Cardiff DraconiansvsCaerau (Ely)• FAW Championship,Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Cardiff Draconians13th7 pts
Caerau (Ely)5th13 pts
Cardiff Draconians13th7 pts
Caerau (Ely)5th13 ptsIn the FAW Championship table, Cardiff Draconians sit 13th with 7 points from 6 games, while Caerau (Ely) are 5th with 13 points from 8 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Cardiff Draconians at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Caerau (Ely) at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.31 | 3.87 | 1.81, which imply roughly 25.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the FAW Championship table: Cardiff Draconians are 13th (7 pts, 8-11 goals), Caerau (Ely) 5th (13 pts, 19-18).
Over their last five matches, Cardiff Draconians averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Caerau (Ely) averaged 2.4 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Caerau (Ely) and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).
Cardiff Draconians vs Caerau (Ely) — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea University | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 |  Pontypridd Town | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 |  Carmarthen Town | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 |  Caerau (Ely) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Treowen Stars | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Baglan Dragons | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Afan Lido | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ynyshir Albions | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Newport City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Cardiff Draconians | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 |  Pontardawe Town | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.20
X
3.90
2
1.83
Double chance
1X
1.80
X2
1.28
12
1.18
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.50
Under 2.5
2.50
Draw no bet
1
2.62
2
1.44
Asian handicap
Away -0.5
1.85
1st half
1
3.60
X
2.50
2
2.30
First team to score
Home
2.25
No Goal
19.00
Away
1.62