OddsFilter

Tapatío vs Tepatitlán• Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

#111.6:2.223:00Today · Estadio Akron, Zapopan1.0:2.4#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57DAFX4.75B36526.00PINMargin at best1.4%Books10Markets81Rating49 · 51 levelExp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 16:33 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.584.245.295.8%
Bet3651.574.504.757.0%
Dafabet1.574.404.807.3%
BetVictor1.534.405.008.1%
Betano1.534.304.859.2%
1xBet1.484.335.0310.5%
Betfair1.474.405.0010.8%
Marathonbet1.474.334.8511.7%
William Hill1.504.204.6012.2%
SBO1.494.044.4114.5%
Best of all books1.584.505.294.4%
Average1.524.314.869.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

TapatíoTepatitlán
Last 10#11Table position#161.27Points per game0.643Form pts · last 541.6Goals for · last 51.02.2Goals against · last 52.462Attack rating3852Defence rating4843Form rating5715H2H rating8593Goals model749Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 21:10 UTC

Tapatío

4W 1D 5L · goals 19:19 · per match 1.9 for, 1.9 against

9 OctHCA La Paz2-4L
4 OctACancún0-1L
20 SepHTlaxcala4-0W
13 SepADorados1-3L
6 SepHLeones Negros UDG1-3L
28 AugAAlebrijes de Oaxaca1-1D
24 AugHMineros de Zacatecas4-2W
15 AugACorrecaminos Uat3-2W
8 AugAVenados FC2-3L
1 AugHCDS Tampico Madero1-0W

Tepatitlán

2W 1D 7L · goals 9:29 · per match 0.9 for, 2.9 against

10 OctHMonarcas1-1D
3 OctHCDS Tampico Madero3-1W
19 SepHMineros de Zacatecas0-1L
12 SepAVenados FC0-5L
4 SepHDorados1-4L
29 AugACruz Azul Hidalgo0-6L
21 AugHTlaxcala3-2W
14 AugAAlebrijes de Oaxaca0-1L
8 AugHCA La Paz0-5L
1 AugACorrecaminos Uat1-3L

Head to head

3Tapatío wins
4draws
7Tepatitlán wins

14 meetings · goals 14:17 · last 10: 2W 3D 5L for Tapatío

24 Jan 2026Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXTepatitlán2-0Tapatío
17 Aug 2025Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXTapatío1-3Tepatitlán
15 Feb 2025Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXTepatitlán1-0Tapatío
11 Nov 2024Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXTapatío1-1Tepatitlán
8 Nov 2024Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXTepatitlán1-1Tapatío
1 Sep 2024Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXTapatío2-0Tepatitlán
23 Mar 2024Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXTepatitlán0-4Tapatío
25 Sep 2023Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXTapatío2-2Tepatitlán
26 Mar 2023Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXTapatío0-2Tepatitlán
24 Sep 2022Liga de Expansión MXLiga de Expansión MXTepatitlán3-2Tapatío

Liga de Expansión MX tablePrimera A: Aperturaupdated 13 Oct 04:50 UTC

In the Liga de Expansión MX table, Tapatío sit 11th with 14 points from 11 games, while Tepatitlán are 16th with 7 points from 11.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Leones Negros UDG1273228:17+1124
2CA La Paz1272328:15+1323
3Monarcas1272322:13+923
4Venados FC1262427:22+520
5Mineros de Zacatecas1253425:21+418
6Cancún1253421:17+418
7Piratas1253418:14+418
8Durango1253411:11018
9Correcaminos Uat1244420:20016
10Tlaxcala1243523:25-215
11Tapatío1142519:19014
12Dorados1234521:23-213
13Alebrijes de Oaxaca1241710:23-1313
14CDS Tampico Madero1233612:19-712
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo1225514:19-511
16Tepatitlán112189:30-217

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg162%1.47X20%4.48217%5.22

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

10 Oct 13:3313 Oct 20:101 1.47X 4.482 5.22
11.53 → 1.47 -3.9%X4.09 → 4.48 +9.5%25.00 → 5.22 +4.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.422.855.5%
Bet3651.442.627.6%
Betfair1.362.888.3%
BetVictor1.362.888.3%
Betano1.422.608.9%
1xBet1.362.7010.6%
Marathonbet1.362.7010.6%
Best of all books1.442.884.2%
Average1.392.758.4%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.442.607.9%
1xBet1.472.478.5%
BetVictor1.442.558.7%
Betano1.502.359.2%
Marathonbet1.472.429.3%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
Best of all books1.502.605.1%
Average1.462.488.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Tapatío 35%Draw 35%Tepatitlán 30%

The statistical model rates Tapatío at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Tepatitlán at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.47 | 4.48 | 5.22, which imply roughly 68% for a Tapatío win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: Tapatío are 11th (14 pts, 19-19 goals), Tepatitlán 16th (7 pts, 9-30).

Over their last five matches, Tapatío averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Tepatitlán averaged 1 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Tapatío and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.524.314.86

Double chance

1XX212
1.142.361.15

Draw no bet

12
1.233.75

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.462.48

1st half

1X2
1.952.594.77

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4722.02.64

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0117.0
1.51.105.91
2.51.392.75
3.52.001.73
4.53.251.29
5.55.731.10
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0312.5
1.751.095.25
21.124.80
2.251.243.34
2.751.472.46
31.612.15
3.251.791.93
3.752.241.56
42.621.38
4.252.881.32
4.753.841.18
55.051.10
5.255.351.09

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.752.651.41
-1.52.301.54
-1.252.061.67
-11.841.90
-0.751.642.13
-0.51.542.41
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.601.03
-36.951.04
-2.754.951.11
-2.53.981.17
-2.253.581.21
-23.311.28
-0.251.362.86
01.213.92
+0.251.154.20
+0.751.066.00
+1.51.028.70

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.046.17
7.51.193.76
8.51.402.61
9.51.732.00
10.52.101.65
11.52.811.34
12.53.881.17
13.55.771.05
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.055.91
71.065.65
7.251.124.47
7.751.203.59
81.233.40
8.251.322.93
8.751.452.48
91.512.34
9.251.622.15
9.751.801.90
101.941.79
10.252.031.70
10.752.301.53
112.521.44
11.252.651.39
11.753.101.28
123.541.21
12.253.721.19
12.754.471.12
135.371.07
13.255.571.06