Cardiff Draconians vs 
Newport City• FAW Championship, Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 1 Oct 00:30 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.90 | 4.04 | 2.19 | 4.9% |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 10.0% |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.15 | 10.7% |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.10 | 11.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.83 | 3.50 | 2.07 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.90 | 4.04 | 2.19 | 4.9% |
| Average | 2.81 | 3.67 | 2.13 | 9.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 14:13 UTC
Cardiff Draconians
3W 4D 3L · goals 19:19 · per match 1.9 for, 1.9 against
| 3 Oct | H | Newport City | 1-1 | D |
| 26 Sep | H | Caerau (Ely) | 1-3 | L |
| 12 Sep | H | Baglan Dragons | 2-1 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | llanelli AFC | 4-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Pontypridd Town | 1-4 | L |
| 7 Aug | A | Caerphilly Athletic | 0-0 | D |
| 1 Aug | A | Ynyshir Albions | 0-1 | L |
| 18 Apr | H | Afan Lido | 4-1 | W |
| 11 Apr | H | Pontypridd Town | 2-2 | D |
| 4 Apr | A | Trethomas Bluebirds | 4-4 | D |
Newport City
2W 1D 7L · goals 9:20 · per match 0.9 for, 2.0 against
| 25 Sep | A | Afan Lido | 0-0 | D |
| 28 Aug | H | Ynyshir Albions | 0-1 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | Baglan Dragons | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | Pontardawe Town | 4-0 | W |
| 8 Aug | H | Carmarthen Town | 1-2 | L |
| 31 Jul | A | llanelli AFC | 4-1 | W |
| 8 Jul | H | Newport County | 0-5 | L |
| 26 Jun | A | Cambrian & Clydach | 0-1 | L |
| 18 Apr | H | Trefelin | 0-5 | L |
| 3 Apr | A | Ammanford AFC | 0-4 | L |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 1:3 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Cardiff Draconians
| 28 Mar 2026FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Cardiff Draconians0-1Newport City |
| 10 Dec 2025FAW Championship | FAW Championship | Newport City2-1Cardiff Draconians |
FAW Championship tableNorthupdated 10 Oct 15:22 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26:6 | +20 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown AFC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18:3 | +15 | 22 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 | Bala Town | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 19 |
| 5 | Mold Alexandra | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 18 |
| 6 | Caersws | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21:14 | +7 | 17 |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 24:18 | +6 | 17 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley Town | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 | Rhyl | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Llanuwchllyn | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:23 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Ruthin Town | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 9 |
| 13 | Denbigh Town | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 | Holyhead Hotspur | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Gresford Athletic | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:21 | -15 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4:30 | -26 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 2.33 | 5.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 6.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.58 | 2.18 | 9.2% |
| Betano | 1.57 | 2.12 | 10.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.62 | 2.33 | 4.6% |
| Average | 1.59 | 2.22 | 7.9% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 2.36 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.50 | 2.31 | 10.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.50 | 2.40 | 8.3% |
| Average | 1.50 | 2.36 | 9.1% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Cardiff Draconians at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Newport City at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.61 | 3.59 | 2.26, which imply roughly 27.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Cardiff Draconians averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Newport City averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Newport City.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.81 | 3.67 | 2.13 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | 1.34 | 1.22 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.13 | 1.62 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.50 | 2.36 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.32 | 2.32 | 2.69 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.06 | 15.5 | 1.77 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 1.15 | 4.47 |
| 2.5 | 1.59 | 2.22 |
| 3.5 | 2.40 | 1.51 |
| 4.5 | 4.18 | 1.17 |
| 5.5 | 8.10 | 1.03 |
8 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.18 | 3.88 |
| 2 | 1.23 | 3.42 |
| 2.25 | 1.42 | 2.63 |
| 2.75 | 1.70 | 1.94 |
| 3 | 1.92 | 1.72 |
| 3.25 | 2.22 | 1.59 |
| 3.75 | 2.88 | 1.32 |
| 4 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 3.42 | 1.23 |
| -0.25 | 2.48 | 1.44 |
| 0 | 2.15 | 1.59 |
| +0.25 | 1.82 | 1.84 |
| +0.75 | 1.46 | 2.42 |
| +1 | 1.28 | 3.08 |
6 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 5.75 | 1.07 |
| -1 | 4.90 | 1.11 |
| +1.25 | 1.23 | 3.42 |
| +1.5 | 1.18 | 3.84 |
| +2 | 1.04 | 7.10 |
| +2.5 | 1.02 | 7.90 |