CA La PazvsVenados FC• Liga de Expansión MX,Mexico
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
CA La Paz2nd20 pts
Venados FC5th16 pts
CA La Paz2nd20 pts
Venados FC5th16 ptsIn the Liga de Expansión MX table, CA La Paz sit 2nd with 20 points from 10 games, while Venados FC are 5th with 16 points from 10 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates CA La Paz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Venados FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.55 | 4.43 | 4.64, which imply roughly 64.5% for a CA La Paz win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: CA La Paz are 2nd (20 pts, 23-11 goals), Venados FC 5th (16 pts, 24-20).
Over their last five matches, CA La Paz averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Venados FC averaged 2.4 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : CA La Paz or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
CA La Paz vs Venados FC — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monarcas | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 |
| 2 |  CA La Paz | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| 3 |  Leones Negros UDG | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 |  Venados FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 |  Piratas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 |  Correcaminos Uat | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 |  Cancún | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 |  Tapatío | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 |  Durango | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| 11 |  Dorados | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 13 |  CDS Tampico Madero | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 |
| 14 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.54
X
4.25
2
4.62
Double chance
1X
1.15
X2
2.26
12
1.17
Both teams to score
Yes
1.42
No
2.59
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.36
Under 2.5
2.79
Over 1.5
1.09
Under 1.5
5.85
Over 1.75
1.07
Under 1.75
5.80
Over 2
1.09
Under 2
5.30
Over 2.25
1.21
Under 2.25
3.58
Over 2.75
1.40
Under 2.75
2.56
Over 3.5
1.91
Under 3.5
1.79
Over 3
1.52
Under 3
2.31
Over 4.5
2.95
Under 4.5
1.32
Over 3.25
1.72
Under 3.25
1.98
Over 3.75
2.13
Under 3.75
1.61
Over 4
2.49
Under 4
1.45
Over 4.25
2.74
Under 4.25
1.35
Over 4.75
3.58
Under 4.75
1.21
Over 5
4.70
Under 5
1.12
Over 5.5
5.07
Under 5.5
1.12
Over 5.25
5.05
Under 5.25
1.10
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
17.50
Over 1
1.01
Under 1
12.50
Draw no bet
1
1.25
2
3.55
Asian handicap
Away 0.5
2.37
1st half
1
1.99
X
2.62
2
4.58
First team to score
Home
1.48
No Goal
22.00
Away
2.55