Leones Negros UDGvsCA La Paz• Liga de Expansión MX,Mexico
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Leones Negros UDG2nd17 pts
CA La Paz3rd14 pts
Leones Negros UDG2nd17 pts
CA La Paz3rd14 ptsIn the Liga de Expansión MX table, Leones Negros UDG sit 2nd with 17 points from 8 games, while CA La Paz are 3rd with 14 points from 8 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Leones Negros UDG at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and CA La Paz at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.11 | 3.63 | 2.86, which imply roughly 27.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: Leones Negros UDG are 2nd (17 pts, 19-10 goals), CA La Paz 3rd (14 pts, 17-9).
Over their last five matches, Leones Negros UDG averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; CA La Paz averaged 2.6 scored and 0.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or CA La Paz.
Leones Negros UDG vs CA La Paz — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monarcas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 |
| 3 |  CA La Paz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 |  Venados FC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 |  Piratas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Correcaminos Uat | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Dorados | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Tapatío | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Cancún | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 |  CDS Tampico Madero | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 12 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Tlaxcala | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Durango | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.90
X
3.58
2
3.50
Double chance
1X
1.27
X2
1.73
12
1.24
Both teams to score
Yes
1.51
No
2.37
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.58
Under 2.5
2.28
Over 1.5
1.14
Under 1.5
4.61
Over 1.75
1.16
Under 1.75
4.10
Over 2
1.21
Under 2
3.58
Over 2.25
1.39
Under 2.25
2.69
Over 2.75
1.70
Under 2.75
2.03
Over 3.5
2.38
Under 3.5
1.49
Over 1.25
1.05
Under 1.25
6.40
Over 3
1.90
Under 3
1.78
Over 4.5
4.23
Under 4.5
1.17
Over 3.25
2.14
Under 3.25
1.60
Over 3.75
2.78
Under 3.75
1.34
Over 4
3.50
Under 4
1.22
Over 4.25
3.88
Under 4.25
1.18
Over 4.75
5.30
Under 4.75
1.09
Over 5
7.40
Under 5
1.03
Over 5.5
8.10
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
13.20
Over 1
1.01
Under 1
9.70
Draw no bet
1
1.49
2
2.50
Asian handicap
Away 2.25
1.06
1st half
1
2.44
X
2.34
2
3.78
First team to score
Home
1.68
No Goal
14.50
Away
2.25