Newport CityvsBaglan Dragons• FAW Championship,Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Newport City4th6 pts
Baglan Dragons8th4 pts
Newport City4th6 pts
Baglan Dragons8th4 ptsIn the FAW Championship table, Newport City sit 4th with 6 points from 3 games, while Baglan Dragons are 8th with 4 points from 3 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Newport City at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Baglan Dragons at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.58 | 3.91 | 4.65, which imply roughly 63.3% for a Newport City win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the FAW Championship table: Newport City are 4th (6 pts, 9-3 goals), Baglan Dragons 8th (4 pts, 1-3).
Over their last five matches, Newport City averaged 3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Baglan Dragons averaged 0.3 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Newport City and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Newport City vs Baglan Dragons — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea University | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 |  Pontypridd Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Carmarthen Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 |  Newport City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 |  Treowen Stars | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Caerau (Ely) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 |  Ynyshir Albions | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 |  Baglan Dragons | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Aberystwyth Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Afan Lido | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 |  Pontardawe Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 |  Cardiff Draconians | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 |  llanelli AFC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 16 |  Llantwit Major | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.86
X
3.80
2
3.36
Double chance
1X
1.27
X2
1.81
12
1.21
Both teams to score
Yes
1.57
No
2.34
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.61
Under 2.5
2.17
Over 1.5
1.14
Under 1.5
4.80
Over 3.5
2.55
Under 3.5
1.45
Under 0.5
13.00
Over 4.5
4.80
Under 4.5
1.14
Over 5.5
9.00
Under 5.5
1.05
Over 2.75
1.75
Under 2.75
1.90
Draw no bet
1
1.43
2
2.51
Asian handicap
Home
1.44
Away
2.62
1st half
1
2.37
X
2.33
2
3.76
First team to score
Home
1.67
No Goal
15.00
Away
2.30