Pontypridd Town vs Aberystwyth Town• FAW Championship, Wales

2.4:1.61-3FT03/10 · USW Sports Park, Pontypridd2.6:0.6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.60B365X3.961XB22.53PINMargin at best3.2%Books5Markets34Rating38 · 63Exp. goals L53.6

Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.52	3.98	2.46	5.5%
Betfair	2.45	3.60	2.40	10.3%
Bet365	2.35	3.70	2.40	11.2%
Betano	2.37	3.60	2.42	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.43	3.45	2.38	12.2%
Best of all books	2.52	3.98	2.46	5.5%
Average	2.42	3.67	2.41	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Pontypridd TownAberystwyth Town

Last 107Form pts · last 5132.4Goals for · last 52.61.6Goals against · last 50.648Attack rating5227Defence rating7343Form rating5738H2H rating6236Goals model6438Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:13 UTC

Pontypridd Town

6W 2D 2L · goals 23:16 · per match 2.3 for, 1.6 against

6 Oct	H	Llantwit Major	4-1	W
3 Oct	H	Aberystwyth Town	1-3	L
25 Sep	A	Caerphilly Athletic	2-1	W
11 Sep	H	Afan Lido	0-1	L
28 Aug	A	Swansea University	4-4	D
21 Aug	H	Trethomas Bluebirds	2-1	W
15 Aug	A	Cardiff Draconians	4-1	W
7 Aug	H	Pontardawe Town	3-2	W
1 Aug	A	Treowen Stars	3-2	W
18 Apr	H	Caerau (Ely)	0-0	D

Aberystwyth Town

6W 2D 2L · goals 23:11 · per match 2.3 for, 1.1 against

3 Oct	A	Pontypridd Town	3-1	W
25 Sep	H	Swansea University	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Caerphilly Athletic	3-2	W
31 Aug	H	llanelli AFC	4-0	W
28 Aug	H	Pontardawe Town	1-0	W
22 Aug	H	Llantwit Major	5-1	W
8 Aug	H	Treowen Stars	1-2	L
1 Aug	A	Afan Lido	5-2	W
18 Apr	A	Ynyshir Albions	0-0	D
11 Apr	A	Cwmbran Celtic	1-3	L

Head to head

4Pontypridd Town wins

4draws

3Aberystwyth Town wins

11 meetings · goals 11:11 · last 10: 3W 4D 3L for Pontypridd Town

26 Dec 2025FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Pontypridd Town0-1Aberystwyth Town
16 Aug 2025FAW Championship	FAW Championship	Aberystwyth Town0-0Pontypridd Town
21 Apr 2024Premier League	Premier League	Aberystwyth Town3-0Pontypridd Town
9 Apr 2024Premier League	Premier League	Pontypridd Town0-0Aberystwyth Town
26 Dec 2023Premier League	Premier League	Pontypridd Town2-0Aberystwyth Town
19 Sep 2023League Cup	League Cup	Aberystwyth Town0-1Pontypridd Town
29 Aug 2023Premier League	Premier League	Aberystwyth Town0-1Pontypridd Town
1 Apr 2023Premier League	Premier League	Pontypridd Town1-1Aberystwyth Town
18 Feb 2023Premier League	Premier League	Aberystwyth Town3-3Pontypridd Town
18 Nov 2022Premier League	Premier League	Aberystwyth Town2-1Pontypridd Town

FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 10 Oct 15:22 UTC

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Brickfield Rangers	10	9	0	1	26:6	+20	27
2	Newtown AFC	9	7	1	1	18:3	+15	22
3	Porthmadog	10	6	2	2	17:11	+6	20
4	Bala Town	11	6	1	4	22:20	+2	19
5	Mold Alexandra	10	5	3	2	24:14	+10	18
6	Caersws	9	5	2	2	21:14	+7	17
7	Bangor City 1876 FC	10	5	2	3	24:18	+6	17
8	Guilsfield	10	4	4	2	16:12	+4	16
9	Buckley Town	11	4	3	4	25:19	+6	15
10	Rhyl	11	2	5	4	18:20	-2	11
11	Llanuwchllyn	10	3	2	5	13:23	-10	11
12	Ruthin Town	11	2	3	6	10:21	-11	9
13	Denbigh Town	10	2	1	7	18:23	-5	7
14	Holyhead Hotspur	9	2	1	6	11:18	-7	7
15	Gresford Athletic	9	2	1	6	6:21	-15	7
16	Penrhyncoch	10	0	1	9	4:30	-26	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg136%2.49X25%3.58238%2.38

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.42 → 2.49 +2.9%X3.67 → 3.58 -2.5%22.41 → 2.38 -1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.61	2.29	5.8%
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Marathonbet	1.56	2.22	9.1%
Betano	1.55	2.15	11.0%
Best of all books	1.61	2.30	5.6%
Average	1.58	2.24	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.48	2.41	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.48	2.36	9.9%
Best of all books	1.48	2.41	9.1%
Average	1.48	2.38	9.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Pontypridd Town 10%Draw 45%Aberystwyth Town 45%

The statistical model rated Pontypridd Town at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Aberystwyth Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.49 | 3.58 | 2.38, which imply roughly 27.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Pontypridd Town averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Aberystwyth Town averaged 2.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Aberystwyth Town and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.42	3.67	2.41

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.45	1.45	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.81	1.83

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.48	2.38

1st half

1	X	2
2.97	2.33	2.93

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.90	15.5	1.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.15	4.42
2.5	1.58	2.24
3.5	2.39	1.51
4.5	4.12	1.17
5.5	8.40	1.02

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.18	3.90
2	1.22	3.48
2.25	1.42	2.67
2.75	1.68	1.96
3	1.90	1.75
3.25	2.19	1.61
3.75	2.78	1.34
4	3.50	1.22

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.83	1.33
-0.25	2.11	1.60
0	1.86	1.85
+0.25	1.62	2.06
+0.75	1.34	2.78
+1	1.20	3.70

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.90	1.02
-2	8.50	1.01
-1.5	4.60	1.13
-1	3.82	1.19
+1.25	1.16	4.10
+1.5	1.14	4.45
+2	1.02	8.20
+2.5	1.02	8.90