Llantwit MajorvsBaglan Dragons• FAW Championship,Wales
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Llantwit Major16th0 pts
Baglan Dragons14th1 pts
Llantwit Major16th0 pts
Baglan Dragons14th1 ptsIn the FAW Championship table, Llantwit Major sit 16th with 0 points from 2 games, while Baglan Dragons are 14th with 1 points from 2 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Llantwit Major at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Baglan Dragons at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.99 | 3.43 | 3.31, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the FAW Championship table: Llantwit Major are 16th (0 pts, 0-8 goals), Baglan Dragons 14th (1 pts, 0-3).
Over their last five matches, Llantwit Major averaged 0 goals scored and 4 conceded per game; Baglan Dragons averaged 0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Baglan Dragons and +2.5 goals (goal line signal: over 2.5 goals).
Llantwit Major vs Baglan Dragons — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea University | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 |  Carmarthen Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 |  Pontypridd Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 |  Ynyshir Albions | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 |  Afan Lido | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 |  Aberystwyth Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 |  Newport City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 |  Pontardawe Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 |  Treowen Stars | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 |  Trethomas Bluebirds | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 |  Caerau (Ely) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 |  Cardiff Draconians | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 |  llanelli AFC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 |  Baglan Dragons | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 |  Caerphilly Athletic | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 16 |  Llantwit Major | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.99
X
3.43
2
3.31
Double chance
1X
1.27
X2
1.69
12
1.24
Both teams to score
Yes
1.62
No
2.14
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.21
Under 1.5
3.74
Over 2.25
1.55
Under 2.25
2.26
Over 2.5
1.74
Under 2.5
1.95
Over 2.75
1.92
Under 2.75
1.76
Over 3.5
2.88
Under 3.5
1.34
Over 3
2.22
Under 3
1.55
Over 4.5
5.55
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 3.25
2.50
Under 3.25
1.44
Over 5.5
10.50
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 1.75
1.26
Under 1.75
3.20
Over 2
1.34
Under 2
2.78
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
10.90
Over 1
1.01
Under 1
8.90
Over 3.75
3.50
Under 3.75
1.22
Over 4
4.70
Under 4
1.12
Draw no bet
1
1.50
2
2.45
Asian handicap
Away 2.5
1.03
1st half
1
2.55
X
2.16
2
4.09