llanelli AFCvsBaglan Dragons• FAW Championship,Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
llanelli AFC16th2 pts
Baglan Dragons7th13 pts
llanelli AFC16th2 pts
Baglan Dragons7th13 ptsIn the FAW Championship table, llanelli AFC sit 16th with 2 points from 9 games, while Baglan Dragons are 7th with 13 points from 9 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates llanelli AFC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Baglan Dragons at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.65 | 3.75 | 1.79, which imply roughly 26.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the FAW Championship table: llanelli AFC are 16th (2 pts, 6-25 goals), Baglan Dragons 7th (13 pts, 9-10).
Over their last five matches, llanelli AFC averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Baglan Dragons averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Baglan Dragons.
llanelli AFC vs Baglan Dragons — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea University | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 |  Pontypridd Town | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 |  Carmarthen Town | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 |  Caerau (Ely) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Treowen Stars | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Baglan Dragons | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Afan Lido | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ynyshir Albions | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Newport City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Cardiff Draconians | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 |  Pontardawe Town | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.65
X
3.75
2
1.79
Double chance
1X
1.84
X2
1.21
12
1.21
Both teams to score
Yes
1.58
No
2.17
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.66
Under 2.5
2.11
Over 1.5
1.18
Under 1.5
4.06
Over 1.75
1.21
Under 1.75
3.58
Over 2
1.26
Under 2
3.20
Over 2.25
1.48
Under 2.25
2.49
Over 2.75
1.77
Under 2.75
1.86
Over 3.5
2.59
Under 3.5
1.43
Over 3
2.02
Under 3
1.64
Over 4.5
4.70
Under 4.5
1.13
Over 3.25
2.34
Under 3.25
1.52
Over 3.75
3.05
Under 3.75
1.28
Over 4
3.95
Under 4
1.17
Draw no bet
1
2.66
2
1.40
Asian handicap
Away -2.5
6.05
1st half
1
4.11
X
2.32
2
2.34
First team to score
Home
2.40
No Goal
15.00
Away
1.57