TapatíovsLeones Negros UDG• Liga de Expansión MX,Mexico
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Tapatío9th11 pts
Leones Negros UDG2nd17 pts
Tapatío9th11 pts
Leones Negros UDG2nd17 ptsIn the Liga de Expansión MX table, Tapatío sit 9th with 11 points from 8 games, while Leones Negros UDG are 2nd with 17 points from 8 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Tapatío at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Leones Negros UDG at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.42 | 3.31 | 2.65, which imply roughly 41.3% for a Tapatío win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga de Expansión MX table: Tapatío are 9th (11 pts, 13-14 goals), Leones Negros UDG 2nd (17 pts, 19-10).
Over their last five matches, Tapatío averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Leones Negros UDG averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Tapatío or draw.
Tapatío vs Leones Negros UDG — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monarcas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 |  Leones Negros UDG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 |
| 3 |  CA La Paz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 |  Venados FC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 |  Piratas | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 |  Correcaminos Uat | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 |  Dorados | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 |  Mineros de Zacatecas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Tapatío | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Cancún | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 |  CDS Tampico Madero | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 12 |  Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Tlaxcala | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 14 |  Durango | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Tepatitlán | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.23
X
3.33
2
2.94
Double chance
1X
1.35
X2
1.57
12
1.27
Both teams to score
Yes
1.64
No
2.11
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.79
Under 2.5
1.96
Over 1.5
1.21
Under 1.5
3.72
Over 1.75
1.27
Under 1.75
3.14
Over 2
1.35
Under 2
2.83
Over 2.25
1.56
Under 2.25
2.27
Over 2.75
1.96
Under 2.75
1.76
Over 3.5
2.86
Under 3.5
1.35
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
9.05
Over 1
1.01
Under 1
8.70
Over 1.25
1.11
Under 1.25
4.89
Over 3
2.28
Under 3
1.54
Over 4.5
5.27
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 3.25
2.56
Under 3.25
1.43
Over 3.75
3.48
Under 3.75
1.22
Over 4
4.65
Under 4
1.12
Over 4.25
5.00
Under 4.25
1.10
Over 4.75
6.75
Under 4.75
1.04
Over 5
7.40
Under 5
1.03
Over 5.5
9.55
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
10.60
Draw no bet
1
1.65
2
2.13
Asian handicap
Home 0.5
1.39
Away 0.5
1.61
1st half
1
2.76
X
2.20
2
3.51
Corners 2-Way
Over 14.25
6.37
Under 14.25
1.03
First team to score
Home
1.79
No Goal
11.50
Away
2.11