Baglan DragonsvsAfan Lido• FAW Championship,Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Baglan Dragons5th10 pts
Afan Lido9th7 pts
Baglan Dragons5th10 pts
Afan Lido9th7 ptsIn the FAW Championship table, Baglan Dragons sit 5th with 10 points from 6 games, while Afan Lido are 9th with 7 points from 6 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Baglan Dragons at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Afan Lido at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.31 | 3.46 | 2.60, which imply roughly 43.3% for a Baglan Dragons win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the FAW Championship table: Baglan Dragons are 5th (10 pts, 5-5 goals), Afan Lido 9th (7 pts, 11-13).
Over their last five matches, Baglan Dragons averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Afan Lido averaged 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Baglan Dragons or draw.
Baglan Dragons vs Afan Lido — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea University | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 |  Aberystwyth Town | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 |  Carmarthen Town | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 |  Baglan Dragons | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 |  Treowen Stars | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 |  Ynyshir Albions | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Afan Lido | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 |  Caerau (Ely) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 12 |  Newport City | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Cardiff Draconians | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 |  Pontardawe Town | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 |  llanelli AFC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 |  Llantwit Major | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.33
X
3.52
2
2.56
Double chance
1X
1.42
X2
1.50
12
1.24
Both teams to score
Yes
1.56
No
2.22
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.67
Under 2.5
2.05
Over 1.5
1.18
Under 1.5
3.88
Over 1.75
1.22
Under 1.75
3.50
Over 2
1.28
Under 2
3.08
Over 2.25
1.48
Under 2.25
2.40
Over 2.75
1.82
Under 2.75
1.82
Over 3.5
2.62
Under 3.5
1.38
Over 3
2.08
Under 3
1.60
Over 4.5
4.73
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 3.25
2.38
Under 3.25
1.46
Over 3.75
3.14
Under 3.75
1.27
Over 4
4.15
Under 4
1.16
Under 0.5
11.10
Over 5.5
9.00
Under 5.5
1.03
Draw no bet
1
1.75
2
1.89
Asian handicap
Home 0.5
1.44
Away 0.5
1.50
1st half
1
2.87
X
2.24
2
3.15
First team to score
Home
1.88
No Goal
13.88
Away
1.98