Merelbeke vs 
Mandel United• First Amateur Division, Belgium
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 18:17 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.38 | 3.55 | 2.65 | 7.9% |
| Pinnacle | 2.33 | 3.61 | 2.60 | 9.1% |
| Betano | 2.37 | 3.40 | 2.65 | 9.3% |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.55 | 10.5% |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.55 | 11.4% |
| 1xBet | 2.28 | 3.45 | 2.54 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.28 | 3.45 | 2.54 | 12.2% |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 13.8% |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.13 | 2.40 | 20.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.38 | 3.61 | 2.65 | 7.5% |
| Average | 2.29 | 3.45 | 2.55 | 11.7% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 21:40 UTC
Merelbeke
3W 2D 5L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against
| 4 Oct | A | Tienen | 0-0 | D |
| 30 Sep | H | Dessel Sport | 1-1 | D |
| 27 Sep | H | AS Eupen | 0-1 | L |
| 20 Sep | H | Harelbeke | 3-0 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Spouwen-Mopertingen | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Cercle Brugge II | 3-1 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Hoogstraten | 3-2 | W |
| 8 Aug | H | K. Lierse S.K. | 0-2 | L |
| 27 Jun | H | Gent | 1-6 | L |
| 26 Apr | A | Ninove | 1-3 | L |
Mandel United
5W 2D 3L · goals 17:9 · per match 1.7 for, 0.9 against
| 3 Oct | H | Spouwen-Mopertingen | 1-0 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Houtvenne | 1-2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Sporting Hasselt | 1-3 | L |
| 19 Sep | H | Hoogstraten | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Roeselare Daisel | 0-1 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar | 1-1 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | Harelbeke | 3-0 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | VW Hamme | 1-1 | D |
| 19 Apr | A | HO Kalken | 2-0 | W |
| 11 Apr | H | Oostkamp | 5-0 | W |
Head to head
5 meetings · goals 7:6 · last 5: 1W 3D 1L for Merelbeke
| 7 Jan 2024Second Amateur Division - VFV A | Second Amateur Division - VFV A | Merelbeke1-1Mandel United |
| 28 Oct 2023Second Amateur Division - VFV A | Second Amateur Division - VFV A | Mandel United1-0Merelbeke |
| 30 Sep 2020Second Amateur Division - VFV A | Second Amateur Division - VFV A | Mandel United1-1Merelbeke |
| 22 Dec 2019Second Amateur Division - VFV A | Second Amateur Division - VFV A | Merelbeke3-1Mandel United |
| 7 Sep 2019Second Amateur Division - VFV A | Second Amateur Division - VFV A | Mandel United2-2Merelbeke |
First Amateur Division tableNational Division 1updated 10 Oct 22:10 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RWDM | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | +6 | 19 |
| 2 | Rochefort | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | +10 | 17 |
| 3 | Meux | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 | Tubize | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | +1 | 14 |
| 5 | Union Saint-Gilloise II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 11 |
| 6 | Albert Quévy-Mons | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sporting Charleroi II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 | Olympic Charleroi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 |
| 9 | Standard Liège II | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:6 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | Onhaye | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 11 | Habay-la-Neuve | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 12 | Flénu | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 6.4% |
| Pinnacle | 1.64 | 2.19 | 6.6% |
| Betano | 1.62 | 2.12 | 8.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.60 | 2.15 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 2.15 | 9.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.51 | 1.86 | 20.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.70 | 2.19 | 4.5% |
| Average | 1.61 | 2.10 | 9.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.52 | 2.32 | 8.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 2.36 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.50 | 2.31 | 10.0% |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 2.30 | 10.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 2.05 | 20.2% |
| Best of all books | 1.52 | 2.36 | 8.2% |
| Average | 1.48 | 2.27 | 11.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Merelbeke at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Mandel United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.31 | 3.50 | 2.57, which imply roughly 43.3% for a Merelbeke win versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Merelbeke averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Mandel United averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Merelbeke or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.29 | 3.45 | 2.55 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | 1.51 | 1.21 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.69 | 1.89 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.48 | 2.27 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.81 | 2.23 | 3.04 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | 14.4 | 1.98 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 13.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.16 | 3.85 |
| 2.5 | 1.61 | 2.10 |
| 3.5 | 2.43 | 1.42 |
| 4.5 | 4.05 | 1.15 |
| 5.5 | 6.67 | 1.05 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | – | 9.30 |
| 1.75 | 1.19 | 3.80 |
| 2 | 1.25 | 3.37 |
| 2.25 | 1.42 | 2.44 |
| 2.75 | 1.73 | 1.88 |
| 3 | 1.95 | 1.67 |
| 3.25 | 2.17 | 1.52 |
| 3.75 | 2.92 | 1.31 |
| 4 | 3.78 | 1.19 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.70 | 1.38 |
| -0.5 | 2.17 | 1.49 |
| -0.25 | 1.97 | 1.65 |
| 0 | 1.73 | 1.93 |
| +0.25 | 1.52 | 2.17 |
| +0.5 | 1.41 | 2.38 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 8.50 | 1.01 |
| -1.5 | 4.40 | 1.14 |
| -1.25 | 4.00 | 1.17 |
| -1 | 3.58 | 1.21 |
| +0.75 | 1.30 | 3.05 |
| +1 | 1.15 | 4.20 |
| +1.5 | 1.10 | 5.05 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 9.70 |