Baglan DragonsvsCarmarthen Town• FAW Championship,Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Baglan Dragons7th13 pts
Carmarthen Town4th14 pts
Baglan Dragons7th13 pts
Carmarthen Town4th14 ptsIn the FAW Championship table, Baglan Dragons sit 7th with 13 points from 9 games, while Carmarthen Town are 4th with 14 points from 8 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Baglan Dragons at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Carmarthen Town at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.61 | 3.49 | 2.25, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the FAW Championship table: Baglan Dragons are 7th (13 pts, 9-10 goals), Carmarthen Town 4th (14 pts, 19-17).
Over their last five matches, Baglan Dragons averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Carmarthen Town averaged 2.2 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Carmarthen Town.
Baglan Dragons vs Carmarthen Town — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea University | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
| 2 |  Aberystwyth Town | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 |  Pontypridd Town | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| 4 |  Carmarthen Town | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 |  Caerau (Ely) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Treowen Stars | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Baglan Dragons | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 |  Afan Lido | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ynyshir Albions | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 |  Newport City | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Cardiff Draconians | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 14 |  Pontardawe Town | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 |  Llantwit Major | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 |  llanelli AFC | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.93
X
3.66
2
2.02
Double chance
1X
1.65
X2
1.31
12
1.21
Both teams to score
Yes
1.47
No
2.42
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.55
Under 2.5
2.27
Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
4.55
Over 1.75
1.16
Under 1.75
4.10
Over 2
1.21
Under 2
3.58
Over 2.25
1.37
Under 2.25
2.72
Over 2.75
1.65
Under 2.75
2.00
Over 3.5
2.33
Under 3.5
1.48
Over 3
1.84
Under 3
1.79
Over 4.5
4.10
Under 4.5
1.16
Over 3.25
2.09
Under 3.25
1.61
Over 3.75
2.70
Under 3.75
1.36
Over 4
3.42
Under 4
1.23
Under 0.5
17.00
Over 5.5
8.00
Under 5.5
1.05
Draw no bet
1
2.20
2
1.56
Asian handicap
Away -2.5
7.40
1st half
1
3.40
X
2.33
2
2.53
First team to score
Home
2.09
No Goal
16.13
Away
1.72
Corners 2-Way
Over 8.5
1.81
Under 8.5
1.97