.9%
Dafabet2.853.752.207.2%
BetVictor2.703.802.208.8%
Betano2.703.602.259.3%
Betfair2.633.752.2010.1%
1xBet2.783.482.1810.6%
William Hill2.623.602.2011.4%
Marathonbet2.723.482.1611.8%
SBO2.663.422.0814.9%
Best of all books2.863.802.383.3%
Average2.713.632.229.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TapatíoCA La Paz
Last 10#10Table position#31.40Points per game1.824Form pts · last 5101.4Goals for · last 52.41.6Goals against · last 51.237Attack rating6343Defence rating5729Form rating7150H2H rating5041Goals model5941Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 20:02 UTC

Tapatío

4W 2D 4L · goals 17:15 · per match 1.7 for, 1.5 against

4 OctACancún0-1L
20 SepHTlaxcala4-0W
13 SepADorados1-3L
6 SepHLeones Negros UDG1-3L
28 AugAAlebrijes de Oaxaca1-1D
24 AugHMineros de Zacatecas4-2W
15 AugACorrecaminos Uat3-2W
8 AugAVenados FC2-3L
1 AugHCDS Tampico Madero1-0W
26 JulHCruz Azul Hidalgo0-0D

CA La Paz

6W 2D 2L · goals 22:9 · per match 2.2 for, 0.9 against

3 OctHVenados FC1-2L
25 SepAAlebrijes de Oaxaca3-1W
19 SepHCorrecaminos Uat3-1W
13 SepALeones Negros UDG2-2D
5 SepHMineros de Zacatecas3-0W
28 AugACancún2-1W
22 AugHCruz Azul Hidalgo1-1D
15 AugHPiratas2-0W
8 AugATepatitlán5-0W
1 AugHDurango0-1L

Head to head

3Tapatío wins
2draws
3CA La Paz wins

8 meetings · goals 12:13 · last 8: 3W 2D 3L for Tapatío

10 Jan 2026Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXCA La Paz2-2Tapatío
3 Aug 2025Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXTapatío2-0CA La Paz
1 Mar 2025Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXCA La Paz4-1Tapatío
15 Sep 2024Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXTapatío1-0CA La Paz
2 Feb 2024Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXTapatío0-2CA La Paz
7 Aug 2023Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXCA La Paz2-2Tapatío
29 Jan 2023Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXTapatío2-0CA La Paz
13 Oct 2022Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXCA La Paz3-2Tapatío

Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 9 Oct 05:11 UTC

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Tapatío sit 10th with 14 points from 10 games, while CA La Paz are 3rd with 20 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Leones Negros UDG1172227:16+1123
2Monarcas1171321:12+922
3CA La Paz1162324:13+1120
4Venados FC1161426:21+519
5Piratas1153316:10+618
6Mineros de Zacatecas1152423:19+417
7Cancún1152419:15+417
8Durango1152411:11017
9Correcaminos Uat1244420:20016
10Tapatío1042417:15+214
11Dorados1134420:20013
12Alebrijes de Oaxaca1241710:23-1313
13Tlaxcala1133519:23-412
14CDS Tampico Madero1132612:19-711
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo1115511:18-78
16Tepatitlán102088:29-216

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.72X25%3.61241%2.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 00:019 Oct 12:501 2.72X 3.612 2.22
12.51 → 2.72 +8.4%X3.69 → 3.61 -2.2%22.39 → 2.22 -7.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.472.695.2%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
Betfair1.442.607.9%
BetVictor1.402.708.5%
Betano1.442.529.1%
1xBet1.422.4910.6%
Marathonbet1.422.4910.6%
Best of all books1.472.705.1%
Average1.432.598.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.402.757.8%
William Hill1.402.757.8%
BetVictor1.362.888.3%
1xBet1.382.778.6%
Marathonbet1.382.719.4%
Betano1.392.679.4%
Best of all books1.402.886.2%
Average1.392.768.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tapatío 10%Draw 45%CA La Paz 45%

The statistical model rates Tapatío at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and CA La Paz at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.72 | 3.61 | 2.22, which imply roughly 27.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: Tapatío are 10th (14 pts, 17-15 goals), CA La Paz 3rd (20 pts, 24-13).

Over their last five matches, Tapatío averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; CA La Paz averaged 2.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or CA La Paz.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.713.632.22

Double chance

1XX212
1.581.391.23

Draw no bet

12
2.061.69

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.392.76

1st half

1X2
3.112.412.71

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.9718.31.80

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0216.3
1.51.115.38
2.51.432.59
3.52.091.67
4.53.431.26
5.56.251.08
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0311.5
1.751.114.80
21.144.35
2.251.283.08
2.751.532.32
31.672.07
3.251.881.83
3.752.351.51
42.811.33
4.253.081.28
4.754.141.16
55.401.09
5.255.751.07

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.621.46
-0.252.391.50
02.061.70
+0.251.791.95
+0.51.622.21
+0.751.432.58
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.851.01
-29.151.02
-1.756.701.05
-1.55.201.10
-1.254.801.12
-14.261.18
-0.753.281.28
+11.283.28
+1.251.233.65
+1.51.183.84
+1.751.114.80
+21.046.80
+2.51.037.50

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.017.19
7.51.114.65
8.51.283.07
9.51.532.26
10.51.881.81
11.52.401.47
12.53.191.27
13.54.501.12
14.56.781.02
24 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.026.92
71.017.19
7.251.065.51
7.751.124.43
81.144.22
8.251.213.52
8.751.322.93
91.362.77
9.251.452.48
9.751.612.16
101.692.04
10.251.791.91
10.752.001.72
112.151.62
11.252.271.55
11.752.591.41
122.881.33
12.253.031.30
12.753.571.21
134.151.15
13.254.321.13
13.755.231.08
146.371.03
14.256.581.03